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	<title>Articles.2010-BRJ39-1 &#8211; Society for American Baseball Research</title>
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		<title>The Hidden Value of Glovework</title>
		<link>https://sabr.org/journal/article/the-hidden-value-of-glovework/</link>
		
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		<pubDate>Thu, 03 Feb 2011 18:16:33 +0000</pubDate>
				<guid isPermaLink="false">http://dev.sabr.org/journal_articles/the-hidden-value-of-glovework/</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[When Jack Zduriencik replaced Bill Bavasi as the Mariners’ general manager, it didn’t take long for the savvy Mariner fan base to realize that changes were afoot. Zduriencik, who apprenticed under the Brewers’ general manager Doug Melvin, had operated in an organization that valued data and analysis as a critical component of their decision-making process. [&#8230;]]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>When <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/71b8d79e">Jack Zduriencik</a> replaced Bill Bavasi as the Mariners’ general manager, it didn’t take long for the savvy Mariner fan base to realize that changes were afoot. Zduriencik, who apprenticed under the Brewers’ general manager Doug Melvin, had operated in an organization that valued data and analysis as a critical component of their decision-making process. Gone are the days when general managers can consistently make sound decisions based purely on intuition and experience. That approach went out the door—or should have—about a decade ago when the Dodgers signed <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/14fff13c">Kevin Brown</a> to a seven-year, $105-million contract. The stakes have gotten too large and the business is far too complicated for seat-of-the-pants decision making. One ill-informed decision, such as a poor, long-term free-agent contract, could send an organization into a tailspin that might cost them an entire generation of fans before they can recover. </p>
<p>Zduriencik had to find a way to efficiently compete with clubs with more resources, including the division rival Los Angeles Angels, as well as the perennial American League powerhouses, the Yankees and Red Sox. The key to competing efficiently is to get the biggest bang for your payroll bucks by finding “value.” One approach is to determine which player-performance attributes or skills are “discounted” in baseball’s labor market. If a player attribute that translates into runs scored or runs prevented is not priced accurately—much as on-base-percentage was undervalued pre-Moneyball—it might lead to a cost-effective roster strategy. Another approach is to develop a roster strategy that uniquely fits a team or, more specifically, a ballpark. The Red Sox are masters of this approach, tailoring their roster to the Green Monster at Fenway Park. This means that right-handed fly-ball hitters are “worth” more to the Red Sox than to most teams, as their would-be outs at other ballparks are often doubles or home runs at Fenway. The Green Monster also allows Boston to have a near-DH patrol left field with minimal consequences. When the Red Sox gameplan their 95 to 100 targeted regular-season wins each year, their roster strategy implies that their expectation is to win 55-plus games at home and play .500 ball on the road.</p>
<p>To capitalize on both of these definitions of “value,” Zduriencik and his top assistant Tony Blengino focused on building a first-rate defensive ballclub. Arguably, defense has become the new on-base-percentage, the latest attribute or skill that seems to be undervalued in the market for players. I’ve conducted an in-depth analysis of the free-agent market—MLB’s most fluid labor market—and concluded that a run prevented through stellar defensive play can be purchased at about one-third of the cost of a run generated through offensive performance. Beyond the way MLB teams value defense, the distinctiveness of Safeco Field, with its expansive outfield, lends itself to a ballpark-based roster strategy. By building a top defensive club, with a particular focus on outfield defense, the Mariners could have a distinct competitive advantage for 90 of their 162 games, including games played at spacious McAfee Coliseum in Oakland.</p>
<p>In recent years, the development of defensive metrics such as Ultimate Zone Rating (UZR) by Mitchel Lichtman and the Plus/Minus Ratings developed by John Dewan have become widely discussed and frequently used among MLB teams. The primary intent of these statistics is to shine a light on the defensive side of individual players, providing teams and fans with a comparative scale on which to measure defensive performance. The data are focused on the primary, or direct, effect of defense—which is the impact of good or bad defensive plays on baserunners allowed and on baserunners advanced and, ultimately, the translation of those defensive plays into a team’s runs allowed. For example, UZR data say that the starting outfield of the 2008 Mariners performed slightly above average, saving about 10 runs above average, contributing the equivalent of approximately one additional win of the Mariners 2008 total of 61 wins. By contrast, the 2009 version of the Mariners’ outfield, anchored by defensive standout <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/84f74f49">Franklin Gutierrez</a>, saved about 50 runs above average, making their outfield defense responsible for approximately 5 of the 85 Seattle wins. </p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p><strong>Figure 1</strong></p>
<p><a href="http://dev.sabr.org/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/brj-2010-summer-057.large-thumbnail.jpg"><img fetchpriority="high" decoding="async" class="alignnone" src="http://dev.sabr.org/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/brj-2010-summer-057.large-thumbnail.jpg" alt="" width="310" height="258" /></a></p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>While the defensive metrics allow us to quantify a player’s impact on his team’s runs allowed and, ultimately, wins, the measures stop short of quantifying the secondary, or indirect, effect of defense on pitching and pitching usage. Most baseball insiders and analysts would agree that the impact of defense is not limited to the baserunners allowed and the likelihood the baserunners will score. For example, another consequence of a defensive misplay—a play that should have turned a batted ball into an out—is the additional number of pitches required to secure the out. For poor defensive teams the additional pitches can add up and alter how a team deploys its pitchers, often placing an inferior pitcher on the mound in a crucial situation. For stellar defensive teams the opposite may be true— their best pitchers may garner a higher share of innings pitched, raising the overall effectiveness of the team’s pitching staff. One example of a major-league manager’s belief in this “secondary effect” is embedded in a statement made by Mets’ manager <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/a96a6c2a">Jerry Manuel</a> at a pregame press conference on May 6, 2009. “An error by <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/168f566c">Luis Castillo </a>last night caused <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/382c2b48">J. J. Putz</a> to throw more pitches, making him unavailable for tonight’s game,” Manuel observed, drawing a connection between defensive misplays and a pitcher’s workload.<a href="#end1">1</a></p>
<p>To test this hypothesis, I attempted to measure the secondary effects of defense on pitching usage. (See figure 1.) Looking at the issue from the negative side— poor defense—illustrates the point. The logic chain says that poor defense leads to missed opportunities to convert batted balls into outs, which leads to shorter outings by starting pitchers, which by definition leads to additional bullpen innings. More specifically, I tested to find whom these additional bullpen innings were allocated to, my suspicion being that they fell into the hands of the lowest-quality relievers. If this were true, the net result would be additional runs allowed by a poor defensive team because of an inefficient allocation of pitching—a secondary, indirect effect of poor defense. We would also expect the reverse to be true of top defensive teams. </p>
