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	<title>Essays.1964-Phillies &#8211; Society for American Baseball Research</title>
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		<title>1964 Phillies: Building the not-quite-perfect beast</title>
		<link>https://sabr.org/journal/article/1964-phillies-building-the-not-quite-perfect-beast/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[admin]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 06 Jan 2017 04:19:27 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[Though they lacked such modern tools as an amateur draft that drew from high-school, college, and amateur team rosters, and free agency for veteran players, Roy Hamey and John Quinn put together a winning team in Philadelphia using the means at their disposal.The 1964 Phillies were the handiwork of two general managers, Roy Hamey and [&#8230;]]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Though they lacked such modern tools as an amateur draft that drew from  high-school, college, and amateur team rosters,  and free agency for veteran players, Roy Hamey and  John Quinn put together a winning team in Philadelphia using the means at their disposal.<!--break-->The 1964 Phillies were the handiwork of two general managers, Roy Hamey and John Quinn. Hamey laid the groundwork during his tenure from 1954 through 1958. But it was Quinn, hired in January of 1959, whom owner Robert Carpenter allowed to greatly transform the team. Compared to current-day general managers, both Hamey and Quinn had limited options in trying to assemble a successful roster.</p>
<p>Though they lacked such modern tools as an amateur draft that drew from high-school, college, and amateur team rosters (which began in 1965), and free agency for veteran players (which started in 1975), Hamey and Quinn put together a winning team using the means at their disposal. When confronted with the age-old choice between bringing in new players as amateurs or acquiring more established players from other teams, the two GMs did both. As a result, the 19 regular players who made up the core of the 1964 Phillies were a fairly even mix of players developed in-house and those with experience with other clubs.</p>
<p>In 1964 most new players entering a team’s development system were usually amateur free agents – players who had not yet signed with another club. On the 1964 Phillies, nine regulars came to the team in this manner, including Dick Allen, Chris Short, and Rick Wise. Once signed, players typically spent several years with various minor-league teams associated with the major-league club. The Phillies who came up through the system averaged about 4⅓ seasons in the minors, ranging from Wise’s 12 games at Bakersfield, in the California State League (Class A), to Dallas Green and Bobby Wine’s six seasons on the farm.</p>
<p>Teams sometimes offered signing bonuses to amateur players when there was competition for their services, but the exact terms of the bonuses were not always made public. Two Phillies regulars signed for publicly-reported bonuses well in excess of the $14,863 that the average major leaguer made in 1964: Ray Culp was given $100,000 to sign, and Dick Allen was given $70,000. In addition, Art Mahaffey signed for a “standard” $4,000 bounty, while Chris Short received a signing bonus for an amount that was never made public.</p>
<p>By the late 1950s, concern by team owners over the size of signing bonuses had led to a series of steps that attempted to constrain them. At the 1958 winter meetings, baseball’s owners instituted the First-Year Player Draft.</p>
<p>Under the rules of this draft, teams could protect a limited number of major-league and minor-league players (39 in the first year of the draft.) Major-league teams then had an opportunity to select from a minor-league team any unprotected player who had completed one year in Organized Baseball, provided that the selecting team paid a fee to the player’s original team and kept him on the major-league roster. The Phillies took advantage of this draft to acquire two 1964 regulars: Jack Baldschun, who was chosen from the Cincinnati system in the 1960 draft, and Clay Dalrymple, who was taken from Milwaukee in 1959. Rick Wise’s short minor-league tenure was due to the fact that the Phillies had to keep him on their major-league roster in 1964 to protect him from being drafted by another team.</p>
<p>Because players of this era were tied to their clubs by the reserve clause, teams looking to acquire a player from another team’s protected roster had to work out a trade with the other team or an outright purchase of the player’s contract.</p>
<p>Seven 1964 Phillies regulars came to the team via trade: Ruben Amaro, Jim Bunning, Johnny Callison, Wes Covington, Tony Gonzalez, Cookie Rojas, and Tony Taylor,. These players were a mix of major-league veterans, like Bunning, who had spent seven seasons in the Detroit Tigers’ rotation, and Roy Sievers, a 15-year veteran; and rookies like Callison and Gonzalez. One Phillies regular came to the team via a straight sale of his contract: Ed Roebuck, who was purchased from the Washington Senators.</p>
<p>Major leaguers could become free agents if they were released by the team that controlled their contract, but none of the 1964 Phillies came to the team in this manner.</p>
<p>The table below summarizes how the Phillies acquired their nineteen 1964 regulars.<a class="sdendnoteanc" name="sdendnote1anc" href="#sdendnote1sym">1</a></p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p><strong>Table 1: Origins of 1964 Phillies Regular Players</strong></p>
<table width="100%">
<thead>
<tr class="tableizer-firstrow">
<th>Player</th>
<th>Acquisition <br />Date</th>
<th>Acquisition <br />Method</th>
<th>Acquisition <br />Source</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Dick Allen</td>
<td>1960</td>
<td>Amateur Free Agent</td>
<td>&nbsp;</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Ruben Amaro</td>
<td>12/03/58</td>
<td>Trade</td>
<td>St. Louis</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Jack Baldschun</td>
<td>11/28/60</td>
<td>First Year Player Draft</td>
<td>Cincinnati</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Dennis Bennett</td>
<td>05/07/58</td>
<td>Amateur Free Agent</td>
<td>&nbsp;</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Jim Bunning</td>
<td>12/05/63</td>
<td>Trade</td>
<td>Detroit</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Johnny Callison</td>
<td>12/09/59</td>
<td>Trade</td>
<td>White Sox</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Wes Covington</td>
<td>07/02/61</td>
<td>Trade</td>
<td>Kansas City</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Ray Culp</td>
<td>06/06/59</td>
<td>Amateur Free Agent</td>
<td>&nbsp;</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Clay Dalrymple</td>
<td>11/30/59</td>
<td>First-Year Player Draft</td>
<td>Milwaukee</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Tony Gonzalez</td>
<td>06/15/60</td>
<td>Trade</td>
<td>Cincinnati</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Dallas Green</td>
<td>1955</td>
<td>Amateur Free Agent</td>
<td>&nbsp;</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>John Herrnstein</td>
<td>12/02/58</td>
<td>Amateur Free Agent</td>
<td>&nbsp;</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Art Mahaffey</td>
<td>06/29/56</td>
<td>Amateur Free Agent</td>
<td>&nbsp;</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Ed Roebuck</td>
<td>04/21/64</td>
<td>Contract Sold</td>
<td>Washington</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Cookie Rojas</td>
<td>11/27/62</td>
<td>Trade</td>
<td>Cincinnati</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Chris Short</td>
<td>06/14/57</td>
<td>Amateur Free Agent</td>
<td>&nbsp;</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Roy Sievers</td>
<td>11/28/61</td>
<td>Trade</td>
<td>White Sox</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Tony Taylor</td>
<td>05/13/60</td>
<td>Trade</td>
<td>Cubs</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Gus Triandos</td>
<td>12/05/63</td>
<td>Trade</td>
<td>Detroit</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Bobby Wine</td>
<td>1957</td>
<td>Amateur Free Agent</td>
<td>&nbsp;</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Rick Wise</td>
<td>06/16/63</td>
<td>Amateur Free Agent</td>
<td>&nbsp;</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>How does the makeup of the 1964 Phillies compare to their rivals? Looking at the two teams they fought for the pennant – St. Louis and Cincinnati – they look quite similar.</p>
<p>The Cardinals’ origins largely mirror those of the Phillies, as shown in Table 2. The differences were that St. Louis did not utilize any players chosen through the First-Year Player Draft, while Philadelphia did not use any major-league free agents.</p>
<p>The Cardinals’ former free agent was, ironically, Curt Simmons, who was released by the Phillies. After the Phils cut him loose in 1960, Simmons was signed by St. Louis, where he earned nearly 70 wins over parts of seven seasons, including 18 in 1964. His record against his former mates was 19-6. He defeated the Phillies four times in 1964.</p>
<p>The Reds had a few more players acquired by sale and fewer brought in by trade. Overall, though, their roster shows a balance of players developed in-house and those who began their development elsewhere, not unlike the Phillies and Cardinals.</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p><strong>Table 2: Makeup of Rosters of 1964 NL Pennant Contenders</strong></p>
<table width="100%">
<thead>
<tr class="tableizer-firstrow">
<th>&nbsp;</th>
<th>Phillies</th>
<th>Cardinals</th>
<th>Reds</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Amateur Free Agents</td>
<td>9</td>
<td>8</td>
<td>10</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Major League Free Agents</td>
<td>0</td>
<td>1</td>
<td>1</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>First Year Player Draft</td>
<td>2</td>
<td>0</td>
<td>0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Trade</td>
<td>9</td>
<td>9</td>
<td>7</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Sale</td>
<td>1</td>
<td>1</td>
<td>3</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>The one significant difference among the teams was the major-league experience of the players they traded for or acquired through purchase. Although all three clubs acquired a mix of veterans and rookies, the Phillies and Cardinals acquired more veterans. While Philadelphia brought in players with an average of 4.1 years as a major-league regular and the Cardinals brought in players with 3.9 years of major-league experience, the players acquired by the Reds had just 2.0 years as a regular. The Reds apparently put a slightly lower premium on players with major-league experience.</p>
<p>With fewer options in 1964 for putting together a major-league roster, perhaps it shouldn’t be surprising that the three teams with such similar records were constructed in the same manner. Apparently, baseball’s unwritten rule book – the one that tells managers which players to use in certain situations – also contains a chapter or two for general managers.</p>
<p><em><strong>JIM SWEETMAN’s</strong> paternal great-grandfather emigrated from Ireland to work in the shipyards in Bristol, Pennsylvania, in the late 1800s, establishing the family’s affinity for Philadelphia baseball. He remains a lifelong Phillies fan, despite growing up on the edge of the New York media market in central New Jersey and living for the past 25 years just outside Washington, D.C. Since 1994, he’s operated www.broadandpattison.com, a website providing daily slices of Phillies history, for which he has conducted extensive reviews of contemporary press accounts. He holds Bachelors’ and Masters’ degrees from Rutgers University and an MBA from James Madison University. He is a senior official with the U.S. Government Accountability Office, where he manages efforts to evaluate the efficiency and effectiveness of government programs, primarily those dealing with information technology.</em></p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p><strong>Notes</strong></p>
<div id="sdendnote1">
<p class="sdendnote"><a class="sdendnotesym" name="sdendnote1sym" href="#sdendnote1anc">1</a> For the purposes of this article, a regular player is a position 	player who appeared in 80 games for his team in 1964, or a pitcher 	who appeared in 25 games.</p>
</div>
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		<title>1964 Phillies: What to do with two Gold Glove shortstops?</title>
		<link>https://sabr.org/journal/article/1964-phillies-what-to-do-with-two-gold-glove-shortstops/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[admin]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 06 Jan 2017 04:04:29 +0000</pubDate>
				<guid isPermaLink="false">http://dev.sabr.org/journal_articles/1964-phillies-what-to-do-with-two-gold-glove-shortstops/</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[During the four seasons that Bobby Wine and Ruben Amaro were teammates, from 1962 through 1965, they split the shortstop duties for the Philadelphia Phillies — and each won a Gold Glove. In May 1962, Rubén Amaro (who had previously been in the Mexican Army) was recalled to service in the US Army. The Phillies [&#8230;]]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><em>During the four seasons that Bobby Wine and Ruben Amaro were teammates, from 1962 through 1965, they split the shortstop duties for the Philadelphia Phillies — and each won a Gold Glove.<!--break--></em><img decoding="async" style="float: right;margin: 3px" src="http://sabr.org/sites/default/files/AmaroRuben.jpg" alt="" width="210" /></p>
<p>In May 1962, <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/a64c7591">Rubén Amaro</a> (who had previously been in the Mexican Army) was recalled to service in the US Army. The Phillies called up <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/afa9d4f2">Bobby Wine</a>, who had played four games for them in 1960, and made him the interim starter. Wine continued to play a lot after Amaro returned in late July. He performed well enough for the Phillies to consider trading Amaro during the offseason.<a class="sdendnoteanc" href="#sdendnote1sym" name="sdendnote1anc">1</a> Instead, manager <a>Gene Mauch</a> juggled them for three years more.</p>
<p>After playing winter ball in Mexico during the 1962-63 offseason, Amaro got off to a cold start with the bat with the Phillies in 1963. Also his fielding was still not quite up to his brilliant standard of 1961. Therefore, Mauch gave Wine another shot.<a class="sdendnoteanc" href="#sdendnote2sym" name="sdendnote2anc">2</a> Wine hit well for a few weeks, and though he tailed off severely at the plate after that, he continued to get more shortstop duty than Amaro overall. During the four seasons that Wine and Amaro were teammates, from 1962 through 1965, they split the shortstop duties as follows.</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p><strong>Rubén Amaro and Bobby Wine: Selected Averages, 1962-65</strong></p>
<table width="100%">
<thead>
<tr class="tableizer-firstrow">
<th> </th>
<th>Amaro</th>
<th>Wine</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Total games played</td>
<td>110</td>
<td>130</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Games played at SS</td>
<td>70</td>
<td>116</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Starts at SS</td>
<td>56</td>
<td>101</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Innings played at SS</td>
<td>500</td>
<td>884</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Plate appearances</td>
<td>263</td>
<td>380</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>OPS</td>
<td>.608</td>
<td>.573</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<p><em>Source: Baseball-Reference.com</em></p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p><img decoding="async" style="float: right;margin: 3px" src="http://sabr.org/sites/default/files/WineBobby.jpg" alt="" width="210" />It was an interesting pattern – not a true platoon in that both men were right-handed batters who didn’t contribute much with the stick. Both were excellent defenders who positioned themselves well, though Wine was known more for his stronger arm and Amaro for his greater range and quick release. <a href="https://sabr.org/bioproj/person/bcacaa59">Jim Bunning</a> said, “Wine was a completely different shortstop than Amaro, but they both got the job done.”<a class="sdendnoteanc" href="#sdendnote3sym" name="sdendnote3anc">3</a></p>
<p>In those days the players cast the ballots for the Gold Glove awards, and both Amaro and Wine were recognized by their National League peers. In 1962 Amaro lost a close race with <a href="https://sabr.org/bioproj/person/61b09409">Maury Wills</a> of the Los Angeles Dodgers.<a class="sdendnoteanc" href="#sdendnote4sym" name="sdendnote4anc">4</a> Wine emerged as the winner in 1963, beating <a href="https://sabr.org/bioproj/person/5f9f3329">Dick Groat</a> of the St. Louis Cardinals. Runners-up were <a href="https://sabr.org/bioproj/person/a2fb5d18">Roy McMillan</a> of Milwaukee, <a href="https://sabr.org/bioproj/person/00f3d9cf">Leo Cárdenas</a> of Cincinnati, and Amaro.<a class="sdendnoteanc" href="#sdendnote5sym" name="sdendnote5anc">5</a></p>
<p>Going into spring training in February 1964, Mauch called Wine the first-stringer and Amaro the backup.<a class="sdendnoteanc" href="#sdendnote6sym" name="sdendnote6anc">6</a> The following month, though, he was more ambivalent. He said, “They can both play in the field and, although they are different types, they are both among the best there is with the glove. We can’t lose anything there whichever one is the regular.” The skipper thought, however, that Wine had more upside with the bat.<a class="sdendnoteanc" href="#sdendnote7sym" name="sdendnote7anc">7</a></p>
<p>As it developed, Wine played 52% of the innings at short for Philly in 1964, Amaro 42%, and the scraps went to <a href="https://sabr.org/bioproj/person/0c6cd3b5">Cookie Rojas</a>. In 1989, as part of his retrospective series on the ’64 Phillies, Stan Hochman of the <em>Philadelphia Daily News</em> offered a witty view of how the shortstop tandem was used that year. “When it was over, manager Gene Mauch had wrung eight homers and 68 RBI out of his shortstop(s), shuffling Amaro and Wine in and out of the lineup based on biorhythms only he detected, based on the opposing pitcher, the day of the week, the phases of the moon.”<a class="sdendnoteanc" href="#sdendnote8sym" name="sdendnote8anc">8</a></p>
<p>Mauch often switched his shortstops in the middle of games. In 1989 <a href="https://sabr.org/bioproj/person/ed5eb551">Al Widmar</a> (the ’64 Phillies pitching coach) commented on those maneuvers. “I’ve never seen anything like it. Gene would start Amaro at short and then, for no apparent reason, bring in Wine in the fifth or sixth inning. And it seemed like, every time he did that, the other team would proceed to hit three shots that Wine would handle with ease.”<a class="sdendnoteanc" href="#sdendnote9sym" name="sdendnote9anc">9</a></p>
<p>There was more to it than hunches, though. In late May Mauch cited the need to give both Wine and <a href="https://sabr.org/bioproj/person/bc362446">Tony Taylor</a> some rest. He said, “There’s more mental pressure on the second baseman and shortstop than on any other regular except the catcher. Taylor and Wine have played almost every inning since spring training.” Philly beat writer Allen Lewis added, “Ruben Amaro, who can play any infield position expertly, has done everything Mauch asked of him and done it well.”<a class="sdendnoteanc" href="#sdendnote10sym" name="sdendnote10anc">10</a> For example, Amaro played a significant amount at first base, including seven starts during the 1964 season – six between the departure of <a href="https://sabr.org/bioproj/person/c8add426">Roy Sievers</a> and the arrival of <a href="https://sabr.org/bioproj/person/ff969dc6">Frank Thomas</a>. Wine was also capable of filling in at other spots, but primarily third base (he wasn’t quite as versatile).</p>
<p>Wine started 70 of the first 97 games at short, but then fell below the <a href="https://sabr.org/bioproj/person/09713f62">Mendoza</a> Line (sub-.200) and Mauch turned more to Amaro as the summer wore on. Late in the season, Lewis wrote that Amaro was back in his top form of 1961 in the field and was hitting respectably too. Rubén himself credited being in a good rhythm with regular play. Oddly enough, he said that a spring wrist injury helped his swing.<a class="sdendnoteanc" href="#sdendnote11sym" name="sdendnote11anc">11</a> In January 1965 Wine said, “There is nothing you can do about it. You get that tap on the shoulder from Gene Mauch. He says: ‘I’m going to give you a little rest.’ You know what happens? You have one devil of a time getting back in there. Somebody else gets hot and you become a bench squatter.”<a class="sdendnoteanc" href="#sdendnote12sym" name="sdendnote12anc">12</a></p>
<p>After the sad ending to the season, Amaro received some consolation in the form of the NL Gold Glove. He edged Cárdenas, teammate Wine, and McMillan (then with the New York Mets). <em>The Sporting News</em> said, “The award was long overdue for Amaro.”<a class="sdendnoteanc" href="#sdendnote13sym" name="sdendnote13anc">13</a></p>
<p>There was renewed talk after the 1964 season that the Phillies might look to deal either Wine or Amaro to another team.<a class="sdendnoteanc" href="#sdendnote14sym" name="sdendnote14anc">14</a> That did not come to pass for another year, though. On November 29, 1965 – not long after obtaining the veteran Dick Groat – Philadelphia traded Amaro to the New York Yankees for utility infielder <a href="https://sabr.org/bioproj/person/f198a865">Phil Linz</a>. The Yankees thought Linz would not develop into a regular shortstop; the Phillies viewed him as a bench reinforcement who might become something more. Yankees manager <a href="https://sabr.org/bioproj/person/7ba0b8fa">Ralph Houk</a> said, “We know Amaro isn’t much of a bet to win the batting title, but we know he is truly a first-class infielder.”<a class="sdendnoteanc" href="#sdendnote15sym" name="sdendnote15anc">15</a></p>
<p>Wine stayed with the Phillies through 1968, though he was the starter only in 1967. (Philadelphia went with Groat in 1966 and <a href="https://sabr.org/bioproj/person/6560061f">Roberto Peña</a> in 1968.) He then rejoined Mauch with the Montreal Expos, where he was the starter for three years (1969-71). Amaro had just one season left as a frontline shortstop in the majors (1967, with the Yankees). The pair was almost reunited in Montreal in 1970, but Amaro had a sore shoulder, which kept him from making the Expos roster.</p>
<p>As Stan Hochman wrote, “Their numbers were similar, their skills the same, their personalities low-key. Cerebral players with soft hands and soft voices.”<a class="sdendnoteanc" href="#sdendnote16sym" name="sdendnote16anc">16</a> Phillies historian David Jordan observed, “Shortstop was a pleasant puzzle for Mauch.”<a class="sdendnoteanc" href="#sdendnote17sym" name="sdendnote17anc">17</a> Indeed, a team under Gene Mauch was like a twirling kaleidoscope. One may imagine that because he came up as a shortstop himself, his keen eye focused on this spot in particular.</p>
<p><em><strong>RORY COSTELLO </strong>never had a chance to go to <a href="https://sabr.org/bioproj/parks/connie-mack-stadium">Connie Mack Stadium</a> but has enjoyed other visits to Philadelphia over the years. The thought of a Tommy DiNic&#8217;s roast pork sandwich makes him want to go back. Rory lives in Brooklyn, New York, with his wife Noriko and son Kai.</em></p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p><strong>Notes</strong></p>
<div id="sdendnote1">
<p class="sdendnote"><a class="sdendnotesym" href="#sdendnote1anc" name="sdendnote1sym">1</a> Allen Lewis, “Phils Brew Heady Potion with Bennett, Short, Wine,” <em>The Sporting News</em>, November 10, 1962, 15.</p>
</div>
<div id="sdendnote2">
<p class="sdendnote"><a class="sdendnotesym" href="#sdendnote2anc" name="sdendnote2sym">2</a> “Bobby Wine Stars in Amaro Position,” Associated Press, May 14, 1963. Allen Lewis, “Phils Rave Over Ruben’s Miracle Glove, Steady Bat,” <em>The Sporting News</em>, October 3, 1964, 6.</p>
</div>
<div id="sdendnote3">
<p class="sdendnote"><a class="sdendnotesym" href="#sdendnote3anc" name="sdendnote3sym">3</a> Frank Dolson, <em>Jim Bunning: Baseball and Beyond</em> (Philadelphia: Temple University Press, 1998), 56.</p>
</div>
<div id="sdendnote4">
<p class="sdendnote"><a class="sdendnotesym" href="#sdendnote4anc" name="sdendnote4sym">4</a> Despite his high-quality fielding, Amaro was not among the top vote-getters in either 1960 or 1961, perhaps because he was still establishing his reputation.</p>
</div>
<div id="sdendnote5">
<p class="sdendnote"><a class="sdendnotesym" href="#sdendnote5anc" name="sdendnote5sym">5</a> Oscar Kahan, “Wine Adds Tang to N.L. Fielding Team,” <em>The Sporting News,</em> November 2, 1963, 13.</p>
</div>
<div id="sdendnote6">
<p class="sdendnote"><a class="sdendnotesym" href="#sdendnote6anc" name="sdendnote6sym">6</a> Gene Mauch, “Mauch Makes No Predictions for Phillies,” Associated Press, February 15, 1964.</p>
</div>
<div id="sdendnote7">
<p class="sdendnote"><a class="sdendnotesym" href="#sdendnote7anc" name="sdendnote7sym">7</a> Allen Lewis, “Phils Dream of Feast at Dish, Led by Strong Wine,” <em>The Sporting News</em>, March 21, 1964, 15.</p>
</div>
<div id="sdendnote8">
<p class="sdendnote"><a class="sdendnotesym" href="#sdendnote8anc" name="sdendnote8sym">8</a> Stan Hochman, “The Shortstops,” <em>Philadelphia Daily News</em>, July 27, 1989.</p>
</div>
<div id="sdendnote9">
<p class="sdendnote"><a class="sdendnotesym" href="#sdendnote9anc" name="sdendnote9sym">9</a> Frank Fitzpatrick, “Professor of Baseball, Mauch Guided Team,” <em>Philadelphia Inquirer</em>, May 21, 1989.</p>
</div>
<div id="sdendnote10">
<p class="sdendnote"><a class="sdendnotesym" href="#sdendnote10anc" name="sdendnote10sym">10</a> Allen Lewis, “Phil Foes Crumble as Cookie Clouts,” <em>The Sporting News</em>, June 13, 1964, 7.</p>
</div>
<div id="sdendnote11">
<p class="sdendnote"><a class="sdendnotesym" href="#sdendnote11anc" name="sdendnote11sym">11</a> Lewis, “Phils Rave Over Ruben’s Miracle Glove, Steady Bat.”</p>
</div>
<div id="sdendnote12">
<p class="sdendnote"><a class="sdendnotesym" href="#sdendnote12anc" name="sdendnote12sym">12</a> Ray Kelly, “Wine in High Spirits, Hoping to Add Punch to Champagne Glove,” <em>The Sporting News</em>, January 23, 1965, 11.</p>
</div>
<div id="sdendnote13">
<p class="sdendnote"><a class="sdendnotesym" href="#sdendnote13anc" name="sdendnote13sym">13</a> Oscar Kahan, “Santo and Amaro Join N.L. Fielding Wizards,” <em>The Sporting News</em>, November 7, 1964, 15.</p>
</div>
<div id="sdendnote14">
<p class="sdendnote"><a class="sdendnotesym" href="#sdendnote14anc" name="sdendnote14sym">14</a> Allen Lewis, “Phils Well-Heeled at Shortstop; Listen to Bids for Amaro, Wine,” <em>The Sporting News</em>, November 28, 1964, 10.</p>
</div>
<div id="sdendnote15">
<p class="sdendnote"><a class="sdendnotesym" href="#sdendnote15anc" name="sdendnote15sym">15</a> Allen Lewis, “Knowles Gets Shot as Phils’ Starter – Brandt Has CF Job,” <em>The Sporting News</em>, December 18, 1965, 17. Til Ferdenzi, “Peppy, Bobby and Tony – Yank Three-Part Riddle,” <em>The Sporting News</em>, December 18, 1965, 17.</p>
</div>
<div id="sdendnote16">
<p class="sdendnote"><a class="sdendnotesym" href="#sdendnote16anc" name="sdendnote16sym">16</a> Hochman, “The Shortstops.”</p>
</div>
<div id="sdendnote17">
<p class="sdendnote"><a class="sdendnotesym" href="#sdendnote17anc" name="sdendnote17sym">17</a> David M. Jordan, <em>Occasional Glory: The History of the Philadelphia Phillies</em> (Jefferson, North Carolina: McFarland &amp; Company, 2002), 135.</p>
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		<title>1964 Phillies: The Amaro Chronicles</title>
		<link>https://sabr.org/journal/article/1964-phillies-the-amaro-chronicles/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[admin]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 06 Jan 2017 03:54:45 +0000</pubDate>
				<guid isPermaLink="false">http://dev.sabr.org/journal_articles/1964-phillies-the-amaro-chronicles/</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Rubén Amaro Sr. made a unique contribution to how the history of the 1964 Philadelphia Phillies was recorded. His letters to his parents (as first described&#160;in a 1965&#160;article for Sports Illustrated, “The Rise and Fall of the Fabulous Phillies”)&#160;were a contemporaneous&#160;internal view of the club.Rubén Amaro Sr. made a unique contribution to how the history [&#8230;]]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Rubén Amaro Sr. made a unique contribution to how the history of the 1964 Philadelphia Phillies was recorded. His letters to his parents (as first described&nbsp;in a 1965&nbsp;article for <em>Sports Illustrated</em>, “The Rise and Fall of the Fabulous Phillies”)&nbsp;were a contemporaneous&nbsp;internal view of the club.<!--break--><a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/a64c7591"><img decoding="async" style="margin: 3px; float: right;" src="http://sabr.org/sites/default/files/images/Amaro-Ruben-Sr.png" alt="" width="215">Rubén Amaro Sr.</a> made a unique contribution to how the history of the 1964 Philadelphia Phillies was recorded. A March 1965 article by William Leggett for <em>Sports Illustrated</em>, “The Rise and Fall of the Fabulous Phillies,” originally told this story in part. “Ruben Amaro, the fancy-fielding 28-year-old infielder, began writing weekly letters to his mother and father, who live in a pale-blue two-story house in Veracruz, Mexico.”<a class="sdendnoteanc" name="sdendnote1anc" href="#sdendnote1sym">1</a> These epistles were an internal view of the club, not external; they were contemporaneous, not retrospective.</p>
<p>They also possessed a special spirit. As a 2003 article for the <em>Philly Baseball Insider</em> website described it, neatly paraphrasing another passage of Leggett’s story, “(H)is letters sent back home to his family in that oh so wonderful summer of ’64 were so poignant and captured forever what every Phillie fan was feeling. … Amaro sensed early on that this season was magical. The letters to father <a href="https://sabr.org/bioproj/person/d41c1fe9">Santos</a> and mother Doña Pepa spoke of a team poised and ready to play daily, well coached and alive with talent and spirit. The letters excited his family, and the city of Veracruz soon adopted the Phillies as their own!”<a class="sdendnoteanc" name="sdendnote2anc" href="#sdendnote2sym">2</a></p>
<p>Alas, “those letters are no longer in existence,” Amaro said in 2012. “Mima kept them until 1971 and then she cleaned house.” What survives are the glimpses from Leggett’s article – though we also have the benefit of Amaro’s memories. He discussed how writing home was not something that started just in 1964. “Always and often,” he said. His earnings as a ballplayer were modest, yet he had long helped support Mima and Pipo, as he and his brother Mario always referred to their parents. “I used to send them, by a cashier’s check or a bank draft, their money every paycheck.” Rubén Sr. also noted that he supplemented his letters with occasional phone calls – despite the expense.</p>
<p>Leggett showed that Santos Amaro sounded a cautious note about the pennant race, based on his own baseball experience (though the description just scratched the surface of the father’s career). In response to Doña Pepa’s questions about whether the Phillies would win, he replied, “Be calm, old girl. In baseball anything can happen.’ ”<a class="sdendnoteanc" name="sdendnote3anc" href="#sdendnote3sym">3</a></p>
<p>Santos refrained from giving his son any advice, though. Rubén said, “My dad knew through me that we had one of the best managers in baseball in <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/36a8c32a">Gene Mauch</a>. He [Mauch] didn’t need any outside help.”</p>
<p>Leggett’s narrative continued, “The lead lengthened and Ruben Amaro began to dream dreams of the World Series. He wrote to Veracruz: ‘We are playing the best baseball of both leagues and nothing will stop us now. I want you and Mama and Teresa [Ruben’s 8-year-old adopted sister] to get ready to come to Philadelphia. I will wire you the money for the tickets, but you better start packing. …’ ”<a class="sdendnoteanc" name="sdendnote4anc" href="#sdendnote4sym">4</a></p>
<p>Indeed, Amaro ordered $1,800 worth of World Series tickets. The prices were $25 for a box seat, $17 for a reserved seat, and $9 for a bleacher seat.<a class="sdendnoteanc" name="sdendnote5anc" href="#sdendnote5sym">5</a> Since the National League pennant winner would be hosting four games (if the Series were to go to the full seven), that implied 18 strips of box seats. In addition to the Amaro parents and little sister Ana Teresa (fondly known as Ana Banana), other friends and family were invited. Rubén’s wife, Judy, was one of them, naturally, but his brother, Mario, was doing his medical internship at St. Joseph’s Hospital in Philadelphia.</p>
<p>Santos Amaro, however, remained circumspect. As author Frank Dolson wrote in his book about <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/bcacaa59">Jim Bunning</a>, with 12 games left to go, “Ruben Amaro placed a long-distance phone call to his father. … Ruben wanted him to fly to Philadelphia, be part of the Phillies’ victory drive. …‘I remember my father saying, I don’t like to sound pessimistic or anything, but I wouldn’t really be sure of playing [in the World Series] until I know you have clinched the pennant.’ ”<a class="sdendnoteanc" name="sdendnote6anc" href="#sdendnote6sym">6</a></p>
<p>Rubén re-emphasized this point in 2012. “Pipo was not superstitious but very observant and respectful of the rituals of baseball. From the onset of the Phillies Fever, he wrote me and told me, ‘We are not getting on the plane until I know for sure or read in the paper: the Phillies are National League champions.’ ”</p>
<p>Instead, as Leggett described it, the Veracruz local paper <em>Dictamen</em> arrived at the Amaros’ home with the headline, THE CARDS WIN THE PENNANT. Doña Pepa broke down in tears for only the second time in her life, sobbing for her son. In his last letter of the season, Rubén vividly depicted the team’s struggle down the stretch and admitted, “Perhaps I planned too far ahead when I asked you to come to Philadelphia.”<a class="sdendnoteanc" name="sdendnote7anc" href="#sdendnote7sym">7</a> The notion of a jinx was not a factor in his mind either, though. He added, “Pipo was also just protecting my expenses.”</p>
<p>Santos and Pepa Amaro survived until 2001 and 2007, respectively. They both made it up to the US after 1964; Rubén said, “Both he and Mima traveled several times to see their sons and grandchildren. My father never gave up his Cuban citizenship. We all tried to make him Mexican. It was easier for him to travel anywhere with a Mexican passport.”</p>
<p>Rubén Amaro, Sr. never did get to a World Series as a player, though he was present as first-base coach when the Phillies finally triumphed in 1980. “We won and it was fabulous, extraordinary – but nothing ever is going to make up for our loss in 1964.” He drew a parallel with another team he served as coach, the 1984 Chicago Cubs, who won the first two games of the NL Championship Series that year but couldn’t close it out. “We had a banner year, but it was devastating at the end when we lost three games to San Diego and couldn’t go to the Series.”</p>
<p>The good Catholic summed it up this way: “When the saints turn their back, there is simply no way you are going to win.”</p>
<p><em><strong>RORY COSTELLO </strong>never  had a chance to go to <a href="https://sabr.org/bioproj/parks/connie-mack-stadium">Connie  Mack Stadium</a> but has enjoyed other visits  to Philadelphia over the  years. The thought of a Tommy DiNic&#8217;s roast  pork sandwich makes him  want to go back. Rory lives in Brooklyn, New  York, with his wife Noriko  and son Kai.</em></p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p><strong>Sources</strong></p>
<p><em>Except where indicated, all quotes are from e-mails from Rubén Amaro, Sr. (October 31 and November 1, 2012).</em></p>
<div id="sdendnote1">
<p class="sdendnote"><a class="sdendnotesym" name="sdendnote1sym" href="#sdendnote1anc">1</a> William Leggett, “The Rise and Fall of the Fabulous Phillies,” <em>Sports Illustrated</em>, 	March 1, 1965.</p>
</div>
<div id="sdendnote2">