<p>I analyzed five years, 2004 through 2008, of team-level defense and pitching data to test for the secondary effect of defense on pitching. (For more details on the methodology of the analysis, see “Secondary Effects of Defense on Pitching” on page 102.) There are several key conclusions of the study that have implications for the Mariners’ strategy of building a strong defensive team. First, analyzing the top-quartile and bottom-quartile defensive teams shows clear support for the connection between the quality of a team’s defense and its pitching usage. Top defensive teams average approximately one-half inning per game more out of their starting pitcher. While that may not sound like a lot, taking away or adding one-half inning to a bullpen that averages three innings per game is a 17 percent change in the bullpen’s workload. For the typical team, that translates into about an 80-inning swing, over the regular season, between starting pitchers or the bullpen, just on the basis of the quality of the defense. (See figure 2.)</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p><strong>Figure 2. Distribution of IP for Top and Bottom Quartile</strong></p>
<div class="sabrtable-wrap tableleft">
<table class="sabrtable" style="width: 100%;">
<caption> </caption>
<tbody>
<tr>
<th style="width: 38.2042%;"> </th>
<th style="width: 33.2746%;">Starting Pitcher IP per Game</th>
<th style="width: 26.9366%;">Bullpen IP per Game*</th>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 38.2042%;"><strong>Top-Quartile Defensive Teams</strong></td>
<td style="width: 33.2746%;">6.0</td>
<td style="width: 26.9366%;">3.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 38.2042%;"><strong>Bottom-Quartile Defensive Teams (+80 Bullpen Innings)</strong></td>
<td style="width: 33.2746%;">5.5</td>
<td style="width: 26.9366%;">3.5</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<p><span class="table-key"> *Adjusted for total IP</span></div>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>It’s not just that innings get moved from starters to the bullpen. It’s also important to understand which relievers tend to pitch the innings resulting from shorter starts. Needless to say, if the starter gets pulled in the fifth or sixth inning, teams are typically not calling the closer or setup man—arguably a team’s best relief pitchers—to work those innings. These innings are often logged by the very end of the bullpen bench, even though it may be a critical, high-leverage situation, with runners on base in a close game. If we divide a pitching staff into three groups—starting pitchers, the top four relievers, and all other relievers— we can illustrate the point. While the worst defensive teams tend to move about 80 innings from starting pitchers to the bullpen, the innings are redistributed within the bullpen, with the weakest relievers getting more work. (See figure 3.) </p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p><strong>Figure 3. Distribution of IP for Best and Worst Defense</strong></p>
<div class="sabrtable-wrap tableleft">
<table class="sabrtable" width="100%">
<caption> </caption>
<tbody>
<tr>
<th>Total Innings</th>
<th>Starting Pitchers</th>
<th>Top 4 Relievers</th>
<th>Other Relievers</th>
</tr>
<tr>
<th>Best Defense</th>
<td>970</td>
<td>275</td>
<td>195</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<th>Worst Defense</th>
<td>890</td>
<td>240</td>
<td>310</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<th>WORST</th>
<th style="text-align: left;">          -80</th>
<th style="text-align: left;">          -35</th>
<th style="text-align: left;">          +115</th>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>The distribution of a team’s pitching quality can have a large impact on the secondary effect. While poor defensive teams tend to redistribute innings to relievers at the bottom of the bullpen depth chart, a team can, if it has excellent bullpen depth, mitigate the negative secondary effect of poor defense. The 2008 Yankees are a prime example. While they were among baseball’s worst defensive teams, their outstanding bullpen depth meant the innings that got shoved deep into the bullpen were still adequately handled by no-name but effective relievers. Finally, the analysis uncovered a clear synergy between the quality of a team’s defense and the quality of their starting pitching. If we match top-quartile defense with top-quartile starting pitching we see the same tendencies—longer outings by starters and a more favorable allocation of bullpen innings—but to a much greater degree than those measures for all top-quartile defensive teams. The converse is true for teams with the poorest defense and worst starting pitching. </p>
<p><strong>THE MARINERS’ TRANSITION TO A TOP DEFENSIVE TEAM </strong></p>
<p>The Mariners’ transition from a mediocre to a top defensive team began shortly after Zduriencik stepped in as general manager. In a three-team trade in December 2008, he landed the Indians’ Franklin Gutierrez and the Mets’ <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/6b316948">Endy Chavez</a>—two fly-catchers who are regarded as being among the best in all of baseball. A second key trade occurred on the eve of the trading deadline in late July 2009 as the Mariners picked up shortstop <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/3910e5c6">Jack Wilson</a>, a defensive standout, from the Pittsburgh Pirates. Defensive improvements quickly showed on the field and on the stat sheets. According to UZR, the Mariners’ defense went from 21 runs (relative to the MLB average defense) in 2008 to +86 runs in 2009. The improvement of 107 runs saved, due to defense, vaulted the Mariners from the twentieth-best defensive team to the best defensive team in baseball, in just one year. This glovework implies an additional 10 wins in 2009 from defense alone. </p>
<p>Often a roster strategy is most effective when it’s combined with another complementary strategy. In the case of the Mariners, it was their transition to being a team of fly-ball pitchers, after being a more groundball-fly-ball-balanced club in 2008. While their 2008 groundball-fly-ball ratio was 1.25—near the league average— the 2009 pitching staff had the third lowest groundball-fly-ball ratio. What better way to leverage a great corps of fly-chasers in a big ballpark than to load up on fly-ball pitchers. No doubt the two strategies worked in concert. Despite turnover on the pitching staff, including the loss of <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/9e6c5f8b">Jarrod Washburn</a> and <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/12085e84">Brandon Morrow</a>, the first half of the 2010 season saw a continuation of this strategy as only the San Francisco Giants registered a lower groundball–fly-ball ratio. </p>
<p>Now let’s look beyond the direct runs-allowed (or runs-prevented) value from the baserunners and into the secondary effect of defense—how it affects pitching usage and its translation into runs allowed. The 2009 Mariners saw a pronounced shift in innings through our three pitcher groupings—starting pitchers, top four relievers, and the remainder of the bullpen. Compared to 2008, thirty-nine innings were shifted from starting pitchers to the bullpen. Perhaps more significant were the sixty-four innings that were shifted from depths of the bullpen to the premier arms in the bullpen. (See figure 4.) The top four bullpen arms in 2009 (defined by relief innings pitched)—<a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/6020b1f4">David Aardsma</a>, <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/e68799f1">Mark Lowe</a>, <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/44e39fc7">Miguel Batista</a>, and<a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/c55fc7c5"> Sean White</a>—pitched more than 58 percent of Seattle’s relief innings, versus 49 percent by their counterparts in 2008.</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p><strong>Figure 4. Distribution of IP, Mariners, 2008 and 2009</strong></p>
<div class="sabrtable-wrap tableleft">
<table class="sabrtable" width="100%">
<caption> </caption>
<tbody>
<tr>
<th>Total Innings</th>
<th>Starting Pitchers</th>
<th>Top 4 Relievers</th>
<th>&#8220;Other&#8221; Relievers</th>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><strong>2009 Mariners</strong></td>
<td>961</td>
<td>287</td>
<td>205</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><strong>2008 Mariners</strong></td>
<td>905</td>
<td>260</td>
<td>270</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><strong>2009 Mariners*</strong></td>
<td><strong>+56</strong></td>
<td><strong> +27</strong></td>