<p class="sdendnote"><a class="sdendnotesym" name="sdendnote2sym" href="#sdendnote2anc">2</a> “Connect The Dots&#8230; Six More Groundballs To Amaro,” <em>Philly 	Baseball Insider</em>, May 	5, 2003 (http://phillies.scout.com/2/109161.html).</p>
</div>
<div id="sdendnote3">
<p class="sdendnote"><a class="sdendnotesym" name="sdendnote3sym" href="#sdendnote3anc">3</a> Leggett, “The Rise and Fall of the Fabulous Phillies.”</p>
</div>
<div id="sdendnote4">
<p class="sdendnote"><a class="sdendnotesym" name="sdendnote4sym" href="#sdendnote4anc">4</a> Leggett, “The Rise and Fall of the Fabulous Phillies.”</p>
</div>
<div id="sdendnote5">
<p class="sdendnote"><a class="sdendnotesym" name="sdendnote5sym" href="#sdendnote5anc">5</a> Dave Anderson, <em>Pennant 	Races</em> (New York: 	Doubleday, 1994), 257.</p>
</div>
<div id="sdendnote6">
<p class="sdendnote"><a class="sdendnotesym" name="sdendnote6sym" href="#sdendnote6anc">6</a> Frank Dolson, <em>Jim 	Bunning: Baseball and Beyond</em> (Philadelphia: Temple University Press, 1998), 71.</p>
</div>
<div id="sdendnote7">
<p class="sdendnote"><a class="sdendnotesym" name="sdendnote7sym" href="#sdendnote7anc">7</a> Leggett, “The Rise and Fall of the Fabulous Phillies.”</p>
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		<title>1964 Phillies: The Pennant Was Stolen!</title>
		<link>https://sabr.org/journal/article/1964-phillies-the-pennant-was-stolen/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[admin]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 05 Jan 2017 21:34:48 +0000</pubDate>
				<guid isPermaLink="false">http://dev.sabr.org/journal_articles/1964-phillies-the-pennant-was-stolen/</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[It isn’t hard to believe that during 1965 spring training manager Gene Mauch had the Philadelphia Phillies practice defending the steal of home. The team was a victim of the play on three different occasions down the stretch in the 1964 pennant race.It isn’t hard to believe that during 1965 spring training manager Gene Mauch [&#8230;]]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>It isn’t hard to believe that during 1965 spring training manager Gene  Mauch had the Philadelphia Phillies practice defending the steal of  home. The team was a victim of the play on three different occasions down the stretch in the 1964 pennant race.<!--break-->It isn’t hard to believe that during 1965 spring training manager Gene Mauch had the Philadelphia Phillies practice defending the steal of home. Chico Ruiz’s eight-year career peaked in his rookie season <a href="http://sabr.org/research/1964-phillies-defense-chico-ruizs-mad-dash">when he stole home in the sixth inning</a> with two outs and Frank Robinson at bat for the game’s only run versus the battery of Mahaffey and Dalrymple. This was on September 21, 1964, the first game of the Phillies’ disastrous ten-game losing streak.</p>
<p>But there was more to it than that.  On Saturday, September 19, the Phillies played 16 innings in Los Angeles.  The Phillies had to be tired.  Their last offday had been in August.  They were almost finished a road trip itinerary of Phila.-SF-Hou.-LA-Phila. with no travel days. Jack Baldschun, in his third inning of work, got two quick outs but then gave up a Willie Davis single.  Davis stole second on Baldschun and Dalrymple.  That let Mauch order an intentional walk for Tommy Davis.  With Ron Fairly up, Baldschun threw a wild pitch, moving up the runners.  Mauch brought in September call-up lefty Morrie Steevens to pitch to Fairly.  Willie Davis won the game with a walk-off steal of home.  The Phillies were in the beginning of a 1-12 slump.</p>
<p>Let’s move forward to the night after Ruiz’s dash, September 22.  Chris Short had loaded the bases with one out, but got Vada Pinson to ground into a force out, knocking in the game’s first run and moving Pete Rose to third base.  Frank Robinson, the once and future MVP, stepped to the plate.  Rose and Pinson pulled off a double steal as Triandos threw the ball into center field.  The proud Robinson stepped back in and took Short downtown for a 4-0 lead; the Phillies’ losing streak was at two.  If the Phillies had gotten an out on the double steal, Short would have escaped the inning down only one.</p>
<p>So three critical successful steals of home and Philadelphia finished one game out.</p>
<p><em><strong>CLEM COMLY</strong> (1955-2014) was a SABR member for more than 30 years and  longtime co-chair of the Statistical Analysis Committee. He was vice  president and treasurer of Retrosheet, the organization&#8217;s Cy Young of  play-by-play translation and computer input. <span class="tab-box">He was also a contributing editor to several SABR publications, including <a href="http://sabr.org/latest/sabr-digital-library-sweet-60-1960-pittsburgh-pirates">&#8220;Sweet &#8217;60: The 1960 Pittsburgh Pirates.&#8221;</a> He was an inveterate trivia buff and helped <a href="http://sabr.org/content/sabr-trivia-contest-winners">create and vet questions</a> for the contests at the last several annual SABR conventions.</span></em></p>
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		<title>1964 Phillies: Jim Bunning&#8217;s perfect game</title>
		<link>https://sabr.org/journal/article/1964-phillies-jim-bunnings-perfect-game/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[admin]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 05 Jan 2017 21:29:06 +0000</pubDate>
				<guid isPermaLink="false">http://dev.sabr.org/journal_articles/1964-phillies-jim-bunnings-perfect-game/</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[When Jim Bunning stepped to the mound in Shea Stadium on June 21, 1964, perhaps the last thing on his mind was pitching a perfect game. When Jim Bunning stepped to the mound in Shea Stadium on June 21, 1964, perhaps the last thing on his mind was pitching a perfect game. After all, no [&#8230;]]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>When Jim Bunning stepped to the mound in Shea Stadium on June 21, 1964, perhaps the last thing on his mind was pitching a perfect game.</p>
<p><!--break--><img decoding="async" style="float: right; margin: 3px;" src="http://sabr.org/sites/default/files/images/Bunning%20Jim%204298.69_HS_NBL.jpg" alt="" width="220">When <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/bcacaa59">Jim Bunning</a> stepped to the mound in Shea Stadium on June 21, 1964, perhaps the last thing on his mind was pitching a perfect game. After all, no one had hurled such a gem in the National League since John Montgomery Ward in 1880, a time when pitchers threw underhand and from a distance of just 45 feet from home plate. The American League had seen a few perfectos in the intervening years, but none in the regular season since Charlie Robertson’s for the Chicago White Sox in 1922.</p>
<p>But there were several factors working in Bunning’s favor. For one, he was a terrific pitcher. In nine seasons with the Detroit Tigers from 1955 through 1963, he made seven All-Star teams and led the American League in strikeouts twice. In 1958 he hurled a no-hitter against the Boston Red Sox, whose lineup included Ted Williams and that year’s American League MVP, Jackie Jensen.</p>
<p>Moreover, after a down year in Detroit in 1963 that resulted in his trade to Philadelphia, Bunning was off to a great start with his new club. When he took the mound on June 21 he was already 6-2 with an earned-run average of 2.27. Only a month earlier, he had thrown a one-hitter against the Houston Astros.</p>
<p>Finally, it was Father’s Day, and Bunning was the proud papa of seven children at the time.  So if there was ever a day for him to pitch a memorable game, Father’s Day seemed like it.</p>
<p>The Phillies and Mets were scheduled for a doubleheader, with Bunning facing Tracy Stallard in the first game, and 18-year-old phenom Rick Wise, making his second professional start, opposing Frank Lary in the second game. Stallard, of course, was famous (or infamous) for giving up Roger Maris’s record-breaking 61st home run on the last day of the 1961 season.</p>
<p>More than 32,000 fans flocked to Shea Stadium on the 21st despite oppressive heat and humidity; by game time, the temperature had risen to 90 degrees and the humidity was thicker than pea soup.</p>
<p>The Phillies got off to a quick start, scoring in the top of the first inning when rookie sensation Dick Allen singled home Johnny Briggs from second base. At the time, no one knew that this solitary run would be enough support for Bunning.</p>
<p>In the bottom of the first, Bunning handled the Mets easily, striking out leadoff hitter Jim Hickman and then inducing a ground ball by Ron Hunt and a popup by Ed Kranepool.</p>
<p>The Phillies tacked on another run in the second when catcher Gus Triandos doubled home second baseman Tony Taylor with two outs. The bottom of the inning went much like the prior stanza, with Bunning setting down the Mets in order quite easily.</p>
<p>Bunning cruised through the third and fourth innings without any Met even coming close to getting on base. “As the game went on, all of my pitches were working well,” he said in a 2000 interview. “The slider, the curve, and fastball all got thrown in the areas where I was trying to throw them to. I was ahead of all the hitters, which also made it much easier.”<a class="sdendnoteanc" name="sdendnote1anc" href="#sdendnote1sym">1</a></p>
<p>In the fifth inning the Mets came close to reaching base when catcher Jesse Gonder drilled a Bunning changeup between first and second base. Phillies second baseman Tony Taylor ranged to his left and knocked the ball down with his glove, but it bounced and rolled a few feet away. Taylor hopped up quickly, retrieved the ball, and made a fancy pirouette throw to first that beat Gonder by a nose.</p>
<p>“Taylor made an unbelievable play,” Bunning recalled. “When he did that, I thought I might have something special going. Looking back, that was the play. Immediately after the fifth inning, I became aware of what we were doing.” <a class="sdendnoteanc" name="sdendnote2anc" href="#sdendnote2sym">2</a></p>
<p>Unlike other pitchers, who usually never mention an ongoing no-hitter or perfect game for fear of jinxing the effort (and to whom fellow players typically won’t utter a word), Bunning started talking about the possibility of perfection when the Phillies returned to the dugout after the fifth. “Everybody tried to get away from him,” said teammate Johnny Callison, “but Bunning was so wired that he followed us around.”<a class="sdendnoteanc" name="sdendnote3anc" href="#sdendnote3sym">3</a></p>
<p>Perhaps fired up by his mound work, Bunning helped his own cause in the top of the sixth inning when he ripped a two-run double to left-center field that extended the Phillies’ lead to 6-0.</p>
<p>Bunning enjoyed an easy sixth inning, and when he returned to the dugout he really began jabbering about the possibility of perfection. “He was coming into the dugout, yelling at the guys, and counting down the outs,” said Phillies manager Gene Mauch later.<a class="sdendnoteanc" name="sdendnote4anc" href="#sdendnote4sym">4</a></p>
<p>“As the game progressed, in the seventh, eighth, and ninth, I kept urging my teammates that we had a perfect game going. I told them it was time to start diving at balls,” Bunning said.<a class="sdendnoteanc" name="sdendnote5anc" href="#sdendnote5sym">5</a></p>
<p>It wasn’t only Bunning who was showing such excitement. The Mets fans, who realized that their opponent hadn’t allowed a baserunner though six innings, began cheering for the Phillies pitcher when he took the mound in the seventh inning. “It was unusual to have everyone there rooting for me,” Bunning said. “It was kind of strange. Everyone stood up. You don’t expect the whole crowd to stand up during a game. But they all stood up.” <a class="sdendnoteanc" name="sdendnote6anc" href="#sdendnote6sym">6</a></p>
<p>Despite the oppressive heat and humidity, Bunning got stronger as the game went on. In the seventh inning, he struck out Jim Hickman and Ed Kranepool, and induced an easy groundout from Ron Hunt.</p>
<p>There was a very brief scare in the eighth. With two outs, Bunning ran the count full against Mets left fielder Rob “Hawk” Taylor. Bunning blew a called third strike fastball past Taylor that would have ended the inning, but Triandos dropped the ball. As Taylor took off for first base, there was an audible gasp from the crowd, now firmly in favor of Bunning. But Triandos snatched the ball and gunned a perfect throw to first base to preserve the perfect game.</p>
<p>As he took to the mound in the ninth inning, everyone but Bunning seemed to have their hearts in their throats. Little did they know there was no reason to worry. Bunning was truly unhittable. He got the first batter, Charley Smith, on a foul fly to shortstop Cookie Rojas.</p>
<p>In the hopes of breaking through, Mets skipper Casey Stengel sent in George Altman to pinch-hit for Amado Samuel. Altman was a good hitter who twice topped the .300 mark and made two All-Star teams with the Cubs, in 1961 and ’62. But on this day he was no match for Bunning. After Altman fouled away two pitches, he whiffed on a low outside fastball.</p>
<p>With only one out left and the pitcher due up, Stengel sent John Stephenson up to pinch-hit. With the mounting pressure, Bunning signaled his catcher to the mound for some encouragement. “He wanted me to tell him a joke,” Triandos said later. “But I couldn’t think of anything!  So I told him to get this guy and that was it.”<a class="sdendnoteanc" name="sdendnote7anc" href="#sdendnote7sym">7</a></p>
<p>Stephenson, a rookie, was batting a mere .074 when he came to the plate to try to break up the perfect game. Like everyone else that day, he was no match for Bunning, who went ahead 0-2 on two wicked curveballs. After wasting a pair of pitches, Bunning reached back and delivered a perfect curveball that Stephenson swung over. Strike Three! Game Over! Perfection!</p>
<p>The crowd at Shea went crazy, realizing they had just witnessed one of the rarest occurrences in baseball history. The Phillies swarmed Bunning as he walked off the mound. The proud father of seven had just done something that hadn’t been accomplished in 84 years in the National League, and everyone wanted to celebrate.</p>
<p>Two hours and 19 minutes, 10 strikeouts, no hits, no walks, no errors, and no hit batsmen.</p>
<p>He threw only 90 pitches, a remarkably low number considering that he struck out ten batters.</p>
<p>That night Bunning was invited to appear on the nation’s most popular television program, <em>The Ed Sullivan Show</em>. When asked, Bunning agreed, but wanted an appearance fee of $1,000, which he received. Another planned guest on the show was golfer Ken Venturi, who had battled dehydration and heat exhaustion to win the U.S. Open on the same day.</p>
<p>The Sullivan crowd welcomed Bunning with a roar, an ovation that was outdone only by their cheering for Venturi. Bunning shook his hand and told him jokingly, “I finally do something to get my picture on the front page of sports sections everywhere, and you have to come along and knock me off.” <a class="sdendnoteanc" name="sdendnote8anc" href="#sdendnote8sym">8</a></p>
<p>But the perfect game surely increased Bunning’s profile and reputation. In a 1989 interview, the pitcher credited the perfect game for much of his Hall of Fame reputation, and added that he made about $30,000 in commercial and advertisement fees because of his increased visibility and popularity.</p>
<p><em><strong>JAMES LINCOLN RAY</strong> is a lawyer in Philadelphia lawyer whose obsession with baseball is only outdone by his love for really delicious Belgian beers.</em></p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p><strong>Sources</strong></p>
<p>“Bunning Throws Perfect Game,” <em>New York Times</em>, June 22, 1964.</p>
<p>Buckley, James Jr., <em>Perfect</em> (Chicago: Triumph Books, 2002).</p>
<p>Coffey, Michael, <em>27 Men Out</em> (New York: Atria Books, 2004).</p>
<p>Fitzpatrick, Frank. “Bunning’s 1964 Perfect Game Set Philly Standard,” <em>Philadelphia Inquirer</em>, May 30, 2010.</p>
<p>Schindler, Kevin, “Jim Bunning’s Perfect Game on Father’s Day in 1964,” Suite101.com.</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p><strong>Notes</strong></p>
<div id="sdendnote1">
<p class="sdendnote"><a class="sdendnotesym" name="sdendnote1sym" href="#sdendnote1anc">1</a> James Buckley, Jr.,<em> Perfect</em> (Chicago: 	Triumph Books, 2002), 92.</p>
</div>
<div id="sdendnote2">
<p class="sdendnote"><a class="sdendnotesym" name="sdendnote2sym" href="#sdendnote2anc">2</a> Buckley, 93.</p>
</div>
<div id="sdendnote3">
<p><a class="sdendnotesym" name="sdendnote3sym" href="#sdendnote3anc">3</a> “Bunning Throws Perfect Game,” <em>New 	York Times</em>, 	June 22, 1964.</p>
</div>
<div id="sdendnote4">
<p class="sdendnote"><a class="sdendnotesym" name="sdendnote4sym" href="#sdendnote4anc">4</a> Buckley, 95.</p>
</div>
<div id="sdendnote5">
<p class="sdendnote"><a class="sdendnotesym" name="sdendnote5sym" href="#sdendnote5anc">5</a> Ibid.</p>
</div>
<div id="sdendnote6">
<p class="sdendnote"><a class="sdendnotesym" name="sdendnote6sym" href="#sdendnote6anc">6</a> Ibid.</p>
</div>
<div id="sdendnote7">
<p class="sdendnote"><a class="sdendnotesym" name="sdendnote7sym" href="#sdendnote7anc">7</a> Ibid.</p>
</div>
<div id="sdendnote8">
<p class="sdendnote"><a class="sdendnotesym" name="sdendnote8sym" href="#sdendnote8anc">8</a> <em>New York Times</em>, 	June 22, 1964.</p>
</div>
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		<title>1964 Phillies: Johnny Callison&#8217;s All-Star Game Home Run</title>
		<link>https://sabr.org/journal/article/1964-phillies-johnny-callisons-all-star-game-home-run/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[admin]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 05 Jan 2017 21:21:20 +0000</pubDate>
				<guid isPermaLink="false">http://dev.sabr.org/journal_articles/1964-phillies-johnny-callisons-all-star-game-home-run/</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Named to the 1964 National League All-Star Game roster as a reserve outfielder, Johnny Callison wound up as the game’s hero, hitting a dramatic walk-off three-run homer with two outs in the ninth inning to give the NL a 7-4 victory.Named to the 1964 National League All-Star Game roster as a reserve outfielder, Johnny Callison [&#8230;]]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Named to the 1964 National League All-Star Game roster as a reserve outfielder, Johnny Callison wound up as the game’s hero, hitting a dramatic walk-off three-run homer with two outs in the ninth inning to give the NL a 7-4 victory.<!--break--><img decoding="async" style="float: right; margin: 3px;" src="http://sabr.org/sites/default/files/images/Callison%20John%205270.71a_HS_NBL_0.jpg" alt="" width="220">Named to the 1964 National League All-Star Game roster as a reserve outfielder, <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/8bdc6391">Johnny Callison</a> wound up as the game’s hero, hitting a dramatic walk-off three-run homer with two outs in the ninth inning to give the NL a 7-4 victory.</p>
<p>The 35th midsummer classic was played on Tuesday, July 7, at Shea Stadium in Queens, New York, the home of the New York Mets. The managers were Walt Alston of the Los Angeles Dodgers for the National League and Al Lopez of the Chicago White Sox for the American League.</p>
<p>The players, managers, and coaches selected the All-Star starters in those years and the managers named the reserves and the pitchers. Though the Phillies were in first place, no Philadelphia players were picked as starters. Callison and pitchers Jim Bunning and Chris Short were added by Alston. Callison felt that his teammate Richie Allen (later called Dick Allen) should have been named the starting third baseman, but the Cardinals’ Ken Boyer got the nod, and the Cubs’ Ron Santo finished second in the balloting.</p>
<p>Callison joined NL starting outfielders Roberto Clemente, Billy Williams, and Willie Mays, and reserves Curt Flood, Hank Aaron, and Willie Stargell. Callison had prior All-Star experience— he had been named a reserve outfielder and saw action as a pinch-hitter in both 1962 All-Star contests. He singled in the first game, won by the NL, 3-1, on July 10, and drew a walk in the second game, won by the AL, 9-4, on July 30. (From 1959 to 1962 there were two All-Star Games each season, a move made to bolster the players’ pension fund.)</p>
<p>The starting pitchers for the 1964 contest were Dean Chance of the Los Angeles Angels and Don Drysdale of the Los Angeles Dodgers. Before a crowd of 50,850, the American League scored in the top of the first inning on a single by Harmon Killebrew. Dean Chance allowed just two hits in four innings. Jim Bunning replaced Drysdale in the top of the fourth inning, and John Wyatt replaced Chance in the bottom of the inning. Wyatt allowed two runs on home runs by Billy Williams and Boyer, and it was 2-1, National League. The NL added another run in the bottom of the fourth on a double by Dick Groat.</p>
<p>Callison entered the game as a pinch-hitter for Bunning in the top of the fifth inning and popped up to shortstop. Chris Short replaced Bunning in the top of the sixth inning. Callison thought that he was done after he pinch-hit but manager Alston sent him in to play right field. Hank Aaron was sitting on the bench, not feeling well.</p>
<p>The American League scored two runs off Short in the sixth on a triple by Brooks Robinson, tying the score at 3-3. The AL scored another run in the seventh on a sacrifice fly by Jim Fregosi to make it 4-3.</p>
<p>Pitcher Dick “The Monster” Radatz came into the game for the American League in the bottom of the seventh inning. He struck out Bill White and Leo Cardenas on called third strikes, and got Callison to hit a fly ball to deep center field. It stayed in the park and was caught, but Radatz thought he’d better throw Callison high heat if he faced him again.</p>
<p>The National League came to bat in the bottom of the ninth inning still trailing 4-3 and Radatz was still pitching. Willie Mays led off and battled Radatz to an 11-pitch base on balls. Radatz thought he had Mays struck out on a 2-and-2 pitch, but the pitch was called a ball. Radatz was upset with the call and walked Mays, who then stole second base. Orlando Cepeda singled, and Mays scored on a throwing error by first baseman Joe Pepitone to tie the score at 4-4. Ken Boyer hit a pop fly for the first out. Radatz walked Johnny Edwards intentionally. Hank Aaron pinch-hit for second baseman Ron Hunt and struck out for the second out.</p>
<p>Johnny Callison was up next. He had borrowed a lighter bat from Billy Williams so he could speed up his swing. Radatz remembered that Callison earlier hit his low pitch to deep center field, where Mickey Mantle had to make a nice catch on it near the wall. So Radatz started Callison off with a high fastball. Callison figured Radatz might start him off that way, and thought that if it was close to a strike, he’d swing. He guessed correctly and deposited the ball into the right-field stands for a 7-4 NL victory.</p>
<p>The Phillies never made it to the World Series in ’64; nor did Callison in his career. This was the finest moment of his career. Callison was named to one more All-Star Game in 1965. Selected as a reserve, he did not play in the NL’s 6-5 victory.</p>
<p><em><strong>MEL MARMER</strong> lives in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania and Piegaro, Italy with  Vickie Schafer Aspinwall and their two dogs, Thatcher and Eli. Mel has  two daughters and two grandsons. He is an alumnus of the University of  The Arts, Philadelphia, with a degree in Graphic Design. He writes  poetry, and short stories. He enjoys literature, history, and baseball,  and gets (mostly) down with the Phillies.</em></p>
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		<title>1964 Phillies: In defense of Chico Ruiz&#8217;s &#8216;Mad Dash&#8217;</title>
		<link>https://sabr.org/journal/article/1964-phillies-in-defense-of-chico-ruizs-mad-dash/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[admin]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 05 Jan 2017 20:37:28 +0000</pubDate>
				<guid isPermaLink="false">http://dev.sabr.org/journal_articles/1964-phillies-in-defense-of-chico-ruizs-mad-dash/</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[The word “daring” is associated with Chico Ruiz’s game-winning steal of home on September 21, 1964. &#8220;Insane&#8221; and &#8220;mad&#8221; are among the labels, too. But was he really so wrong? An analysis of the famous play in the National League pennant race. &#160; “We’re playing Cincinnati. Two outs in the sixth inning, and we’re locked [&#8230;]]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The word “daring” is associated with Chico Ruiz’s game-winning steal of home on September 21, 1964. &#8220;Insane&#8221; and &#8220;mad&#8221; are among the labels, too. But was he really so wrong? An analysis of the famous play in the National League pennant race.<!--break--></p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>“<em>We’re playing Cincinnati. Two outs in the sixth inning, and we’re locked in a scoreless tie. <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/dac7efab">Chico Ruiz</a> on third, <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/c3ac5482">Frank Robinson</a> at the plate. Suddenly Ruiz takes off. He’s stealing home! Nobody could  believe Ruiz would steal home with Robinson at the plate. Guys on the  Reds were screaming ‘No, Chico! No, no!’ But he was gone, baby, and he  was safe. We lost that game 1-0, and it broke our hump. It was the start  of our ten-game losing streak.”</em> — <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/92ed657e">Dick Allen</a>, from his 1989 memoir, <em>Crash</em></p>
<p><img decoding="async" style="float: right; margin: 3px;" src="http://sabr.org/sites/default/files/images/RuizChico.jpg" alt="" width="215">“A  bonehead play of the year,” <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/36a8c32a">Gene Mauch</a> railed after that ominous loss  on September 21, 1964. “A stupid move for Ruiz,” catcher <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/f722e332">Clay Dalrymple</a> sneered, 25 years later.<a class="sdendnoteanc" name="sdendnote1anc" href="#sdendnote1sym">1</a> <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/8ddd4a43">Art Mahaffey</a>, the pitcher in this astounding moment, echoed them in  2007. “It was so stupid, it was the most stupid play ever in baseball,  probably.  … It was so stupid, it worked.”<a class="sdendnoteanc" name="sdendnote2anc" href="#sdendnote2sym">2</a></p>
<p>Not  only Ruiz’s intelligence was questioned – his sanity was, too. “Insane”  and “mad” are among the labels frequently attached to the play. Even  his manager in late 1964, <a href="https://sabr.org/bioproj/person/121cb7bc">Dick Sisler</a>, said, “He goes crazy on the bases  sometimes.”<a class="sdendnoteanc" name="sdendnote3anc" href="#sdendnote3sym">3</a> In his 1989 retrospective series about the ’64 season, Stan Hochman of the <em>Philadelphia Daily News</em> wrote, “So impetuous, so implausible, so impossible to justify.”<a class="sdendnoteanc" name="sdendnote4anc" href="#sdendnote4sym">4</a></p>
<p>The  word “daring” is associated with Ruiz’s play, too — but it’s far  outweighed by the pejoratives. Had <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/bb9e2490">Jackie Robinson</a>, <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/7551754a">Ty Cobb</a>, <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/92638bc5">Pete  Reiser</a>, or <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/0746c6ee">Rod Carew</a> pulled off that steal, the move could well have  been portrayed as brilliant in light of their stature. Ruiz, a rookie  utilityman with a reputation as a joker, did not enjoy any such luster.</p>
<p>But was he really so wrong?</p>
<p>A revisionist look is in order. As John Thorn and Pete Palmer wrote in <em>The Hidden Game of Baseball</em>, “the two-out steal of home is the unknown great percentage play.”<a class="sdendnoteanc" name="sdendnote5anc" href="#sdendnote5sym">5</a> Let’s take it deeper, with some insights from two contributors to <em>Hardball Times</em>, Shane Tourtellotte and Dan Turkenkopf.</p>
<p>In 2012 Tourtellotte wrote, “The best situation for stealing home is with a runner on third only and two outs.”<a class="sdendnoteanc" name="sdendnote6anc" href="#sdendnote6sym">6</a> The Leverage Index is a measure of how important a particular situation  is in a baseball game depending on the inning, score, outs, and number  of players on base. The leverage refers to the impact on Win Expectancy,  or the team’s statistical probability of winning the game. When Ruiz  was on third that night with Robinson batting, it was 2.1 – i.e., high  (1.0 is neutral).<a class="sdendnoteanc" name="sdendnote7anc" href="#sdendnote7sym">7</a></p>
<p>Now  it’s time to calculate the break-even point: weighing failure vs.  success in terms of how the outcome could influence Win Expectancy. The <em>Hardball Times’</em> “Win Probability Inquirer” and a simple equation make this task much  easier. One variable is the run environment (how park and league factors  affect run-scoring levels).<a class="sdendnoteanc" name="sdendnote8anc" href="#sdendnote8sym">8</a> Flexing this assumption yields some minor differences, but for Ruiz in that spot, the break-even point was approximately 28%.<a class="sdendnoteanc" name="sdendnote9anc" href="#sdendnote9sym">9</a> That meant he should have gone for it if he had at least a 28% chance  of success. Art Mahaffey was a righty, a minus for the runner on  attempted steals of home – but he was pitching from a full windup and  paying no attention to the runner.</p>
<p>On the face of it, therefore,  the gamble looks worthwhile – especially in view of the surprisingly  positive data on success rates in straight steals of home. Turkenkopf  studied the 2000-2009 period because information over a longer time  frame was not readily available. He also acknowledged that the sample  was small: just 25 attempts, with some uncertainty about circumstances.  However, 15 of the plate thieves were safe – 60%.</p>
<p>As Turkenkopf  cautioned, though, the break-even point is simplistic. “There’s actually  an additional option: Don’t attempt a steal.”<a class="sdendnoteanc" name="sdendnote10anc" href="#sdendnote10sym">10</a> In other words, according to the prevailing argument then and since,  why should Ruiz have taken the chance when he could have stayed put and  let Frank Robinson swing away? Stan Hochman put it this way in 1989:  “The unwritten rules of baseball? Embedded in our DNA. You don’t steal  home against a right-handed pitcher with your best hitter at the plate.”<a class="sdendnoteanc" name="sdendnote11anc" href="#sdendnote11sym">11</a></p>
<p>Robinson was absolutely a money hitter, as Table 1 shows:</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p><strong>Table 1: Frank Robinson with runners on third and two out</strong></p>
<table width="100%">
<thead>
<tr class="tableizer-firstrow">
<th>&nbsp;</th>
<th>&nbsp;</th>
<th>PA</th>
<th>AB</th>
<th>H</th>
<th>AVG</th>
<th>2B</th>
<th>3B</th>
<th>HR</th>
<th>RBI</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td><strong>Runner on 3B only</strong></td>
<td><strong>1964</strong></td>
<td>14</td>
<td>12</td>
<td>5</td>
<td>.417</td>
<td>3</td>
<td>0</td>
<td>1</td>
<td>6</td>
</tr>
<tr style="border-bottom: 1pt solid black;">
<td>&nbsp;</td>
<td><strong>Career</strong></td>
<td>247</td>
<td>190</td>
<td>58</td>
<td>.305</td>
<td>19</td>
<td>1</td>
<td>11</td>
<td>69</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><strong>Runners on 3B and other bases</strong></td>
<td><strong>1964</strong></td>
<td>46</td>
<td>37</td>
<td>13</td>
<td>.351</td>
<td>3</td>
<td>3</td>
<td>2</td>
<td>20</td>
</tr>
<tr style="border-bottom: 1pt solid black;">
<td>&nbsp;</td>
<td><strong>Career</strong></td>
<td>603</td>
<td>487</td>
<td>146</td>
<td>.300</td>
<td>34</td>
<td>5</td>
<td>24</td>
<td>230</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<p><em>Source: Baseball-Reference.com</em></p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>His lifetime record against Art Mahaffey was 19-for-58 (.328) with two homers.</p>
<p>We  can now introduce a concept from economics: opportunity cost – i.e.,  what is given up by making a choice. Table 2 shows what might have  happened if Ruiz had stayed put.</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p><strong>Table 2: Win Expectancy for the Cincinnati Reds<br />Top of the sixth, two out, 0-0, Chico Ruiz on third base<br />Connie Mack Stadium, September 21, 1964</strong></p>
<table width="100%">
<thead></thead>
<tbody>
<tr style="border-bottom: 1pt solid black;">
<td>As Frank Robinson came to the plate</td>
<td>48.8%</td>
</tr>
<tr style="border-bottom: 1pt solid black;">
<td>After Ruiz stole home</td>
<td>63.7%</td>
</tr>
<tr style="border-bottom: 1pt solid black;">
<td>If either Ruiz or Robinson made an out</td>
<td>42.7%</td>
</tr>
<tr style="border-bottom: 1pt solid black;">
<td>If Robinson singled</td>
<td>65.0%</td>
</tr>
<tr style="border-bottom: 1pt solid black;">
<td>If Robinson doubled</td>
<td>66.3%</td>
</tr>
<tr style="border-bottom: 1pt solid black;">
<td>If Robinson tripled</td>
<td>66.7%</td>
</tr>
<tr style="border-bottom: 1pt solid black;">
<td>If Robinson homered</td>
<td>77.4%</td>
</tr>
<tr style="border-bottom: 1pt solid black;">
<td>If  Robinson reached first base (via walk, HBP, etc.) and Ruiz remained at  third, leaving it up to the fifth-place hitter, Deron Johnson</td>
<td>50.3%</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<p><em>Source: Hardball Times, Win Probability Inquirer</em></p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>Even  if one makes optimistic assumptions about what Robinson might have done  had Ruiz not decided to steal, the weighted average Win Expectancy is  only around 52%!<a class="sdendnoteanc" name="sdendnote12anc" href="#sdendnote12sym">12</a></p>
<p>After  the game Ruiz himself said, “With a hitter like (Robinson) at the  plate, you better make sure you make it or you get heck.”<a class="sdendnoteanc" name="sdendnote13anc" href="#sdendnote13sym">13</a> That’s especially because he was acting entirely on his own. Dick  Sisler said, “He surprised everyone in the ballpark, including me. I saw  him and said, ‘Holy smoke! What’s he doing? I couldn’t call for it (the  steal) with the big man up there.”<a class="sdendnoteanc" name="sdendnote14anc" href="#sdendnote14sym">14</a> It’s worth noting that when Rod Carew stole home seven times in 1969,  his manager – <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/59c5010b">Billy Martin</a> – was always calling the shots.<a class="sdendnoteanc" name="sdendnote15anc" href="#sdendnote15sym">15</a> Billy loved the straight steal of home, as well as double and even triple steals.</p>
<p>Ruiz  was an accomplished basestealer. In the minors, he had led his league  in steals five straight years from 1959 through 1963. On 9/21/64, “he  got the idea when he saw Mahaffey take a long windup on the first  delivery to Robinson, a strike. On the second pitch he was gone.”<a class="sdendnoteanc" name="sdendnote16anc" href="#sdendnote16sym">16</a> On this point, Art Mahaffey’s memory later turned faulty – he thought  the count was 0 and 2. In his mind, that made Ruiz’s choice even  riskier. “Robinson’s gonna swing the bat on two strikes, and he’s just  going to hit you with the bat as you’re sliding in. He could kill you!”<a class="sdendnoteanc" name="sdendnote17anc" href="#sdendnote17sym">17</a></p>
<p>At  least one prominent defender of Ruiz later surfaced, one who was  willing to challenge the “unwritten rules.” That was <a href="https://sabr.org/bioproj/person/d6cb87c6">Davey Lopes</a>, an  excellent basestealer in his playing days and the Phillies’ first-base  coach in 2009. That August Stan Hochman wrote, “Lopes bristles when I  suggest that Ruiz … committed a dumb baseball play.</p>
<p>“ ‘Why was it  a dumb play?’ Lopes asked angrily. ‘Maybe he saw a flaw in the  pitcher’s delivery?’ (Mahaffey did have an elegant, slow windup.) ‘Why  was the manager [Mauch] angry at Ruiz? He should have been angry at his  bleeping pitcher&#8230;</p>
<p>“ ‘They didn’t anticipate Ruiz stealing with  Robinson up, that’s the problem. Why didn’t the manager or the coaching  staff holler, ‘Watch out, he might be stealing?’ ”<a class="sdendnoteanc" name="sdendnote18anc" href="#sdendnote18sym">18</a> Lopes also raised the possibility of an intentional walk. If Mauch had  ordered Mahaffey to put Robinson on, though, the matchup against the  following batter, <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/438a5a83">Deron Johnson</a>, was perhaps less favorable. Johnson was  6-for-15 (.400) with two homers lifetime against Mahaffey.</p>