<td><strong> -65</strong></td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<p><span class="table-key"> *Mariners pitchers had 17 more innings pitched in 2009 than in 2008.</span></div>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>As we discussed earlier, in order for the secondary effect of improved defense to be maximized, several key ingredients need to be present. The ideal formula is high-quality starting pitchers and top relievers combined with a lack of depth in the bullpen. This scenario makes the shift of innings, resulting from improved defense, from the dregs of the bullpen to top relievers and starters even more impactful. Also, the secondary effect tends to be greatest when the improvement in defense is at positions that have the greatest impact on outs—namely, the infield. In the infield, the difference between a great play or a bad play is almost always the difference between an out and a baserunner. In the outfield, great defense will convert some batted balls into outs but will also limit the damage of others, by turning doubles into singles or triples into doubles. As a result, great outfield defense can have a great impact directly on runs allowed but tends to have a proportionately smaller secondary effect. Since a solid portion of the Mariners’ improved defense came in the form of outfield play, and because the difference in quality between Seattle’s best pitchers and least effective pitchers tends to be modest, the secondary effect of their 2009 defensive improvement was worth only about eight runs, or one additional win. </p>
<p><strong>RE-SIGNING JACK WILSON</strong></p>
<p>Wilson arrived in the last year of his contract but had an $8.4-million option for the 2010 season. Recognizing that this price tag was significantly above market, the Mariners and Wilson reached agreement on a deal of $5 million per year for 2010 and 2011. Some will argue that the deal is pricey for a light-hitting, oft injured aging shortstop who could have been cut loose from the Mariners for a mere $600,000 buyout. But those who have a deep appreciation for the true value of defense are more likely to see the virtue of this deal. I’ve developed a model of the behavior of the free-agent market and its “pricing” of free-agent contracts. The model incorporates about 800 transactions over the past six years and includes the player’s age, position, past performance, and even his track record of durability. By plugging each of these factors into the model, we are able to estimate how the free-agent market is likely to “value” any player. Evaluating Wilson at face value—taking his historical performance stats literally—the model prices the shortstop at about $3 million per year. This valuation reflects the reality that teams price a player’s defensive contribution at about only one-third the value of a player’s offensive contribution. However, if we re-price Wilson’s primary contribution—his defense, or runs saved—at the same rate as a player’s offensive contribution, or runs created, his value soars to approximately the $5 million per year doled out by Seattle. For Jack Wilson as well as for a front office that seems to place equal value on offensive and defensive contributions, the Wilson signing may prove to be a winning deal. Wilson’s injuries and missed playing time limited his first-half 2010 contribution, but a two-year deal cannot be judged at the mid-point of year one.</p>
<p><strong>TAKING THE NEXT STEP IN 2010 </strong></p>
<p>No doubt the Mariners’ front office would like to see the team’s transformation into a standout defensive ballclub continue in 2010. The free-agent signing of <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/3db4650f">Chone Figgins</a> provides a solid and versatile defender, who can play second or third base. A full year of Jack Wilson will be a welcome sight for Mariners pitchers in 2010, as his attention-grabbing, highlight-film plays not only generate outs but also conserve pitches, potentially allowing starters to go deeper into games. (For an assessment of the Wilson deal, see “Re-signing Jack Wilson” on page 101.) Another way for Seattle to gain more bang for their defensive prowess is to fortify their pitching staff. Teams with strong fielding and strong pitching garner significantly more of the secondary benefits of defense than those with strong defense and mediocre pitching. A good example of this in recent times was the 2005 World Series teams, the Houston Astros and the Chicago White Sox. Both clubs were outstanding defensively and had stellar starting pitching. As a result, they had an astonishingly low amount of relief innings—414 and 401, respectively. The low bullpen usage allowed them to give the ball to their top four relievers often, as they represented a staggering 68 percent and 64 percent of all bullpen innings worked for their teams that year. The acquisition of <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/e76a5338">Cliff Lee</a> prior to the 2010 season was an attempt to bolster their pitching staff. Lee emerged as not only a top pitcher but also one who goes deep into games. With both Lee and <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/52dc83e9">Felix Hernandez</a> at the top of the Mariners’ rotation in 2010, they had two pitchers in MLB’s top ten in innings pitched per start. In the case of Lee, he has a good chance of increasing his ranking because of the defense playing behind him. </p>
<p>Entering the 2010 season, the prospects of the Mariners stealing a few extra wins by maximizing the secondary effects of defense was promising. The addition of Cliff Lee to the rotation, along with a full season of Jack Wilson and Chone Figgins, would be expected to shift additional innings to starting pitchers, allowing the reduced bullpen innings to be even more efficiently allocated among the top relief pitchers. The Mariners’ combination of great defense and improved starting pitching should allow their top relievers to work a higher percentage of “meaningful innings”—innings when the game is on the line. It was reasonable to expect the net result of the secondary effect of defense to be worth an additional three wins to the 2010 Mariners. The team’s poor start to the season and the trading of Cliff Lee before the midseason trade deadline may change things in the short run but should not alter the sound, long-term strategy of general manager Jack Zduriencik. </p>
<p><strong>SECONDARY EFFECTS OF DEFENSE ON PITCHING</strong></p>
<p>I analyzed five years, 2004 through 2008, of team-level defense and pitching data to test for the secondary effect of defense on pitching. (I did not use the more commonly referred-to “run value” of defenders, but instead I analyzed the impact of defensive plays on outs, since the hypothesis is predicated on converting batted balls into outs. The “out value” is geared to capturing, for example, a shortstop’s misplay of a groundball that allows a baserunner to reach first, or an outfielder’s catch of a line drive that would have dropped in for a hit, rather than an outfielder’s misplay that turns a would-be double into a triple.) Since the premise is “defense affects pitching usage,” I also analyzed pitching performance as measured by fielding-independent pitching (FIP), looking for contrasts between the best and worst defensive teams. More specifically, I divided pitchers for each team into three categories—starting pitchers, top four relievers, and the remaining relievers. I looked at the innings distribution across the three groups of pitchers within a team, for good and bad defensive teams. Finally, I examined the quality differential of a team’s starters, top four relievers, and remaining relievers, in order to measure how the shift in innings resulting from good or bad defense impacted runs allowed. </p>
<p>It’s not as simple as translating the quality of a team’s defense into the average number of innings pitched by its starting pitchers. Beyond stellar defense, another reason for depth in starting pitching could be that the quality of the starting pitching is high. In order to isolate the impact of defense, I normalized the average innings per starter for the quality of the starting pitching. While the measure is by no means perfect, I was able to home in on the impact of defense on pitching usage. I also had to analyze NL and AL teams separately, since they operate in environments far different from each other. Without a designated hitter, National League teams may abort the benefits of great defense and its conservation of pitch counts because they were trailing in the game and needed a pinch-hitter. This situation is specific to the NL and distorts any interleague comparison of innings per starting pitcher. Curiously, even though defense stands to have a greater impact on pitching usage in the AL than in the NL, it’s in the NL that the best defensive teams are clustered. From 2004 through 2008, 71 percent of the top-quartile defensive teams are in the NL, and 76 percent of the bottom-quartile teams are in the AL.</p>