<p>Clay  Dalrymple was certainly mindful of a possible steal. Just two days  previously, in Los Angeles, <a href="https://sabr.org/bioproj/person/c689b1b0">Willie Davis</a> of the Dodgers had ended a  16-inning game by stealing home off lefty <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/0635304c">Morrie Steevens</a>, and the  catcher said, “After that game I told all our pitchers to throw the ball  over the middle. When that guy is breaking from third, the hitter’s  concentration is broken. Just get me the ball. In that situation with  Ruiz, all Art had to do was throw me the ball and we had his ass.”<a class="sdendnoteanc" name="sdendnote19anc" href="#sdendnote19sym">19</a></p>
<p>Dalrymple had said the same thing in 1989: “All he [Mahaffey] had to do was give the ball to the catcher.”<a class="sdendnoteanc" name="sdendnote20anc" href="#sdendnote20sym">20</a> Frank Robinson concurred with Dalrymple. After Mahaffey “vapor locked”  and threw the ball wide, Robinson said, “The ball went by me before he  [Ruiz] reached the plate. I think he would have been out on a good  pitch.”<a class="sdendnoteanc" name="sdendnote21anc" href="#sdendnote21sym">21</a> Indeed, a photo of the play shows Dalrymple already turned  around with Ruiz still a few feet from the plate.</p>
<p>Yet by forcing the action, Ruiz rattled Mahaffey and brought about a favorable outcome.<a class="sdendnoteanc" name="sdendnote22anc" href="#sdendnote22sym">22</a> Even Dalrymple acknowledged “the shock of it all.”<a class="sdendnoteanc" name="sdendnote23anc" href="#sdendnote23sym">23</a> It was a guerrilla tactic right out of the Cobb or Jackie Robinson  playbook. Even with the great Frank Robinson at the plate, it was <em>not</em> a bad percentage move. In blackjack, a card counter would likely have  said, “Hit me.” A Texas Hold’em player might call it a “semi-bluff.”  Either through well-honed instinct or his baseball savvy, in a flash  Chico Ruiz seized the opportunity and won the payoff. “It just came to  my mind,” Ruiz said. “In this game, you either do or you don’t.”<a class="sdendnoteanc" name="sdendnote24anc" href="#sdendnote24sym">24</a></p>
<p><em><strong>RORY COSTELLO </strong>never  had a chance to go to Connie Mack Stadium but has enjoyed other visits  to Philadelphia over the years. The thought of a Tommy DiNic&#8217;s roast  pork sandwich makes him want to go back. Rory lives in Brooklyn, New  York, with his wife Noriko and son Kai.</em></p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p><strong>Acknowledgments</strong></p>
<p>Thanks  to SABR member Shane Tourtellotte and to Dan Turkenkopf for showing how  to quantify Ruiz’s steal and for their review of the analysis in this  article.</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p><strong>Sources</strong></p>
<p>HardballTimes.com</p>
<p>Baseball-Reference.com</p>
<p>Retrosheet.org</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p><strong>Notes</strong></p>
<div id="sdendnote1">
<p class="sdendnote"><a class="sdendnotesym" name="sdendnote1sym" href="#sdendnote1anc">1</a> Stan Hochman, “Clay Dalrymple,” <em>Philadelphia Daily News</em>, 	July 17, 1989.</p>
</div>
<div id="sdendnote2">
<p class="sdendnote"><a class="sdendnotesym" name="sdendnote2sym" href="#sdendnote2anc">2</a> Josh Moyer, “Phillies’ collapse of 1964 is still on Mahaffey’s 	mind,” <em>The Morning Call</em> (Lehigh Valley, Pennsylvania), July 	7, 2007.</p>
</div>
<div id="sdendnote3">
<p class="sdendnote"><a class="sdendnotesym" name="sdendnote3sym" href="#sdendnote3anc">3</a> “Ruiz’s Steal Shocks Phils – and Reds,” Associated Press, 	September 22, 1964.</p>
</div>
<div id="sdendnote4">
<p class="sdendnote"><a class="sdendnotesym" name="sdendnote4sym" href="#sdendnote4anc">4</a> Stan Hochman, “Art Mahaffey,” <em>Philadelphia Daily News</em>, 	July 17, 1989.</p>
</div>
<div id="sdendnote5">
<p class="sdendnote"><a class="sdendnotesym" name="sdendnote5sym" href="#sdendnote5anc">5</a> John Thorn and Pete Palmer, <em>The Hidden Game of Baseball</em> (New 	York, New York: Doubleday, 1984), 159.</p>
</div>
<div id="sdendnote6">
<p class="sdendnote"><a class="sdendnotesym" name="sdendnote6sym" href="#sdendnote6anc">6</a> Shane Tourtellotte, “And that ain’t all, he stole home!” 	<em>Hardball Times</em>, March 2, 2012 	(http://www.hardballtimes.com/main/article/and-that-aint-all-he-stole-home/).</p>
</div>
<div id="sdendnote7">
<p class="sdendnote"><a class="sdendnotesym" name="sdendnote7sym" href="#sdendnote7anc">7</a> The Leverage Index was created by Tom Tango. Chart available at 	http://www.insidethebook.com/li.shtml.</p>
</div>
<div id="sdendnote8">
<p class="sdendnote"><a class="sdendnotesym" name="sdendnote8sym" href="#sdendnote8anc">8</a> The Win Probability Inquirer may be found at 	 http://www.hardballtimes.com/thtstats/other/wpa_inquirer.php. In 	this  analysis, the run environment assumption is 4.0. That’s right 	in line  with the National League average of 4.01 for 1964, according 	to figures  available at Baseball-reference.com. <a href="https://sabr.org/bioproj/parks/connie-mack-stadium">Connie Mack Stadium</a> had a park  factor of 98, meaning it favored pitchers very slightly.</p>
</div>
<div id="sdendnote9">
<p class="sdendnote"><a class="sdendnotesym" name="sdendnote9sym" href="#sdendnote9anc">9</a> As seen in Table 2, the Reds had a 48.8% chance of winning the game 	 once Ruiz reached third. Successfully stealing home raised that to 	 63.7%. If Ruiz had been thrown out, the chance of winning would have 	 dropped to 42.9%. The break-even point is the value of the failure 	 event divided by the spread in value from success to failure. Or, in 	 this case, (42.7-48.8)/(42.7-63.7), roughly 28%.</p>
</div>
<div id="sdendnote10">
<p class="sdendnote"><a class="sdendnotesym" name="sdendnote10sym" href="#sdendnote10anc">10</a> Dan Turkenkopf, “Stealing a Run,” <em>Hardball Times</em>, May 22, 	2009 (http://www.hardballtimes.com/main/article/stealing-a-run/).</p>
</div>
<div id="sdendnote11">
<p class="sdendnote"><a class="sdendnotesym" name="sdendnote11sym" href="#sdendnote11anc">11</a> Stan Hochman, “The unwritten rules of baseball,” <em>Philadelphia 	Daily News</em>, August 3, 2009.</p>
</div>
<div id="sdendnote12">
<p class="sdendnote"><a class="sdendnotesym" name="sdendnote12sym" href="#sdendnote12anc">12</a> In this best-case scenario, the outcome of Robinson’s plate 	 appearances is: makes an out (50%), hits a homer (6%), gets another 	 kind of base hit (26%), and reaches base by other means (18%).</p>
</div>
<div id="sdendnote13">
<p class="sdendnote"><a class="sdendnotesym" name="sdendnote13sym" href="#sdendnote13anc">13</a> “Ruiz’s Steal Shocks Phils – and Reds.”</p>
</div>
<div id="sdendnote14">
<p class="sdendnote"><a class="sdendnotesym" name="sdendnote14sym" href="#sdendnote14anc">14</a> <span lang="en-US">Ibid.</span></p>
</div>
<div id="sdendnote15">
<p class="sdendnote"><a class="sdendnotesym" name="sdendnote15sym" href="#sdendnote15anc">15</a> Marty Ralbovsky, “There’s No Catching a Thief Like Carew,” 	Newspaper Enterprise Association, August 6, 1969.</p>
</div>
<div id="sdendnote16">
<p class="sdendnote"><a class="sdendnotesym" name="sdendnote16sym" href="#sdendnote16anc">16</a> “Ruiz’s Steal Shocks Phils – and Reds.”</p>
</div>
<div id="sdendnote17">
<p class="sdendnote"><a class="sdendnotesym" name="sdendnote17sym" href="#sdendnote17anc">17</a> Hochman, “Art Mahaffey.”</p>
</div>
<div id="sdendnote18">
<p class="sdendnote"><a class="sdendnotesym" name="sdendnote18sym" href="#sdendnote18anc">18</a> Hochman, “The unwritten rules of baseball.”</p>
</div>
<div id="sdendnote19">
<p class="sdendnote"><a class="sdendnotesym" name="sdendnote19sym" href="#sdendnote19anc">19</a> William C. Kashatus, <em>September Swoon</em> (University Park, 	Pennsylvania: Pennsylvania State University Press, 2004), 124.</p>
</div>
<div id="sdendnote20">
<p class="sdendnote"><a class="sdendnotesym" name="sdendnote20sym" href="#sdendnote20anc">20</a> Hochman, “Clay Dalrymple.”</p>
</div>
<div id="sdendnote21">
<p class="sdendnote"><a class="sdendnotesym" name="sdendnote21sym" href="#sdendnote21anc">21</a> “Ruiz’s Steal Shocks Phils – and Reds.”</p>
</div>
<div id="sdendnote22">
<p class="sdendnote"><a class="sdendnotesym" name="sdendnote22sym" href="#sdendnote22anc">22</a> Dancing off third base to induce a balk is another related strategy 	in these circumstances.</p>
</div>
<div id="sdendnote23">
<p class="sdendnote"><a class="sdendnotesym" name="sdendnote23sym" href="#sdendnote23anc">23</a> Hochman, “Clay Dalrymple.”</p>
</div>
<div id="sdendnote24">
<p class="sdendnote"><a class="sdendnotesym" name="sdendnote24sym" href="#sdendnote24anc">24</a> “Ruiz’s Steal Shocks Phils – and Reds.”</p>
</div>
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		<title>1964 Phillies: Epilogue</title>
		<link>https://sabr.org/journal/article/1964-phillies-epilogue/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[admin]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 04 Jan 2017 04:28:08 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[Philadelphia Phillies fans and Phillies management looked forward to contending again in 1965. But their close finish in 1964 turned out to be an illusion.Philadelphia Phillies fans and Phillies management looked forward to contending again in 1965. But their close finish in 1964 turned out to be an illusion. The Phillies had won 92 games [&#8230;]]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Philadelphia Phillies fans and Phillies management looked forward to  contending again in 1965. But their close finish in 1964 turned out to  be an illusion.<!--break-->Philadelphia Phillies fans and Phillies management looked forward to contending again in 1965. But their close finish in 1964 turned out to be an illusion. The Phillies had won 92 games to finish one game back but the other six 162-game pennant races to that date had produced first-place teams with an average of 101 wins. So one could postulate that the Phillies were more like nine games back. From that perspective, the Phillies should have continued to build the team for the future but instead they thought they had a contending team and traded many of their younger players for older veterans beginning with the trade of 25-year-old lefty Dennis Bennett for 32-year-old Dick Stuart to stop the revolving door at first base and to punish their league if it continued to throw southpaws at them. In 1965 Danny Cater (25) was traded for pitcher Ray Herbert (35). The Phillies signed pitcher Ryne Duren (36) and purchased pitcher Lew Burdette (38).</p>
<p>In 1966 Alex Johnson (23), Art Mahaffey (28), and Pat Corrales (25) were traded for Dick Groat (35), Bill White (32), and Bob Uecker (31). The Phillies traded outfielder Adolfo Phillips (24), pitcher Fergie Jenkins (23), and utilityman John Herrnstein (28) to get pitchers Larry Jackson (35), and Bob Buhl (37). The Phillies bought Harvey Kuenn (35) and signed Roger Craig (35).  The last four years of the ten-team NL (1965-1968) saw the Phillies win 85, 87, 82, and 76 games while the first-place team averaged 97 wins.</p>
<p><em><strong>CLEM COMLY</strong> (1955-2014) was a SABR member for more than 30 years and  longtime co-chair of the Statistical Analysis Committee. He was vice  president and treasurer of Retrosheet, the organization&#8217;s Cy Young of  play-by-play translation and computer input. <span class="tab-box">He was also a contributing editor to several SABR publications, including <a href="http://sabr.org/latest/sabr-digital-library-sweet-60-1960-pittsburgh-pirates">Sweet &#8217;60: The 1960 Pittsburgh Pirates</a>. He was an inveterate trivia buff and helped <a href="http://sabr.org/content/sabr-trivia-contest-winners">create and vet questions</a> for the contests at the last several annual SABR conventions.</span></em></p>
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		<title>Beyond Bunning and Short Rest: An Analysis of Managerial Decisions That Led to the Phillies’ Epic Collapse of 1964</title>
		<link>https://sabr.org/journal/article/beyond-bunning-and-short-rest-an-analysis-of-managerial-decisions-that-led-to-the-phillies-epic-collapse-of-1964/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[admin]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 03 Feb 2011 18:16:33 +0000</pubDate>
				<guid isPermaLink="false">http://dev.sabr.org/journal_articles/beyond-bunning-and-short-rest-an-analysis-of-managerial-decisions-that-led-to-the-phillies-epic-collapse-of-1964/</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Nearly all accounts of the 1964 Philadelphia Phillies’ epic collapse, which would etch itself deep in the city’s historical psyche, focus on the Phillies’ 10-game losing streak that started on September 21, when they had a 6½-game lead with only 12 games remaining, and ended with them having lost eight games in the standings in [&#8230;]]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><!--break-->Nearly all accounts of the 1964 Philadelphia Phillies’ epic collapse, which would etch itself deep in the city’s historical psyche, focus on the Phillies’ 10-game losing streak that started on September 21, when they had a 6½-game lead with only 12 games remaining, and ended with them having lost eight games in the standings in ten days. Half of the Phillies’ preferred starting rotation was grappling with injuries—<a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/69b6aadf">Dennis Bennett</a> was pitching with a sore shoulder, and <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/49d66c10">Ray Culp</a> had not pitched since mid-August because of arm trouble.</p>
<p>Even so, manager <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/36a8c32a">Gene Mauch</a> is often blamed for starting his two best pitchers, right-handed ace <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/bcacaa59" rel="primary-subject">Jim Bunning</a> and left-handed ace <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/95b58f3f">Chris Short</a>, twice each on two days’ rest, instead of the normal three, during the losing streak. In accounts of the Phillies’ implosion—by David Halberstam in <em>October 1964</em> and William C. Kashatus in <em>September Swoon: Richie Allen, the ’64 Phillies, and Racial Integration</em> and in the Baseball Prospectus compilation on great pennant races, <em>It Ain’t Over ’Til It’s Over</em> — Mauch is portrayed as increasingly panicked, lashing out at his players and perhaps over-managing in a desperate attempt to salvage the pennant.<a href="#end1">1</a></p>
<p><img decoding="async" class="alignright" style="float: right; width: 214px; height: 185px;" src="http://dev.sabr.org/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/brj39_2-008.jpg" alt="Phillies manager Gene Mauch relied on the best left-hander in the team’s rotation, who was still healthy late in the season." /></p>
<p>These narratives provide an excellent account of what happened, including key plays along the way— such as with the ever dangerous <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/c3ac5482">Frank Robinson</a> at bat, Reds utility infielder <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/dac7efab">Chico Ruiz</a> daringly steals home with two out in the sixth inning, scoring <a href="http://sabr.org/gamesproj/game/september-21-1964-chico-ruiz-steals-home-begin-phillies-collapse">the only run in the game</a> that began the Phillies’ 10-game losing streak—and players’ perspectives on the unfolding disaster. The authors of these accounts note that Mauch’s decision to start Bunning and Short on short rest was ill conceived and probably cost the Phillies some games they might have won had those two been pitching on normal rest. But they do not consider some other decisions made by Mauch that might have cost the Phillies some games during those critical weeks. </p>
<p>After a comprehensive play-by-play analysis from the game logs posted at Baseball-Reference and made available through the painstaking efforts of Retrosheet researchers, I believe there were at least six critical decisions Mauch made, other than those affecting how he used Bunning and Short in the final two weeks, that backfired to upend Philadelphia’s pennant dream. Four of them came in the five days before the Phillies began their 10-game losing streak. To make sure that I fully understood the circumstances of the games, I personally scored each play of each game so I could plainly see how each game developed. </p>
<p>I started with the Phillies’ game at Houston on September 16. They went into this game with a comfortable lead of 6 games, with 17 left on the schedule. This was the first of three September starts that Bunning made on only two days’ rest. The other two are more understandable, because they’re in the midst of the Phillies’ 10-game losing streak. But why would manager Mauch start Bunning on short rest on September 16, when at this point the prospect for a tight pennant race down the stretch looked so unlikely? To understand the context, let’s begin with a quick look at how the Phillies got to where they were. </p>
<p><strong>HOW THE PHILLIES GOT TO THE THRESHOLD OF A PENNANT</strong> </p>
<p>In the article on the 1964 pennant race in It Ain’t Over ’Til It’s Over, the argument is made that what is often overlooked in discussions of the Phillies’ collapse is that the team should not have been in contention in the first place, notwithstanding that they exceeded expectations by finishing surprisingly high, fourth place, in 1963.<a href="#end2">2</a> Mauch’s daily lineup was much less settled than that of the National League’s other putative contenders for 1964—the defending champion Dodgers; the Cardinals, who had finished second the previous year; the Reds; and the Giants—and with many more weaknesses. Mauch had only three players whose names he wrote into the lineup every day—<a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/8bdc6391">Johnny Callison</a> in right field, <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/bc362446">Tony Taylor</a> at second base, and rookie sensation Richie Allen, as <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/92ed657e">Dick Allen</a> was then called (against his wishes) at third base. Callison and Allen both had sensational years; Taylor was a steady hand at best. </p>