<p><em><strong>VINCE GENNARO</strong> is a consultant to MLB clubs and the author of &#8220;Diamond Dollars: The Economics of Winning in Baseball&#8221; (Maple Street Press, 2007). He teaches sports-business management in graduate programs at Columbia University and Manhattanville College. He is executive director of Manhattanville’s Sports Analytic Institute.</em></p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p><strong>Author&#8217;s Note<br />
</strong></p>
<p>This article is adapted from “The Hidden Value of Glovework,” by Vince Gennaro, in <em>Maple Street Press Mariners Annual 2010</em>, ed. Dave Cameron (Hanover, Mass.: Maple Street Press, 2010), 55–60, and from a presentation given at the SABR national convention, July 2009.</p>
</div>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p><strong>Notes</strong></p>
<p><a href="#end1" name="end1">1</a> SNY.tv, 6 May 2009.</p>
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		<title>Larry Doby’s “The Catch”</title>
		<link>https://sabr.org/journal/article/larry-dobys-the-catch/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[admin]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 03 Feb 2011 18:16:33 +0000</pubDate>
				<guid isPermaLink="false">http://dev.sabr.org/journal_articles/larry-dobys-the-catch/</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[&#160; Arguably the greatest catch in the history of baseball was the basket catch Willie Mays made of a long fly ball in center field in the Polo Grounds in Game 1 of the 1954 World Series, on September 29, 1954. The score was tied 2–2 in the top of the eighth. With runners on [&#8230;]]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://dev.sabr.org/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/brj-2010-summer-059.jpg"><img decoding="async" class="alignnone" src="http://dev.sabr.org/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/brj-2010-summer-059.jpg" alt="At Municipal Stadium, Cleveland, July 30, 1954." width="489" height="310" /></a></p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p><!--break-->Arguably the greatest catch in the history of baseball was the basket catch <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/64f5dfa2">Willie Mays</a> made of a long fly ball in center field in the Polo Grounds in Game 1 of the 1954 World Series, on September 29, 1954. The score was tied 2–2 in the top of the eighth. With runners on first and second, <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/9d542cc4">Vic Wertz</a> hit a fly ball, 450 to 480 feet, deep into the unusually deep center field of the Polo Grounds. Mays caught up with the ball and caught it, his back to home plate, with his glove hand held palm-up. He fired a bullet back to the infield, holding the Indians’ <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/40d66568">Al Rosen</a> to first, although <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/4e985e86" rel="primary-subject">Larry Doby</a> (remember that name) was able to advance to third. Had the ball not been caught, the Indians would have broken the game open and it would not have gone into extra innings. The Giants won that game and went on to sweep the mighty 1954 Indians. Mays’s catch is often considered to have set the tone for the Series. </p>
<p>Lost to the memory of all but a few, and perhaps overshadowed by Mays’s feat in the World Series only two months later, is a catch the Indians’ own center fielder, Larry Doby, made at Municipal Stadium in a game against the Washington Senators. It was a day game on July 30, 1954, the first of a four-game series. The Indians, in the heat of a pennant race with the Yankees, were leading 5–3 in the top of the third. Art Hottleman was on the mound for the Indians. With one out and a runner on first, <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/3356faed">Tom Umphlett</a> hit a long fly ball to center-left. That, it appeared, would tie the game. </p>
<p>Doby, playing fairly deep, as was his practice, took off for the ball and, as he approached the fence, looked like he was going to crash into it. Instead, he leaped over the top of it, snatched the ball backhanded, and seemed to remain suspended in air for a moment. Finally, obeying the law of gravity, he came down onto the awning above the bullpen. He bounced off that and came down hard on the playing field, the ball still in his glove. Joe Flaherty, the second-base umpire, ruled it caught, and the crowd erupted. </p>
<p>Left fielder <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/e4f19310">Al Smith</a>, who had sprinted to where Doby lay, retrieved the ball and threw it to the infield to keep the runner from advancing.<a href="#end1">1</a> Doby was motionless. Cleveland players ran from the dugout. As they gathered around him, all eyes were on the huddle. After a few moments, Doby’s partially bald head emerged. The crowd gave him a standing ovation when Doby, still surrounded by his teammates, began making his way toward the Indians dugout. </p>
<p>About halfway there, he stopped and exchanged words with Indians manager <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/03cbf1cc">Al Lopez</a>. Doby stopped, put on his hat and glove, shook his head OK, and began walking back to his position in center field. The crowd erupted again. The whole episode took several minutes. </p>
<p>“I just went for the ball,” Doby said after the game, “same as I did for <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/00badd9b">Jackie Jensen</a>’s home run a couple of days ago, the one I missed. The fellows in our bullpen told me my right hand went through the awning before I bounced off. If it did I didn’t notice. I didn’t get hurt much. Knocked the wind out of me and my left shoulder gave me a jolt, where I hurt it before. Maybe it hurt a nerve.”<a href="#end2">2</a></p>
<p>“If this wasn’t the greatest catch of the century,” Frank Gibbons, sportswriter for the Cleveland Press, wrote the next day, “it must be at least a match for any other.”<a href="#end3">3</a> “I’ve seen them all,” <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/40bc224d">Dizzy Dean</a> said. “Moore, <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/a48f1830">DiMaggio</a>, and this here fellow named Mays. But I never saw a catch as good as this one and the pitcher ought to pay that Doby a month’s salary.”<a href="#end4">4</a></p>
<p><em><strong>KEN SAULTER</strong>, a retired economist, writes from Ann Arbor, Michigan.</em></p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p><strong>Author&#8217;s Note</strong></p>
<p>The author, 13 years old at the time and selling scorecards at Municipal Stadium, saw the catch. This account, based on his recollection, is corroborated by newspaper accounts and by Joseph Thomas Moore in <em>Pride Against Prejudice: The Biography of Larry Doby</em> (Westport, Conn.: Greenwood Press, 1988), 102–3.</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p><strong>Notes</strong></p>
<p><a href="#end1" name="end1">1</a> Joseph Thomas Moore, <em>Pride Against Prejudice: The Biography of Larry Doby</em> (Westport, Conn.: Greenwood Press, 1988), 102–3.</p>
<p><a href="#end2" name="end2">2</a> <em>Cleveland Press</em>, sports sect., 31 July 1954.</p>
<p><a href="#end3" name="end3">3</a> Frank Gibbons, <em>Cleveland Press</em>, sports sect., 31 July 1954.</p>
<p><a href="#end4" name="end4">4</a> <em>Cleveland Press</em>, sports sect., 31 July 1954.</p>
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		<title>The Evolution of Catcher’s Equipment</title>
		<link>https://sabr.org/journal/article/the-evolution-of-catchers-equipment/</link>
		
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		<pubDate>Thu, 03 Feb 2011 18:16:33 +0000</pubDate>
				<guid isPermaLink="false">http://dev.sabr.org/journal_articles/the-evolution-of-catchers-equipment/</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Catchers have always put their bodies on the line. But early efforts to protect themselves met with a lot of flak. We used no mattress on our hands,No cage upon our face; We stood right up and caught the ball, With courage and with grace. — Harry Ellard, “The Reds of Sixty-Nine” (1880s) &#160; &#160; [&#8230;]]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Catchers have always put their bodies on the line. But early efforts to protect themselves met with a lot of flak.<br />
<span id="more-8647"></span></p>
<p><em>We used no mattress on our hands,<br />No cage upon our face; <br />We stood right up and caught the ball, <br />With courage and with grace. </em><br />— Harry Ellard, “The Reds of Sixty-Nine” (1880s)</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>The field position denoted on your scorecard as <em>2</em> has never been an easy job. Errant balls, foul tips, and flying bats are all a source of pain for catchers. Collisions at the plate occur with regularity, some more painful than others. The backstops from baseball’s first fifty years endured daily physical punishment, all without the luxury of today’s protective equipment. Virtues such as strength, stamina, and courage in collisions were in high demand.&nbsp;</p>