<p>The only other position player to start as many as 100 games for the Phillies was catcher <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/f722e332">Clay Dalrymple</a>, a left-handed batter who platooned with the right-handed <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/8f6b6357">Gus Triandos</a>. Mauch started the season platooning the rookie left-handed-hitting <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/03dd82c9">John Herrnstein</a> at first base with the veteran right-handed-hitting <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/c8add426">Roy Sievers</a>. Neither hit well, and by mid-season Sievers was gone and replaced by veteran right-handed-hitting <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/ff969dc6">Frank Thomas</a> (acquired from the Mets in early August), who took over the position full-time until suffering a hand injury in early September that kept him out of the lineup most of the final month of the season. Mauch used a platoon in left field, with the left-handed-hitting <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/4c0a3ba4">Wes Covington</a> paired off first with rookie <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/5199aa04">Danny Cater</a> and later with rookie <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/2ad87d7d">Alex Johnson</a>, and in center field for most of the second half of the season, with the left-handed-hitting <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/859e2b7d">Tony Gonzalez</a> trading off with <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/0c6cd3b5">Cookie Rojas</a>. Mauch started the year with <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/afa9d4f2">Bobby Wine</a> as his regular shortstop and ended using mostly <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/a64c7591">Ruben Amaro</a>, neither of whom hit well. </p>
<p>Going into the season, the Phillies’ pitching was not considered on par with that of the other NL-contending teams. Only Jim Bunning, acquired in a winter trade from Detroit, had an established pedigree. Mauch’s starting rotation was right-handers Bunning and Ray Culp and southpaws Chris Short and Dennis Bennett as his core four, with righty <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/8ddd4a43">Art Mahaffey</a> as a fifth starter. <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/70b079ee">Jack Baldschun</a> was the best of an otherwise suspect bullpen. By September, however, Mauch’s starting rotation was in deep trouble. Culp was sidelined with an elbow problem and made his last start on August 15, and Bennett was battling a persistently sore shoulder. Bennett continued to pitch through the pain. Mauch replaced Culp in his fourman rotation with Mahaffey, and 18-year old rookie <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/68070f76">Rick Wise</a> replaced Mahaffey as the fifth starter, whenever one was needed. Fortunately, Bunning and Short were healthy and pitching well. </p>
<p>The Phillies got off to a fast start, winning 9 of their first 11 games, and never trailed by more than 2 games as they positioned themselves for a pennant chase. On July 16, they moved into a tie for first and gradually built a lead that reached 7½ games on August 20 after a string of 12 wins in 16 games against the three worst teams in the league—the Cubs, the Colts, and the Mets. The Dodgers had imploded, getting off to a 2–9 start, and never recovered. The Giants had spent much of May and June in first place but then went 28–31 in July and August, reaching a nadir of 8½ games behind the Phillies on August 21, amid racial-diversity issues in the San Francisco clubhouse. The Reds had split their first 44 games (actually their first 45, as one was a tie) and then began a steady climb up the standings from sixth to second, which they reached on August 20, although settling in at a distant 7½ games behind the Phillies. And the Cardinals were languishing in eighth place with a 28–31 record on June 15 when they made the trade with the Cubs that brought them <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/cb8af7aa">Lou Brock</a>. The Cards still trailed by as many as 11 games on August 23, presumably not harboring pennant dreams, but won 13 of their next 16 games—the last in Philadelphia—to close within 5 games of the Phillies, in second place, on September 9. </p>
<p>By mid-September, the question of whether the Phillies were good enough to compete for the pennant was moot. Paced by Allen and Callison on the offensive side, and by Bunning and Short on the mound, Gene Mauch had his Phillies in command of the pennant race. To say that the Phillies had overachieved to get to this point—a 6-game lead with 17 games remaining after Bennett and Baldschun combined for a four-hit, 1–0 shutout in Houston on September 15—and that their subsequent collapse should somehow not diminish the great success they had in 1964 would be disingenuous. Some of the most compelling pennant races in baseball history have involved teams that were not expected to compete but did, and won—the 1914 “Miracle” Braves, the 1969 “Miracle” Mets, anyone? </p>
<p>Of course, some might argue that the 1964 Phillies peaked too early—that eventually their weaknesses caught up with them—while the 1914 Braves and 1969 Mets peaked at just the right time, both coming from far behind to finish first by a decisive margin, their late-season momentum carrying them on to win the World Series before their weaknesses could reassert themselves. </p>
<p><strong><img decoding="async" class="alignright" style="float: right; width: 171px; height: 293px;" src="http://dev.sabr.org/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/brj39_2-009.jpg" alt="The Phillies’ improbable collapse in September 1964 is usually attributed to his decision to start Jim Bunning and Chris Short on short rest in the final weeks of the season, but several other questionable in-game decisions contributed to their rapid loss of ground to the Cardinals and Reds." />MAUCH’S MAJOR STRATEGIC BLUNDER—LOOKING AHEAD TO THE WORLD SERIES?</strong> </p>
<p>And so it was with great expectations that the good citizens of the City of Brotherly Love awoke on the morning of September 16, 1964, for their Phillies had beaten the Colts out in Houston the night before and held a commanding 6-game lead over second-place St. Louis, with time for the other contenders running out fast. San Francisco was 7½ games back, and Cincinnati, 8½. The Phillies, in fact, had been in first place every day since July 17. It seemed inconceivable that the Phillies would not soon be appearing in the World Series for the third time in franchise history. </p>
<p>It was then that Gene Mauch made perhaps his biggest mistake of the season. He decided to start Bunning, his ace, in Houston on September 16, on only two days’ rest. The ninth-place Colts were certainly not contenders. Moreover, in his last start, a 4–1 ten-inning complete game victory in San Francisco, he struck out nine and gave up seven hits. Pitch counts were not much (if at all) in managers’ minds back then and were not recorded for posterity, but clearly Bunning threw well over 100 pitches in his 10-inning effort. </p>
<p>In the chapter on the 1964 pennant race in It Ain’t Over ’Til It’s Over, Mauch’s decision to start Bunning on this date is called “inexplicable.”<a href="#end3">3</a> Kashatus says that Mauch was anxious to extend the Phillies’ lead in the standings and that the ninth-place Colts would seem to be perfect patsies for a pitcher of Bunning’s caliber even if he was not fully rested.<a href="#end4">4</a> Halberstam says Mauch wanted Bunning to pitch in every series the Phillies played down the stretch.<a href="#end5">5</a> Both Kashatus and Halberstam say Mauch wanted Bunning to pitch in Los Angeles, but he would have anyway, if he had not started in Houston.<a href="#end6">6</a> He would have opened the series in L.A. for the Phillies the very next day—and would have been in to start the opening game in the next series against the Reds, who still had some hope for the pennant, while the Dodgers had none. By starting in Houston, however, Bunning was indeed available to pitch the final game of the LA series, but that meant he would miss the Cincinnati series entirely, unless Mauch intended to use him again on short rest. </p>
<p>Those explanations might be true, but they don’t make sense, at least not to me. Why start Bunning on short rest? When we consider the calendar and that the Phillies were beginning to print World Series tickets, what emerges as the most plausible reason for this decision is that Mauch was trying to set up his best pitcher, Jim Bunning, to start the first game of the World Series—scheduled to begin on Wednesday, October 7—on suitable rest. (See table 1.) Ironically, had there been a game scheduled between the Phillies and Reds on Saturday, October 3, Bunning would have been perfectly lined up to start the World Series by making his last five regular-season starts on normal rest. But a quirk in the scheduling had the Phillies and Reds concluding the season with games on Friday, October 2, and Sunday, October 4, but with a day off on Saturday between the two games.</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p><a href="https://sabr.org/sites/default/files/Soderholm-Difatte-Table1-2-1964-Phillies.png"><img fetchpriority="high" decoding="async" class="" style="vertical-align: middle; margin: 3px;" src="https://sabr.org/sites/default/files/Soderholm-Difatte-Table1-2-1964-Phillies.png" alt="" width="500" height="387" /></a></p>
<p><em>(Click image to enlarge.)</em></p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>If this analysis is correct, Mauch faced a dilemma. If Bunning continued to pitch on his normal schedule, his last start before the World Series—assuming he was to start the first game, which of course was a given—would have been on September 29, giving him a full week off before the World Series began. (See table 1.) Starting pitchers especially establish a rhythm for pitching during the season, and Mauch probably assumed that seven days between starts was too long for a workhorse like Bunning, who might lose his edge with so much downtime. </p>
<p>Mauch could have decided to give his ace four days’ rest between his remaining starts, which would have had Bunning making his final start of the regular season on Friday, October 2, giving him another four days’ rest before the start of the World Series. But this would not have been a viable solution for Mauch even if he were willing to buck the then conventional practice of the top starting pitcher taking the mound every four days and to start Bunning every fifth day. With Culp out, Bennett hurting, and no depth in his rotation, Mauch really had no option to go to a five-man rotation until the World Series. Instead, he appears to have decided that keeping to the rhythm of three days’ rest between starts was preferable and took the gamble of starting Bunning—presumably just this once— on short rest against the woeful Houston Colts, in order to set him up to have proper rest before his final regular-season start on October 2. That would have given Bunning an extra fourth day before pitching in Game 1 of the World Series. (See table 2.) </p>
<p>In his Houston start on short rest, Bunning gave up six runs in 4 1?3 innings, leaving the game after giving up three hits and two walks to the six batters he faced in the fifth. At the time, it was a loss that had no bearing on the standings, and in fact the Phillies won the next day in the first of four games in Los Angeles, beating <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/14c3c5f6">Don Drysdale</a>, against whom Bunning would have pitched on normal rest, to increase their lead to 6½ games with 15 remaining. All seemed right with the world in Philadelphia, but Gene Mauch had made what in hindsight proved to be a disastrous decision: starting Jim Bunning on two days’ rest. </p>
<p><strong>QUICK HOOK OF YOUNG STARTER HAS CONSEQUENCES </strong></p>
<p>Although the Phillies did win 4–3 that next day, September 17, in Los Angeles, Mauch made another decision that would have unanticipated consequences down the road. He started right-hander Rick Wise, a rookie teen, instead of Art Mahaffey, whose previous two starts apparently had caused Mauch to lose confidence in him, according to several accounts, including Kashatus’s.<a href="#end7">7</a> Mahaffey had given up three runs in only two-thirds of an inning on September 8 in a 3–2 loss to the Dodgers in Philadelphia, and then two runs in two innings on September 12 in a 9–1 loss in San Francisco. </p>
<p>Wise was making only the eighth start of his career, however. Back in August, he did have back-to-back victories in which he pitched effectively into the eighth inning, but in his two starts immediately before this one on September 17 he did not pitch well. He gave up five runs in four innings to the Braves on August 25 and was removed by Mauch in the first inning of his next start on September 7 against the Dodgers after facing only three batters—giving up two walks and a single—all of whom scored. He got no one out. </p>
<p>Here was Wise starting against the Dodgers again, ten days later, and he already had a 3–0 lead from the top of the first, but this game began much the same way as his last start had. Wise had given up two singles, a walk, and a groundout resulting in two runs when Mauch decided that—even with a 6-game lead and a depleted starting rotation—he had seen enough for the day of young rookie Wise, who had turned 19 only days before. With left-handed batters <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/57cd54b6">Johnny Roseboro</a> and <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/be8590ec">Ron Fairly</a> next up for Dodgers, Mauch called on veteran southpaw <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/22649411">Bobby Shantz</a> rather than let Wise try to work his way out of trouble and see if he might settle down. </p>
<p>At the time, it seemed like a brilliant move. Shantz pitched into the eighth inning and gave up only one run of his own to earn the 4–3 win that put the Phillies up by 6½ games. However, with Bunning and Short his only two healthy starting pitchers, Mauch had no pitchers to spare. Instead of showing commitment to his decision to start a young rookie in a late-season game during a pennant drive, Mauch replaced him in the first inning. In effect, he used two pitchers in one “starting role” that day. An unintended consequence was that Bobby Shantz, who faced 25 batters in relief of Wise, was unavailable to pitch in dire circumstances two days later. </p>
<p>The Phillies’ unraveling began the next two days with consecutive 4–3 losses in Los Angeles. Chris Short, starting on normal rest, took a 3–0 lead into the last of the seventh on September 18, having given up only two hits. Three batters later, the score was tied on a three-run home run by <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/789d55a7">Frank Howard</a>. The Dodgers won on a two-out single off Phillies’ relief ace Jack Baldschun with two outs in the ninth. The next day, September 19, the two teams battled into the sixteenth inning, tied 3-3, when Baldschun—having already worked two innings in this game and six innings in the previous four days—gave up a single to <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/c689b1b0">Willie Davis</a>, intentionally walked <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/664f669f">Tommy Davis</a> after Willie stole second, and then surrendered a wild pitch that advanced Willie to third with left-handed batter Ron Fairly at the plate. </p>
<p>Gene Mauch chose this moment to replace his relief ace with rookie southpaw <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/0635304c">Morrie Steevens</a>, who was appearing in his first major-league game of the season and had only 12 appearances in the major leagues before this. Mauch had only one other left-handed option available, the crafty veteran Bobby Shantz, but Shantz had pitched 7 1?3 innings just two days before in relief of Wise and was not sufficiently rested—apparently not even to face one batter, although getting the out would have meant going into the seventeenth inning. Instead of staying with Baldschun to get one more out to escape the inning, Mauch went with Steevens. There were two out, and the possible winning run on third. As a left-hander, whether pitching from the stretch or from a full windup, Steevens on his delivery would have had his back to the runner at third. Steevens apparently was so focused on Fairly, as well he should have been, that he was inattentive to Willie Davis, which he should not have been; Willie Davis took advantage and stole home, scoring the winning run. </p>
<p><strong>BUNTING DICK ALLEN </strong></p>
<p>Mauch had an opportunity to win this game in the fourteenth inning, when Johnny Callison led off with a single. Dick Allen, the cleanup hitter, strolled to the plate. After Allen was the pitcher’s spot (the result of an earlier double switch) but, this being a long game in which he had already used seven position players off the bench, Mauch had limited options for a pinch-hitter. Specifically, he had the light-hitting Bobby Wine, who was batting .209, with only 4 home runs and 33 RBI, and hadn’t played in five days—except as a defensive substitute who did not get a chance to bat. </p>
<p>Allen, coming to bat with nobody out and Callison on first in the fourteenth inning of a tie game, was the Phillies’ most dangerous hitter. He already had 26 home runs for the year and was third in the league in slugging percentage. In his three previous plate appearances, he had two singles and been intentionally walked by the Dodgers. Even though he knew that Wine was to bat next, Mauch opted to play for one run rather than letting his cleanup batter hit with the possibility of driving in the run. He had Allen—his best and most feared hitter—lay down a sacrifice bunt. Allen did so successfully, but that left Mauch with only two outs to work with and two weak hitters—Wine, followed by .238-hitting catcher Clay Dalrymple—to try to drive in Callison from second. Callison was picked off, Wine flied out, and the Phillies failed to score, ultimately setting up Willie Davis’s game-winning steal of home. The loss still seemed relatively inconsequential, however, as Bunning came back on September 20, on his normal rest, to win his eighteenth game of the season, 3–2, both runs unearned in the ninth. </p>