<p>No protection short of a bunker could have spared twenty-three-year-old <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/b8e6733a">Ray Fosse</a> the career-impacting injury he sustained in the 1970 All-Star Game. Catcher-turned-announcer <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/b34583db">Tim McCarver</a> says he still suffers from nerve damage in his neck caused by back-to-back plate collisions a quarter of a century ago. Today, catchers often put their bodies literally on the line, most often the one on the third-base side.&nbsp;</p>
<p><img decoding="async" style="float: left; width: 236px; height: 300px;" src="http://dev.sabr.org/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/brj-2010-summer-060.jpg" alt="On Opening Day at the Polo Grounds against the Phillies in 1907, future Hall of Famer became the first catcher to wear the full suit of armor, or ">Catchers are expected to take their lumps without grumbling. But the early efforts of catchers to protect themselves met with a lot of flak. A typical reaction came from the crowd at the Polo Grounds when the New York Giants opened the 1907 season against the Philadelphia Phillies. As the Giants took the field, star catcher and Hall of Famer <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/90202b76">Roger Bresnahan</a> looked more like a goaltender than a backstop when he squatted behind the plate in a pair of thickly upholstered shin guards.&nbsp;</p>
<p>It was the first time a catcher had dared to don the protective gear in open view, and the crowd’s reaction came as quickly as a foul tip and just as nasty. “Spectators howled with delight when a foul tip in the fifth inning rapped the protectors sharply,” reported the New York Times. Bresnahan, more concerned about his livelihood than remarks about his manliness, ignored the insults from fans and foes.&nbsp;</p>
<p>Bresnahan’s shin guards were the final pieces of the catcher’s major armor, following the glove,&nbsp;mask, and chest protector.&nbsp;</p>
<p>This armor kit was lovingly dubbed “the tools of ignorance” by <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/cd44a05b">Herold “Muddy” Ruel</a>, a backstop and a lawyer who caught for greats like <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/0e5ca45c">Walter Johnson</a> with the Washington Nationals in the 1920s. Ruel probably would have stayed a lawyer if he’d caught in the late 1860s when catchers had no equipment.&nbsp;</p>
<p>New York Mutuals catcher <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/aa4bd0e2">Nat Hicks</a> was the first backstop to start creeping closer to batters, in the 1870s. Before Hicks, catchers stood far behind the hitters, fielding pitches on the bounce. Hicks paid for his fearlessness with repeated and sometimes severe damage to his face and a near-loss of his right eye in 1873.&nbsp;</p>
<p><img decoding="async" style="float: right; width: 237px; height: 300px;" src="http://dev.sabr.org/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/brj-2010-summer-061.jpg" alt="Dressed for survival at the game’s toughest position."></p>
<p>Most backstops began crowding the plate in the early 1880s, especially when a rules change dictated that the final strike, including foul tips, had to be caught on a fly for a putout. Pitchers had begun throwing overhand by 1884, when, after a rule change in the National League, all restrictions on the pitcher’s delivery were removed and he could throw underhand, sidearm, or completely overhand, as he wished. Also, the consensus is that the mound was created in 1893 or shortly thereafter. Up until that year the pitcher’s position was known as the pitcher’s box. In 1893 the pitcher’s rear foot was moved farther from home plate to its current distance of 60 feet, 6 inches. Moving closer to the batter enabled catchers to better frame the pitches, field bunts, and throw out base-stealers.&nbsp;</p>
<p>In 1901 the National League instituted a regulation that a “catcher must stand within the lines of his position whenever the pitcher delivers the ball and within ten feet of the home base.” The American League adopted this rule the following year. Current rules state that the “catcher shall station himself directly back of the plate . . . with both feet within the lines of the catcher’s box until the ball leaves the pitcher’s hand” (Rule 4.03[a]). The catcher’s box measures 43 inches across and 8 feet long from the plate backward.&nbsp;</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p><strong>MASKED MEN&nbsp;</strong></p>
<p><img decoding="async" style="float: left; width: 125px; height: 150px;" src="http://dev.sabr.org/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/brj-2010-summer-062.jpg" alt=""></p>
<p>The first piece of protection for catchers, a rubber mouth protector, dates to the 1870s, purloined perhaps from the sport of bareknuckle boxing. George Wright, brother of Red Stockings founder Harry Wright, preceded the mask with this “mouth protector.” His invention was a fifty-cent rubber mouth guard, similar to the mouthpiece a boxer wears. This innovation, according to newspapers of the time, surely cut down on the talkativeness of catchers.&nbsp;</p>
<p>Masks were more obviously a protective device. Probably the first one was invented by an Ivy League man, Fred Thayer, who in 1876 adapted a fencing mask for Alexander Tyng, then with the Harvard Nine. At first, Thayer’s better mouse trap was derisively called a rat trap. But the catcher’s mask caught on quickly among pros and amateurs alike and was in wide use by the 1880s. Besides affording protection, it helped fielding from the very first game. Harvard’s Tyng made only two errors in that April 12, 1877, match, exceptionally low even for a pro catcher in those days.&nbsp;</p>
<p><img decoding="async" style="float: right; width: 143px; height: 150px;" src="http://dev.sabr.org/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/brj-2010-summer-063.jpg" alt=""></p>
<p>Thayer’s patented mask (patent 200,358) went into the Spalding catalog for the 1878 season, and adaptations followed quickly. Its simple forehead and chin rests were embellished with padding—made from “imported dog skin,” according to one Spalding catalog— to insulate the steel-mesh frame from the catcher’s face.&nbsp;</p>
<p>Better visibility was always a goal in catcher’s masks. Inventor George Barnard patented his “open view” mask in 1888 (patent 376,278) that afforded both protection and vision. These wire-basket cages worn by the 1890s backstops like Roger Bresnahan and <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/c19ac6cc">Marty Bergen</a> gave way to the greatly improved peripheral vision of the so-called Open Vision and Wide Sight masks by the 1911 season. A. J. Reach created this mask (patent 1,012,223) for the purpose of removing the vertical bar for better visibility without sacrificing structural strength.&nbsp;</p>
<p>The “platform mask,” a one-piece aluminum casting with horizontal crossbars instead of soldered mesh, was patented by umpire James E. Johnstone in 1921 (patent 1,449,183). Mesh still evolved, though, getting springy, shock-absorbing action and ball-deflecting shapes in the 1920s. One such mask designed by H. Goldsmith in 1923 (patent 1,475,991) had a padded “oval surround” with two cross bars. Other mask materials have come along, but carbon-steel wire mesh remains the material of choice to this day. Catchers prefer the welded-wire guard because it has better air movement and fewer massive bars that could obstruct visibility. Carbon-steel wire is used because it’s flexible but strong. The goal is to get some deformation in the mesh to reduce some of the shock but still retain structural integrity.&nbsp;</p>
<p><img decoding="async" style="float: left; width: 120px; height: 150px;" src="http://dev.sabr.org/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/brj-2010-summer-064.jpg" alt=""></p>
<p>Sometimes one change in a piece of equipment necessitated changes in other catchers’ equipment. For example, with two-handed catching, using the pillowstyle mitt, the catcher’s hands followed the ball into his body. In the process, the catcher was tucking in his chin so his throat wasn’t exposed. Catchers today, with the hinged-mitt, one-hand the ball farther away from their bodies, and they’re frequently looking up, so the throat’s more exposed. This is the reason why today’s catchers wear masks with throat protectors, popularized by Dodger catcher <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/69e2594b">Steve Yeager</a>. In 1976 Yeager was kneeling in the on-deck circle when a bat shattered and a sharp piece slammed into his throat. To protect him from further injury, the Dodgers came up with the billygoat device hanging from his mask. However, throat protectors go back as early as 1888, as demonstrated by a Spalding advertisement for the Spalding’s Trade Marked Catcher’s Mask No. 30 with a patented neck protection. In 1903 the Victor Sporting Goods Company offered throat protection in its model 314N with a neck extension piece. The latest-version mask has the throat protector integrated with the wire face cage.&nbsp;</p>