<p><strong>WITH 12 GAMES LEFT, THE PHILLIES FACE THE PERFECT STORM </strong></p>
<p>We are now at where most accounts of the Phillies’ 1964 collapse begin. When the Phillies returned to Philadelphia on September 21 for their final homestand of seven games, they once again had a 6½-game lead over both the Reds and the Cardinals and were 7 games ahead of the Giants. Even if the Reds or Cardinals won all of their remaining games, the Phillies needed to win only 7 of their remaining 12 games to win the pennant outright. If the Cardinals or Reds won 10 of their last 13 games—which, in fact, St. Louis did— the Phillies could have finished the season 4–8 and still gone to the World Series. It would take nearly a perfect storm for Philadelphia to not win the pennant.</p>
<p>And, as fate would have it, the remaining schedule conspired to make that perfect storm plausible. (See table 3.)</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p><a href="https://sabr.org/sites/default/files/Soderholm-Difatte-Table3-1964-Phillies.png"><img decoding="async" class="" style="vertical-align: middle; margin: 3px;" src="https://sabr.org/sites/default/files/Soderholm-Difatte-Table3-1964-Phillies.png" alt="" width="500" height="179" /></a></p>
<p><em>(Click image to enlarge.)</em></p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>The Reds had five of their 13 games remaining against the Phillies, and the Cardinals had three games left with the Phillies, giving both teams the opportunity to make up significant ground against the first-place team they had to overtake. But the Reds also had five games against the awful Mets and three against the struggling Pirates, who were in sixth place at the close of play on September 20. And the Cardinals had five against those awful Mets and five against those struggling Pirates. The Giants, who really shouldn’t have been in the discussion at this point, as any combination of six Phillies’ wins or six losses of their own would eliminate them from contention, had the advantage of playing their final 12 games against the eighth-place Cubs and ninth-place Colts. </p>
<p>The Phillies, however, did not have any of the National League’s worst teams on their remaining schedule. In eight of their final 12 games, they had to contend against their two closest competitors, the Reds and Cardinals—meaning they would lose ground in any game they lost. And the Phillies’ other four games were with the fifth-place Milwaukee Braves, whose potent lineup was well able to do serious damage to Mauch’s worn-out pitching staff, especially with his regular third starter, Culp, disabled with an elbow problem; his fourth regular starter, Bennett, enduring a sore shoulder; and both Mahaffey and Wise deemed less than reliable by their manager. The Phillies were scheduled to close the season with three games in St. Louis and two in Cincinnati. At this point, at the start of play on September 21, both the Cardinals and the Reds still had a dim chance, but Mauch had reason to hope they would no longer be a pennant threat by then. </p>
<p>To put their remaining schedules in a different perspective: The Reds and the Cardinals were playing teams (including the Phillies) with a combined winning percentage of .483 on the morning of September 21, while the Phillies were going against teams (the Reds, Braves, and Cardinals) with a combined winning percentage of .544—a significant difference. Philadelphia had a tougher schedule, but still, a 6½-game lead with only 12 remaining should have been safe, almost impossible to lose. </p>
<p>The Phillies seemed to have an advantage in that seven of their final 12 games were at home. With a 46–28 record at Connie Mack Stadium, the Phillies at this point had the best home record in the National League. Their first three games were against the Reds, who really needed to sweep the series to have a realistic chance of catching the Phillies. While there was nothing at the moment the Phillies could do about the Cardinals and the Giants, just one win in the three games would leave the Reds 5½ games back, a gap that would be virtually impossible to close with only 10 games left. How important would just one win have been? Even if the Cardinals swept their upcoming two game series with the Mets in New York, one Phillies win against the Reds would have left St. Louis five games behind with 11 remaining, and with not very much hope. </p>
<p><strong>BUNTING DICK ALLEN AGAIN AS THE LOSING STREAK BEGINS </strong></p>
<p>The Phillies lost the first game of their series with the Reds in dramatic fashion, 1–0, when Chico Ruiz stole home with two outs in the sixth inning. On his delivery, Mahaffey, back in the starting rotation, would have been facing the third-base line. Of course, with Frank Robinson, one of baseball’s most accomplished and feared batters, at the plate, the Phillies (including their manager) could be excused for assuming that an attempt to steal home in this situation was highly improbable. But steal home Ruiz did. Reds pitcher <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/c57480c3">John Tsitouris</a> was in command the whole game, pitching a six-hit shutout, and Philadelphia’s lead was down to 5½ games. </p>
<p>All accounts of this game mention that both Mauch and Reds manager <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/121cb7bc">Dick Sisler</a> were shocked that Ruiz had the gall to try to steal home with Frank Robinson at bat. What they don’t mention is that the Phillies’ best chance for a run came when Tony Gonzalez led off the home first with a single, bringing up Dick Allen—whom Mauch had batting second in the lineup, rather than in a power slot, and whom he once again asked to sacrifice the runner to second rather than hit away with the possibility of setting up a big first inning. The Phillies had all 27 outs remaining, so why give up Philadelphia’s best, most effective hitter at this point in the game? If Allen got out and the runner was still on first, Mauch would have still had two outs in the inning and eight more innings to go. The sacrifice turned out to be good, but the runner ended up stranded on third. </p>
<p>This was the second time in three days that Mauch called for Allen to lay down a sacrifice bunt. The first time, as we have already seen, in the September 19 game in Los Angeles, Mauch had Allen bunt with a runner on first and nobody out in the 14th inning in an effort to break a 3–3 tie, despite knowing that none of the batters following Allen in the order were notable run-producing hitters. This time, in the first inning with nobody out, Mauch was hoping to set up an early run. With Dick Allen on his way to 201 hits, 29 of them home runs, an OPS of .939 (fifth in the league), and more total bases, 352, than anyone else in the league (<a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/64f5dfa2">Willie Mays</a> had 351), Mauch’s decision to have Allen sacrifice-bunt is open to legitimate question, especially as most other managers did not use their most powerful hitters to lay one down for lesser lights to try to drive the runner home. </p>
<p>Allen batted .542 with runners on base during the 17 days that forever shocked Philadelphia. Had he been allowed to swing away in either of those plate appearances against the Dodgers and Reds, the outcome of either game, or of both games, might have been different. One more win at that point in the season, with so few games remaining, might have been all it would have taken to permanently deflate the hopes of the Reds and Cardinals before they began their surge upward. </p>
<p>Gene Mauch’s reputation as manager was that he tended to call for plays—the sacrifice, the hit-and run—to work for one run at a time, even from the very beginning of the game, in order to score first if at all possible. The problem is that sacrificing an out to help set up a run is precisely that—giving up an out, and there are only three outs an inning and 27 a game. While this strategy made sense for managers of teams (<a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/cfc65169">Walter Alston</a>, for example, with his mid-1960s Dodgers) that had difficulty scoring runs, Mauch had a lineup with much more ability to score runs. Even so, he often chose to sacrifice for one run—even with his best hitters at the plate—instead of trusting in his firepower.</p>
<p>The two best hitters in the Phillies’ lineup, Allen and Callison, who hit a combined total of 60 home runs in 1964, both, in the course of the season, laid down six sacrifice bunts to move a base runner up with nobody out. In calling for them to do so, Mauch, in the interest of playing for one run, gave up as outs the two batters most likely to drive in runs. Of the league’s other premier hitters who also hit for power, Willie Mays had one sacrifice bunt for the Giants in 1964, <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/017440d1">Orlando Cepeda</a> and <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/2a692514">Willie McCovey</a> none; Frank Robinson did not have a sacrifice all year for the Reds; neither did <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/d3cc1585">Ken Boyer</a> for the Cardinals; nor did <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/5a36cc6f">Hank Aaron</a> or <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/ebd5a210">Eddie Mathews</a> for the Braves. Milwaukee, in fact, had five players who hit 20 or more home runs, only one of whom had any sacrifice hits—<a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/abc96e6c">Denis Menke</a>, not otherwise known as a power guy, with four.  </p>
<p><strong><img decoding="async" class="alignright" style="float: right; width: 153px; height: 298px;" src="http://dev.sabr.org/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/brj39_2-010.jpg" alt="1964 NL Rookie of the Year played in all 162 games and was one of only three players whom Mauch wrote into the lineup nearly every day." />WHERE SHOULD DICK ALLEN HAVE HIT?</strong></p>
<p>It seems Gene Mauch never decided where the appropriate place in the batting order was for his rookie phenom, Dick Allen, in 1964; he changed his mind about that at least three times. In the first part of the season—64 games from opening day through June 12, during which the Phillies went 29–21 (.580)—the powerful Allen most often batted second, a lineup spot usually used to help set up runs for the third, fourth, and fifth hitters. Allen batted cleanup only three times in the first two months of the season—understandable, given that he was still an unproven rookie. By this point in the season, June 12, he was batting .294 and had 12 home runs and 32 RBIs, leading the Phillies in all three triple-crown categories. Allen also had an .895 OPS. Aside from his power numbers suggesting that the third or fourth slots in the batting order would have been a more logical fit for him, he also had a propensity to strike out a lot—not a good thing for a number-two batter. Allen led the league in strikeouts in 1964 with 138, averaging one strikeout every five at-bats when he batted second in the order. </p>
<p>Seeing what his emerging young slugger could do, Mauch put Allen into the cleanup spot on June 13, where he stayed for 53 of the Phillies’ next 55 games, during which they went 33–22 (.600). By August 6, Allen was batting .311 and had a .913 OPS, with 19 home runs and 56 RBIs. On August 7, however, right-handed power-hitting Frank Thomas joined the Phillies to fill their glaring weakness at first base. From then until September 17, Mauch alternated Thomas with the left-handed Wes Covington in the cleanup spot. Of the 42 games played in that time, Allen batted fourth only twice and once again was used most frequently (23 times) in the number-two spot of the lineup, although Mauch also often had him batting third (17 times), with the usual number-three hitter, Johnny Callison, second in the order in those games. From looking at who the opposing starting pitcher was, it is not apparent that Mauch’s shifting of Allen and Callison between second and third in the order had anything to do with whether the pitcher threw left-handed or right-handed. The Phillies were 27–15 (.643) in their best stretch of the season, at the end of which Allen was batting a team-high .307 and had a teambest .913 OPS, with 26 home runs and 79 RBI. </p>
<p>Mauch, however, still had not settled on a permanent spot in the batting order for his most dangerous hitter. In the final 15 games, Allen batted fourth eight times, second five times, and third twice. He finished the season batting .318 (fifth in the league), with 29 home runs and 91 RBIs. </p>
<p>Would it have made a difference had Mauch stayed with Allen in the second or third slot in the final weeks, particularly when the games became desperate as Philadelphia’s lead evaporated? There is much to be said for lineup stability. There is also much to be said for a hitter batting cleanup who was as much of a power threat as Dick Allen was. In the final 15 games of the season, Allen continued to hit well even as the rest of the Phillies did not. While the Phillies as a team were terrible in the clutch with runners on base, especially in scoring position, Allen was . . . well, clutch. He went 13-for-26 with runners on base in those 15 games—a .500 batting average—and walked or was intentionally walked several times. He also had those two sacrifice bunts.</p>
<p><strong>LOSING BUILDS MOMENTUM </strong></p>
<p>After the Phillies’ dispiriting 1–0 loss on September 21, Chris Short was roughed up the following day in a 9–2 loss to Cincinnati, victimized by yet another steal of home (by <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/89979ba5">Pete Rose</a>, as part of a double-steal in the third) and by a two-run homer by Frank Robinson. And on September 23, in the final game of the series, <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/ee2feb59">Vada Pinson</a>’s second home run of the day broke a 3–3 tie in the seventh as Cincinnati went on to a 6–4 win to sweep the series. Bunning, whose regular turn in the rotation would have had him starting the first game of this series if not for his short-rest start in Houston, did not pitch against Cincinnati. </p>
<p>The failure to take even one game from the Reds cost the Phillies three games in the standings in three days, but with a 3½-game lead and now only nine games remaining, it still seemed time was on their side. Moreover, the Cardinals and Giants were both five games back, presumably no longer in the picture. But for Philadelphia, the losing had become contagious. Bunning, pitching for the second time on his normal rest after his September 16 start in Houston, threw six strong innings on September 24 in the first of four games against the Braves, but the Phillies were held scoreless until the eighth in a 5–3 loss. But the Phillies had a three-game lead at the end of the day. </p>
<p>No need yet to be desperate, but Gene Mauch, feeling that the sure-thing pennant was slipping away, acted in desperation On September 25 he started Short, on only two days’ rest, instead of Mahaffey, whose turn it was in the rotation and who had pitched so well in his previous start (the one where he neglected to check Chico Ruiz at third). Kashatus suggests that Mauch did not start Mahaffey in this game because he felt that the pitcher had cracked under pressure when he allowed Ruiz to steal home.<a href="#end8">8</a> Short pitched effectively into the eighth inning, giving up only three runs on seven hits, but left trailing in the game. Callison tied the score in the eighth with a two-run home run, and the game went into extra innings. In the tenth, <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/09351408">Joe Torre</a>’s two-run home run for the Braves was matched in the bottom of the inning by Dick Allen’s two-run inside-the-park home run, which tied the game at 5–5. Milwaukee won in the twelfth, however, 7–5. As had been the case too often in recent games, Mauch’s Phillies were abysmal with runners in scoring position. In eight such at-bats in this game, they were hitless. </p>
<p><strong>STAYING WITH SHANTZ TOO LONG</strong></p>
<p>But things looked brighter the next day, September 26, when the Phillies took an early 4–0 lead behind Mahaffey against the Braves, only to once again go cold at the plate when there were opportunities to score runs. The game went into the ninth inning, the Phillies’ lead in the game whittled down to 4–3. Due up for the Braves in the ninth were two of baseball’s best hitters, the right-handed Hank Aaron followed by the left-handed cleanup hitter Eddie Mathews. The Braves’ pitcher, batting fifth in the order as a result of earlier maneuvers by Milwaukee manager <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/83f33669">Bobby Bragan</a>, was scheduled to bat third in the inning. Fourth up in the inning, however, would be another dangerous right-handed batter, <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/407354b9">Rico Carty</a>. </p>
<p><img decoding="async" class="alignright" style="float: right; width: 199px; height: 278px;" src="http://dev.sabr.org/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/brj39_2-011.jpg" alt="Finished the 1964 season at 19–8, but went 2–4 between September 16 and October 4. Three times in the final three weeks of the season he started on only two days’ rest." /></p>
<p>Despite this formidable array of mostly righthanded batters, beginning with perennial home-run threat Aaron, Mauch allowed southpaw Bobby Shantz to take the mound in the ninth. Shantz had gotten the final two outs of the eighth, coming into the game in a bases-loaded situation with one out. The Braves’ third run of the game was scored on a passed ball. The Phillies’ right-handed relief ace, Baldschun, was no longer available, having relieved starter Mahaffey in the eighth, and was followed by Shantz. With Aaron leading off the ninth, capable of tying the game on one swing, Mauch could have turned to right-hander<a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/39908f04"> Ed Roebuck</a>, warming up in the bullpen. Instead, he stayed with Shantz. </p>
<p>He stayed with Shantz after Aaron started the ninth with a single. This made sense, since Mathews was a left-handed power hitter. He stayed with Shantz after Mathews singled even after the right-handed <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/ba3cb482">Frank Bolling</a> was announced as a pinch-hitter. This maybe also made sense, since Bolling, the Braves’ mostly regular second baseman, was hardly a dangerous hitter, his average hovering slightly above .200. Bolling reached on an error, loading the bases. The Phillies had a one-run lead but had yet to secure an out in the ninth. Coming up to bat was the right-handed Carty. He had come into the game batting .325, with 20 home runs and 80 RBIs. Still, Mauch stayed with southpaw Bobby Shantz, when he had right-hander Ed Roebuck waiting in the bullpen. </p>
<p>Why not turn to Roebuck? In a month when Mauch’s bullpen was stressed—relief ace Baldschun had lost four games already in September and allowed 37 of the 106 batters he had faced so far in the month to reach base, including one of two in this game before Shantz replaced him in the eighth—Roebuck had been pitching well. (See table 4.) In fact, Roebuck had allowed only four earned runs in his previous 14 appearances dating back to August 18. Two of those came on the three-run home run he surrendered to Vada Pinson that made him the losing pitcher in the final game of the series with Cincinnati. (See table 4.) That was three days ago. Presumably, Mauch no longer had much trust in Roebuck because he stayed with Shantz in a situation where he desperately needed an out. Carty tripled, the Phillies’ lead was gone, Shantz was removed from the game, and Mauch finally brought in Roebuck. The Phillies went down quietly in their half of the ninth. </p>
<p>Gene Mauch had now watched his team lose six straight games, eight of their last nine dating to September 18, and nine of eleven dating to when he decided to start Bunning on short rest against Houston. With the Reds having extended their winning streak to seven straight games, the Phillies’ lead was down to half a game. Meanwhile, the Cardinals, having won five of their last six, had closed to within a game and a half. </p>
<p><strong>BUNNING AND SHORT IN DESPERATION STARTS</strong> </p>
<p>Now was truly desperation time for Mauch and the Phillies. Bunning told Halberstam he volunteered to pitch the final game of the Milwaukee series with only two days’ rest. With Bennett suffering through a sore shoulder, Mauch probably felt he had no other choice—certainly not 19-year old Rick Wise, who pitched to only four batters, giving up two runs, in his last start on September 17 and to only three batters in his start before that. Following a script similar to that of his short stint against Houston, Bunning gave up five consecutive hits before departing in the fourth without getting an out. All five hits led to runs in a 14–8 Milwaukee blowout in Philadelphia’s final home game of the season. Ironically, given that they lost, this was the Phillies’ first real offensive outburst since they beat the Giants, 9–3, way back on September 5 in Philadelphia. The Reds beat the Mets in a doubleheader, and for the first time since July 16 the Phillies were no longer in first place. Philadelphia was now down a game to Cincinnati and just barely ahead—by half-a-game—of the surging third-place Cardinals of St. Louis, the Phillies’ next destination.</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p><a href="https://sabr.org/sites/default/files/Soderholm-Difatte-Table4-1964-Phillies.png"><img decoding="async" class="" style="vertical-align: middle; margin: 3px;" src="https://sabr.org/sites/default/files/Soderholm-Difatte-Table4-1964-Phillies.png" alt="" width="501" height="342" /></a></p>
<p><em>(Click image to enlarge.)</em></p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>The unintended consequence of his having started Short and Bunning out of turn against Milwaukee was that Mauch was now forced to use his two best pitchers on only two days’ rest between starts against the Cardinals—which were now a team they (the Phillies) had to beat to keep from falling behind yet another suddenly emergent pennant contender, let alone to keep pace with the Reds, against whom they would play their final two games of the season. Had they pitched in turn in the rotation, Short and Bunning would have been available to pitch on normal rest in the season series that now mattered the most—against the Cardinals, with the pennant at stake. Both did start in St. Louis, but on short rest, and both lost. </p>
<p>In the first of the three-game series, Mauch had Short making his third start in seven days. It was his second consecutive start on two days’ rest. Short pitched into the sixth inning, leaving the game trailing 3–0. His mound opponent was <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/34500d95">Bob Gibson</a>, who was making 1964 the year that established him as almost impossible to beat when the Cardinals needed a win—as they did on this day—and Gibson delivered a 5–1 victory. As had become all too commonplace in their now-eight game losing streak, the Phillies had great difficulty with runners in scoring position, going 0-for-7 in this game. (See table 5.) Philadelphia was now in third place, 1½ games behind idle Cincinnati. </p>
<p>The next day, September 29, the Phillies got only one hit in nine at-bats with runners in scoring position—a two-run single with the bases loaded by pinch-hitter Gus Triandos—as they lost for the ninth straight time, 4–2. Bennett, starting with five days’ rest for his sore pitching shoulder, was much less effective than in his previous start. He got out of the first inning giving up only one run before being saved by a linedrive double play, but he gave up three consecutive hits and a sacrifice in the second before he could go no further. The Phillies lost no ground in the standings as the Reds lost to the Pirates; the Cardinals were now tied for first. </p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p><a href="https://sabr.org/sites/default/files/Soderholm-Difatte-Table5-1964-Phillies.png"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="alignnone" style="vertical-align: middle; margin: 3px;" src="https://sabr.org/sites/default/files/Soderholm-Difatte-Table5-1964-Phillies.png" alt="" width="450" height="533" /></a></p>
<p><em>(Click image to enlarge.)</em></p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>With only three games left and a game and a half back, the final game in St. Louis was critical for the Phillies. Once again, Gene Mauch asked Bunning, his ace, to pitch on two days’ rest. His only other option was Art Mahaffey, who had pitched into the eighth inning four days before, giving up only three runs against the power-hitting Braves. And the game before that, Mahaffey had given up only one run in 6.2 innings against Cincinnati, the game he lost, 1–0, because he failed to pay attention to the remote possibility (which became reality) that Chico Ruiz might try to steal home with two outs and Frank Robinson (Frank Robinson!) batting. Mahaffey was rested and he was pitching well, but for whatever reason Mauch did not trust him and chose to go with the worn-out Bunning, now making his fifth start in 15 days. </p>
<p>As was becoming predictable when he pitched on short rest, Bunning was battered around, giving up a two-run home run in the second, allowing five consecutive batters to reach base (one on an error) to start the third though only surrendering two runs, and leaving with one out in the fourth after consecutive singles. Both baserunners scored. After four innings, the Cardinals had an 8–0 lead on their way to an 8–5 win. They took a one-game lead over the Reds, who lost for the second straight time to the Pirates.</p>
<p>Then, blessedly for the Philadelphia Phillies, came their first day of rest since August 31. They had played 31 games in the first 30 days of September. </p>
<p><strong>TOO LATE FOR A HAPPY ENDING</strong> </p>
<p>The day off on October 1 and another offday scheduled for October 3 meant that, in the final two games of the season, in Cincinnati, Mauch could start his two best pitchers, Short and Bunning, on their normal three days’ rest. Now in third place, trailing St. Louis by 2½ games and Cincinnati by two, Philadelphia could still finish the 162-game schedule tied for first if they won both their games against the Reds, and the Cardinals lost all three of theirs against the lowly Mets, which would create a three-way tie. Their only possibility of making the World Series, which ten consecutive losses ago seemed such a sure thing, would be to win a never-before three-way playoff series with the Reds and Cardinals to determine the pennant winner. It could have even been a four-way tie for first at the end of the scheduled 162-game regular season, but only if the Giants, who were now three games back, won all three of their remaining games against the Cubs in San Francisco and if the Cardinals were swept by the Mets and if the Phillies won both of their games against the Reds. </p>
<p>None of those things happened, except for the Phillies ending their 10-game losing streak by winning their final two games of the regular season against the Reds. In the first game, Short left in the seventh, trailing 3–0, but Dick Allen tied the socre with an eighth-inning triple and then scored what proved to be the winning run. The Cardinals, meanwhile, lost two games to the Mets, setting up a final-day scenario for a three-way tie (the Giants having already been eliminated by losing on Saturday to the Cubs). Pitching on normal rest, Jim Bunning hurled a six-hit masterpiece to shut out the Reds, 10-0, never allowing a runner past second base. Allen hit two home runs. </p>
<p>The Phillies were now tied with the Reds, both teams awaiting the outcome of the Cardinals game with the Mets in St. Louis. The Mets had a 3–2 lead in the fifth, but the score proved deceiving, as the Cardinals brought in Gibson in relief to shut down the Mets and scored three times in the fifth, the sixth, and the eighth on their way to an 11–5 victory and the 1964 National League pennant. For good measure, St. Louis went on to win the World Series that Philadelphia had seemed sure was theirs to play. </p>
<p><strong>WAS GENE MAUCH GUILTY OF OVER-MANAGING? </strong></p>
<p>Certainly Mauch’s strategic miscalculation in starting Bunning and Short on short rest against Milwaukee— before, arguably, he needed to resort to that, even if his starting rotation was in disarray because of the injuries to Culp and Bennett—and his hitters’ inability to take advantage of scoring opportunities contributed to the Phillies’ colossal collapse, which haunts Philadelphia to this day. But the question remains whether the manager may have cost his team the pennant by his penchant for overmanaging in game situations. Baseball can be unforgiving, quick to smack down those who think they can master the flow of the game. Mauch was an intense baseball man who prided himself on his intimate knowledge of the game. As a manager, he tended to be very hands-on. </p>
<p>Managerial brilliance can be a tricky thing. Managers are both strategists and tacticians in the dugout. They must navigate a delicate line between managing too much and managing too little. At the game level, managing too little could mean not anticipating how the game might play out given the current situation. Or it could mean not trying to force the action when the game situation might suggest that it should be forced. Managing too much, on the other hand, could mean trying so hard to force the action that the natural flow and rhythm of the game for the players is interrupted. The one managerial style could convey a lack of urgency, with the result that players lose focus and fail to execute or to exercise subtle skills. The other style, over-managing, could convey too much urgency, even panic, with the result that players play tight and do not follow, or in some cases even develop, their instincts for the game. This was a criticism that Dick Allen in particular made, according to Halberstam, Kashatus, and, in his autobiography, Allen himself. Over-managing is not necessarily indicative of managerial brilliance in game situations. It can, rather, indicate a manager’s overwhelming desire to maintain tight control over each game, perhaps for fear of the second-guessing that comes with losing. Or it can indicate that he does not fully trust his players’ instincts and ability or even (dare we say?) that he has some wish to prove his relevance to the outcome of games when it’s the players’ performance that is the obvious determinant. </p>
<p>Managers must understand what is most appropriate for their team and make adjustments to their styles and strategies when necessary. The 1964 Phillies probably would not have been in a position to win the pennant without Mauch as their manager, but his intensity (often manifested as sarcasm and the belittling of his players when things didn’t work out) and constant maneuvers to try to wrest the advantage in games may have caught up with him in the final weeks of the season. When it was all over, Mauch blamed himself for the debacle. This was telling not so much because he attempted to remove the stigma of the collapse from his players but because, in the final weeks, he may have put on himself too much of the burden to win games instead of allowing the games to play out with less urgency. </p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p><a href="https://sabr.org/sites/default/files/Soderholm-Difatte-Table6-1964-Phillies.png"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="alignnone" style="vertical-align: middle; margin: 3px;" src="https://sabr.org/sites/default/files/Soderholm-Difatte-Table6-1964-Phillies.png" alt="" width="501" height="277" /></a></p>
<p><em>(Click image to enlarge.)</em></p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>First he was in a rush to clinch the pennant, and he quite likely began preparing for the World Series prematurely when, with a 6-game lead, he started Bunning in Houston on short rest, probably so he would be aligned for Game 1 of the World Series. Then he overreacted to a string of defeats, especially to the Reds, that still left the Phillies in control of the pennant race with fewer than ten games remaining—if no longer in commanding control. Then, as the defeats piled on, he panicked as he tried desperately to pick up wins by starting his two best pitchers twice consecutively on short rest, wearing them down, when they, and especially Bunning, would have been more effective with normal rest. </p>
<p>The Phillies lost the pennant by one game. Even if Mauch had lost all of those games where he had no obvious starting pitcher (with Culp unable to pitch because of his elbow and Bennett badly hampered with a bum shoulder), Bunning and Short would have been more likely to pitch effectively and gain a victory on normal rest, as Bunning proved in both of his stretch-drive victories. Just one additional win by both, or two by either, could have changed the outcome of the pennant race. In effect, it may be that Mauch turned possible wins into losses by panicking rather than simply accepting losses for the sake of maximizing the odds of winning when his two best pitchers started. </p>
<p>If Mauch made his decision to start his ace on September 16 in Houston on only two days’ rest in order to line Bunning’s remaining starts up with Game 1 of the World Series—this appears to be the only plausible explanation, if you study the calendar—it suggests that at that point he took the pennant for granted. <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/2c77f933">Joe McCarthy</a>, by contrast, when he was managing the Yankees in the 1930s and 1940s, led pennant-winning teams that typically finished strong and with a huge lead at the end of September. </p>
<p>Mauch apparently was willing to risk a loss by Bunning on short rest, for the purpose of setting him up for the World Series. But the National League pennant had not yet been clinched. Perhaps Mauch should have waited for his Phillies to officially clinch the pennant before trying to arrange the rotation so that Jim Bunning would be able to start Game 1 of the World Series with the appropriate rest between his final regular-season starts. There likely would have been time enough for that. </p>
<p>While one could argue that the impact of his starting Bunning in Houston on September 16 could have been mitigated had Mauch thereafter kept Bunning on a normal schedule, this decision of his had a devastating cascading effect as the Phillies went into their 10-game losing streak, because Bunning turned out not to be available to pitch against one of the remaining contending clubs, the Reds. In trying to prepare for the World Series, Mauch forgot the importance of starting his best pitchers in their appropriate turn. Baseball has a way of punishing hubris. </p>
<p><em><strong>BRYAN SODERHOLM-DIFATTE</strong>, who lives and works in the Washington, D.C., area, is devoted to the study of Major League Baseball history.</em></p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p><strong>Notes</strong></p>
<p><a href="#end1" name="end1">1</a> David Halberstam, <em>October 1964</em> (New York: Villard Books, 1994); William C. Kashatus, <em>September Swoon: Richie Allen, the ’64 Phillies, and Racial Integration</em> (University Park: Pennsylvania State University Press, 2004); Steven Goldman, ed., <em>It Ain’t Over ’Til It’s Over: The Baseball Prospectus Pennant Race Book</em> (New York: Basic Books, 2007).</p>
<p><a href="#end2" name="end2">2</a> Clifford Corcoran, “There Is No Expedient to Which a Man Should Not Avoid to Avoid the Real Labor of Thinking,” in <em>It Ain’t Over ’Til It’s Over</em>, ed. Goldman, 134.</p>
<p><a href="#end3" name="end3">3</a> Corcoran, 141.</p>
<p><a href="#end4" name="end4">4</a> Kashatus, 118.</p>
<p><a href="#end5" name="end5">5</a> Halberstam, 303.</p>
<p><a href="#end6" name="end6">6</a> Kashatus, 119; Halberstam, 303.</p>
<p><a href="#end7" name="end7">7</a> Kashatus, 119.</p>
<p><a href="#end8" name="end8">8</a> Kashatus, 124.</p>
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