<p><img decoding="async" style="float: right; width: 116px; height: 150px;" src="http://dev.sabr.org/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/brj-2010-summer-065.jpg" alt=""></p>
<p>The end of the twentieth century has seen the mask evolve into something resembling what Darth Vader wears. Its genesis sprung from hockey’s goalie mask, and it was introduced by catcher <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/600e7f1c">Charlie O’Brien</a>. It is made of new high-tech polycarbon, and O’Brien’s mask was designed by Jerry Van Valden of Toronto-based Catch You Later Headgear. The helmet protects the top, sides, and back of the head, yet the cage-like opening in the front is bigger than that of a normal mask. It increases a catcher’s peripheral vision and deflects the ball rather than hitting the catcher flush as does the previous mask. At 50 ounces, the helmet is about 10 ounces heavier than a normal mask/helmet combination. Several major-league catchers have begun wearing it, and soon it may be a standard piece of equipment.&nbsp;</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p><strong>MITTENS FOR THE HANDS</strong>&nbsp;</p>
<p>Mitts were a taken-for-granted part of catching. An early documented use of a glove by a player occurred on June 28, 1870, and that was by a catcher. A sportswriter for the Cincinnati Commercial cabled his office, “<a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/dc86c546">[Doug] Allison</a> caught today in a pair of buckskin mittens, to protect his hands.” It was printed in the next day’s newspaper in a recap of the game between the Cincinnati Red Stockings and the Washington Nationals. Also, a report appeared in the Detroit Free Press on August 14, 1867, of a catcher named Ben Delaverage playing for the Victory Club of Troy using a catcher’s glove. In the late 1870s gloves came into common use. At first players had to skulk onto the field. But star pitcher– turned–first baseman <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/b99355e0">Albert Spalding</a> made it a manly thing in 1877, boldly donning a black glove that was fingerless but padded. Ever the entrepreneur, Spalding envisioned big sales for his mail-order sporting-goods business. Catchers were among his best customers. Inventor A. C. Butts patented a fingerless glove in 1883 (patent 290,664), and G. H. Rawlings added padding in 1885 (patent 325,968).&nbsp;</p>
<p><img decoding="async" style="float: left; width: 144px; height: 150px;" src="http://dev.sabr.org/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/brj-2010-summer-066.jpg" alt=""></p>
<p>Historians quibble over whether <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/5272b06a">Harry Decker</a>, <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/76dd2a2d">Joe Gunson</a>, <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/f2e8e118">Ted Kennedy</a>, or Jack McCloskey first used the padded catcher’s mitt in the late 1880s. By one account, the Kansas City Cowboys’ Gunson dreamed up the mitt, but he was too busy catching in Al Spalding’s world baseball tour to take advantage of the idea. So, ex-catcher Decker filed a patent on his mitt design in 1889 (patent 408,650). The “Decker Safety Catcher’s Mitt” was a contraption that was basically a glove stitched to the back of a round pad that covered the palm of the hand. These gloves were literally flat pillows that got their pockets broken in on the job at the expense of the catcher’s palm. Decker modified his mitt in 1891 to a more comfortable design (patent 447,233) with the addition of leather lacing on the back of the hand to hold the mitt in place.&nbsp;</p>
<p>It was not until 1895 that stipulations concerning the use of gloves were included in the rules: Those limited the size of gloves to ten ounces and fourteen inches circumference for all players except catchers and first basemen, who were permitted to use any size glove. The early gloves, lacking webbing and lacing, merely provided protection for the hands. Nineteenthcentury players often wore gloves on both hands. For the throwing hand, they would simply snip the glove at the fingers for dexterity.&nbsp;</p>
<p><img decoding="async" style="float: right; width: 150px; height: 137px;" src="http://dev.sabr.org/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/brj-2010-summer-067.jpg" alt=""></p>
<p>In 1899, J. F. Draper came up with the round, pillowstyle mitt (patent 627,687) that, with several minor modifications, remained the same tool that catchers wore up until the 1920s. R. H. Young in 1920 modified this standard pillow-mitt to disperse a billow of air to form a cushion when the ball was caught (patent 1,362,280).&nbsp;</p>
<p>Mitts were pretty small, flat, and shapeless throughout the dead ball era until a Rawlings employee, Harry “Bud” Latina, who designed dozens of mitts/gloves, created a better mitt. This hand/fingers design made the mitt loose enough to permit it to be dropped quickly or thrown off but not accidentally by using finger loops (patent 1,562,176). This became the standard for more than forty years. Additionally, it had a real change in the depth of the mitt so the ball would really stick, even though the catcher still had to use two hands. The catching technique with the pillow mitt was to stop the ball with the relatively stiff mitt, then secure it with one’s bare hand. This was accomplished by holding the bare hand behind the mitt and quickly moving it to the caught ball. But if the catcher had to move his mitt to catch a ball and failed to move both hands in unison, the bare hand could easily be exposed and subject to harm. Jammed and broken fingers were very common injuries during the pillow-mitt era.&nbsp;</p>
<p><img decoding="async" style="float: left; width: 150px; height: 123px;" src="http://dev.sabr.org/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/brj-2010-summer-068.jpg" alt=""></p>
<p>Modern mitts have evolved to match today’s style of baseball. Catchers now have to one-hand or backhand the ball, which means that they have to work much lower because now the pitching is lower (at or below the batter’s knees). However, when a catcher is that low, he can’t hold two hands out in front or even one with the fingers pointing up and parallel to the body.&nbsp;</p>
<p>In the 1950s, catcher <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/8d45cf48">Gus Niarhos</a> cut an opening in the back of his mitt so he could squeeze the two sides together a little bit, like a fielder’s glove. This led to catcher’s mitts with breaks in them and long oval pockets. Previously, mitts had a pocket but no breaks, and the backstop caught two-handed so the ball wouldn’t pop out. One-handed catching became possible with the hinged mitt, popularized by <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/aab28214">Johnny Bench</a> and <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/d83150d3">Randy Hundley</a> in the late 1960s. With these, a spring-action hinge snaps the mitt closed on contact with the ball.&nbsp;</p>
<p>The ancestry of the flex-hinge catcher’s mitt goes back to the first baseman’s mitts of the 1950s. Logically, one might suppose that former first basemen (like <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/3622c41b">J. C. Martin</a>), converted to catchers in large numbers in the early 1960s, would have been the ones to introduce the mitt. But in fact, the flex-hinge catcher’s mitt was introduced by Hundley in 1966 and Bench in 1968; neither of them had ever played first base.&nbsp;</p>
<p>New and sometimes quirky innovations in mitts have arisen since the 1960s. For example, in 1975, <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/2f3e0527">Al Campanis</a>, former general manager of the Dodgers, introduced an orange fluorescent stripe around the perimeter of the mitt to help pitchers concentrate on their targets (patent 3,898,696). This caught on, but not every development met with acceptance. Most catchers didn’t think much of another innovation in mitts, the oversized “Big Bertha” designed by Baltimore Orioles manager <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/2bedb38d">Paul Richards</a> in the late 1950s. Supposedly it was to help his receivers handle the maddening knuckleball of <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/635428bb">Hoyt Wilhelm</a>. Such baskets grew to a 45-inch circumference before being regulated to 38 inches in 1965. The surface area might help one knock down the ball, but it hindered one’s view and cut down on hand mobility. One other drawback of the “Big Bertha” was that even if one caught the ball in that glove, it was hard to find it in time to catch base-stealers.&nbsp;</p>
<p><img decoding="async" style="float: right; width: 139px; height: 150px;" src="http://dev.sabr.org/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/brj-2010-summer-069.jpg" alt=""></p>
<p>Some current catchers are keenly interested in the latest wrinkle in mitts, a “digital leather” glove made by Franklin. The innovation is already found in Franklin’s current line of fielders’ gloves and will make its debut in catchers’ mitts soon. The facing leather is etched with a pattern of grooves and diamonds whose purpose is twofold. First, the pattern absorbs the shock of impact. Then, its contours grab the ball and stop its spinning action. Both attributes might turn some hardhands into soft ones. Webbing, air or gel cushions, and other elements of glove design have dealt with the velocity of batted and pitched balls, but only lately have manufacturers turned their attention to the spin factor. The rotation on a baseball can be quite high, 1800 rpm or more on a curveball, for example. Franklin likens its digital leather to the road-gripping pattern of a tire. That leaves the near-spinless knuckleball to contend with, a problem sure to be compounded as more hurlers follow knuckler <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/0aa525a1">Tim Wakefield</a> and other “goofy” tossers.</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p><strong>BODY ARMOR FOR THOSE WAYWARD 95-MPH FASTBALLS&nbsp;</strong></p>
<p><img decoding="async" style="float: left; width: 105px; height: 150px;" src="http://dev.sabr.org/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/brj-2010-summer-070.jpg" alt=""></p>
<p>Women got into the act of making catching a safer profession. Legend has it that the wife of Detroit Wolverines catcher Charles Bennett devised a chest pad to protect her husband during games. He wore the creation outside his jersey in 1883. While some accounts say that catchers experimented with chest protectors earlier in the decade, these image-conscious receivers tried hiding the devices beneath their uniforms to avoid razzing. Left-handed throwing catcher <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/3f0be44f">Jack Clements</a> in 1884 was quoted as saying that he wore a “sheepskin,” as chest protectors were first called, beneath his uniform to avoid being called a sissy.&nbsp;</p>
<p><img decoding="async" style="float: right; width: 93px; height: 150px;" src="http://dev.sabr.org/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/brj-2010-summer-071.jpg" alt=""></p>
<p><a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/99417cd4">James&nbsp;“Deacon” White</a>, a nine-year catcher in the 1870s who switched to third base for nine more years, supposedly created the first chest protector in the early 1880s. His design included a canvas-covered rubber bladder pumped full of air. Padding eventually replaced the air tubes.&nbsp;</p>
<p>Today’s chest protectors, although ribbed with light but shock-absorbing polyfoam, have come full circle from the original fur-stuffed sheepskin “breast protectors” worn under the uniform until 1884. Along the way, catchers and umpires got inflatable vests. “Gray’s Patent Body Protector” (patent 295,543) with its rubber-bladder ribs sold for $10 in 1891, twice the price of stuffed canvas or leather. Gray’s Protector didn’t cover the shoulders, a prime target for foul tips. John Gamble in his 1903 design added inflatable pads that covered the shoulders (patent 745,007).&nbsp;</p>
<p><img decoding="async" style="float: left; width: 121px; height: 150px;" src="http://dev.sabr.org/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/brj-2010-summer-072.jpg" alt=""></p>
<p>Although umpires stuck to inflatable protectors until modern times, catchers quickly went for the maneuverability that lightweight stuffing like kapok afforded. Kapok is a lightweight material used in life jackets. Today, chest protectors are filled with foam. Stuffed protectors enabled backstops to crouch and to run to back up bases. F. W. Glahe in 1963 came up with a very flexible chest protector (patent 3,076,197) that greatly improved mobility.&nbsp;</p>
<p><img decoding="async" style="float: right; width: 144px; height: 150px;" src="http://dev.sabr.org/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/brj-2010-summer-073.jpg" alt=""></p>
<p>One of the last modifications to the chest protector was the addition of removable shoulder flaps. M. Neuhalfen in 1991 patented his design (patent 5,020,156) that guarded against those nasty foul tips flying into the upper arms. With the advent of ballistic materials, velcro, breathable cloth, and polyfoam padding, catchers today are wearing the most protection possible with the minimum weight. The 2008 version of the chest protector weighs less than half the chest protector that was available in the 1920s through the 1940s.&nbsp;</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p><strong>ANTI-SPIKE PROTECTORS: THE SHIN GUARDS&nbsp;</strong></p>
<p><img decoding="async" style="float: left; width: 107px; height: 150px;" src="http://dev.sabr.org/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/brj-2010-summer-074.jpg" alt=""></p>
<p>Among the tools of ignorance, the designs of masks and mitts have evolved the most, in response to the way baseball is played. By contrast, chest protectors and shin guards haven’t changed as much. As early as 1890, catchers began wrapping their bare lower legs with newspapers or leather, which was then hidden beneath their uniforms. This evolved into more elaborate pads, all under their pants, but it took tough-as-nails Roger Bresnahan to have the nerve to admit publicly that his legs hurt from all of the wild pitches, foul balls, thrown bats, and piercing spikes. The curiosities that Bresnahan wore more than a century ago actually were a modified version of the leg guards worn by cricket players. Rods of light cane encased in padded fabric covered the shins, and padding protected the knees.&nbsp;</p>
<p><img decoding="async" style="float: right; width: 102px; height: 150px;" src="http://dev.sabr.org/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/brj-2010-summer-076.jpg" alt=""></p>
<p>Over time, padded leather covered the kneecaps, insteps, and ankles. Hard, heavy fiberboard guards appeared in Rawlings ads in 1916. In the 1920s and 1930s, fiberboard supplanted cane. Various inventors played around with the fiberboard design, including D. Levinson in his 1918 idea (patent 1,253,260). William Barrett in 1927 patented the prototypical catcher’s leg guards (patent 1,624,129) that uses essentially the design seen today.&nbsp;</p>
<p>The hinged shin guard was developed by the Dodgers in the late 1950s, one of three notable catcher inventions they created. (The billygoat throat protector and the hinged mitt were the other two.) By the 1960s, light but tough molded plastics replaced fiber. How tough? Announcer and former catcher Tim McCarver survived two collisions in which the spikes of ex-Met <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/b029a7d7">Tommy Agee</a> became embedded in the guards.&nbsp;</p>
<p><img decoding="async" style="float: left; width: 105px; height: 150px;" src="http://dev.sabr.org/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/brj-2010-summer-077.jpg" alt=""></p>
<p>In 1995, W. F. Hunt Jr. patented leg guards with adjustable lower thigh pieces to facilitate lower crouches and increased protection (patent 5,452,475). G. J. Collins followed up with his multiple-piece thigh and knee guards in 2004 (patent 6,687,912). The next generation might well include complete, flexible, and lightweight leggings made from Kevlar and worn throughout the game and not just when the catcher is behind the plate.&nbsp;</p>
<p>Catching has never appeared to be an easy or cushy job. Even with protective accessories, the position seems to lead the league in injuries yearly. That’s why safety and productivity have been the goals of a variety of catching inventions throughout the history of the game.</p>
<p><img decoding="async" style="float: right; width: 114px; height: 150px;" src="http://dev.sabr.org/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/brj-2010-summer-075.jpg" alt=""></p>
<p>Baseball, though it sometimes seems the most tradition-bound of sports, has always shown that all-American penchant for tinkering and innovation. This quest for the better mouse trap has been amply applied to catchers’ gear. The evolution of the equipment corresponds to actual changes in the tactics and rules of the game. The tinkering continues. Already a new “digital” catcher’s mitt, designed to soften the ball’s impact and reduce errors, has made its debut.&nbsp;</p>
<p>Today the well-protected warrior behind home plate has taken advantage of modern technology, especially that developed for law enforcement. Body armor, for the catcher in the twenty-first century, might well be identical to the lightweight Kevlar vests worn under police officers’ shirts today. After all, if a thin, almost shirt-like vest can stop a bullet, it certainly can stop a wayward 95 mph fastball. So perhaps chest and leg protection will come full circle and the catchers of tomorrow will be wearing their armor beneath their uniforms just as the players in the 1880s did.</p>
<p><em><strong>CHUCK ROSCIAM</strong>, a retired navy captain with 43 years of active service and an amateur catcher for more than forty years, is the creator of <a href="http://www.baseballcatchers.com">www.baseballcatchers.com</a>. His baseball writing has appeared in &#8220;The Baseball Research Journal&#8221; and &#8220;The National Pastime&#8221;. </em></p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p><img decoding="async" style="float: left; width: 300px; height: 189px;" src="http://dev.sabr.org/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/brj-2010-summer-078.jpg" alt=""><img decoding="async" style="float: right; width: 300px; height: 190px;" src="http://dev.sabr.org/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/brj-2010-summer-079.jpg" alt=""></p>
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<p><strong>References</strong></p>
<p>Bjarkman, Peter C. The Baseball Scrapebook (New York: Dorset Press, 1991).&nbsp;</p>
<p>Burns, Ken, and Geoffrey C. Ward. Baseball: An Illustrated History (New York: Knopf, 1994).&nbsp;</p>
<p>Gutman, Dan. Banana Bats and Ding-Dong Balls: A Century of Unique Baseball Inventions (New York: Macmillan, 1995).&nbsp;</p>
<p>Honig, Donald. The Greatest Catchers of All Time (Dubuque, Iowa: Wm. C. Brown, 1991).&nbsp;</p>
<p>Hughes, Thomas. American Genesis: A Century of Invention &amp; Technology (New York: Viking Penguin, 1989).&nbsp;</p>
<p>Nemec, David, and Saul Wisnia. 100 Years of Major League Baseball (Lincolnwood, Ill.: Publications International, 1999).</p>
<p>Obojski, Robert. Baseball Memorabilia (New York: Sterling, 1991).&nbsp;</p>
<p>Owens, Tom. Great Catchers (New York: Friedman/Fairfax, 1997).&nbsp;</p>
<p>Seymour, Harold. Baseball: The Early Years (New York: Oxford University Press, 1960).&nbsp;</p>
<p>Spalding, Albert. Baseball: America’s National Game (orig. pub. 1911; San Francisco: Halo Books, 1991). ———. Spalding’s Official Base Ball Guides, 1876–1913.&nbsp;</p>
<p>Trucks, Rob. The Catcher (Cincinnati: Emmis Books, 2005).&nbsp;</p>
<p>U.S. Patent and Trademark Office, http://uspto.gov.&nbsp;</p>
<p><strong>PERIODICALS:</strong> Antiques and Collecting, Sporting Life, The Sporting News.</p>
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		<title>The Real First-Year Player Draft</title>
		<link>https://sabr.org/journal/article/the-real-first-year-player-draft/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[admin]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 03 Feb 2011 18:16:33 +0000</pubDate>
				<guid isPermaLink="false">http://dev.sabr.org/journal_articles/the-real-first-year-player-draft/</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Nearly a decade before the amateur draft as we know it today, Major League Baseball instituted the First-Year Player Draft in an effort to reduce signing bonuses to prospects. The third in a series of rules passed by Major League Baseball’s owners in an attempt to save themselves from paying large bonuses to amateur prospects, [&#8230;]]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img decoding="async" class="alignright" src="http://dev.sabr.org/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/brj-2010-summer-045.jpg" alt="Among those who didn’t make their team’s 25-man roster and were lost to other clubs through waiver claims was Denny McLain. With the Tigers, he went on to win the Cy Young Award twice and the MVP Award once." width="210" height="226" />Nearly a decade before the amateur draft as we know it today, Major League Baseball instituted the First-Year Player Draft in an effort to reduce signing bonuses to prospects.</p>
<p><!--break-->The third in a series of rules passed by Major League Baseball’s owners in an attempt to save themselves from paying large bonuses to amateur prospects, the First-Year Player Draft was in place from 1959 to 1964. Although it was often referred to as a bonus rule, it actually covered all first-year players, regardless of whether they had received a signing bonus. At first it had little effect, but, when the rules were strengthened, it took on some of the flaws of its predecessors and was soon replaced by the amateur draft. </p>
<p>Following the Second World War, MLB clubs found that the price of premium amateur talent was rapidly rising. Some were giving untried players signing bonuses that were in excess of the average major-leaguer’s salary. The other clubs, many of whom couldn’t afford to compete for these prospects, viewed this as a problem and demanded a solution. In response, from 1947 to 1950, and again from 1953 to 1957, Organized Baseball instituted bonus rules. These stipulated that players who had received bonuses above a certain amount had to be kept on MLB rosters after one year in the minors (in the earlier rule) or immediately (in the second rule). This hurt player development but didn’t keep teams from paying large bonuses. </p>
<p>At the 1958 winter meetings, the owners instituted the First-Year Player Draft. The draft was held at the winter meetings beginning in 1959 in conjunction with the Major League and Minor League (Rule 5) drafts. Initially, the rule allowed teams to draft a player who was on the roster of a team at a lower level and had just completed his first season in Organized Baseball. Major-league teams could draft players from Class AAA and lower. Class AAA teams could select players from Class AA and lower, and so on. For an MLB club, the price in the First-Year Player Draft was $15,000, to be paid to the club that the player it was drafting belonged to; minor-league clubs could draft at a lower price, which depended on their level. This was significantly lower than the Rule 5 draft price of $25,000. </p>
<p>Under the bonus rules of 1947 through 1957, teams were motivated to pay players under the table to avoid the restrictions of those rules. But that incentive was gone with the First-Year Player Draft, since it applied to all players, even if they didn’t receive a bonus. Clubs became reluctant to invest bonus money in a player whom another club could draft at a fixed price. Moreover, the First-Year Player Draft required that teams losing a player in the draft continue to pay him any deferred bonus. The goals of this draft were to keep bonuses down and to allow less-wealthy teams to compete for talent with the freer-spending clubs. </p>
<p>Thirty-nine first-year players were protected on MLB rosters that winter. Only one player was chosen by an MLB team in this initial draft, pitcher <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/f2d42282">Mike Lee</a> being taken by the Cleveland Indians, along with thirteen taken by minor-league clubs. The First-Year Player Draft followed the same rules as the major-league draft other than price, which meant the Indians had to keep Lee on their roster the full season or offer him back to the Giants. And so Lee stayed with Cleveland all of 1960, pitching only nine innings. Few teams were willing to use a roster spot on such an inexperienced player, so the draft had little effect in 1959. </p>
<p>The number of veteran minor-leaguers (those with at least four years of OB experience) being taken in the Rule 5 draft might have been expected to rise with the coming of the First-Year Player Draft, with fewer rosters spots available after the first-year players were protected, but it doesn’t seem to have happened. Between 1958 and 1959 the number of picks increased only from twelve to thirteen. </p>
<p>The following year, the requirement for MLB teams to keep first-year draftees on their roster was dropped, and the price for selecting a player in the First-Year Player Draft was changed to a flat $12,000 for all levels. As a result, the number of players drafted by MLB teams increased to six in 1960 and fifteen in 1961. There were also sixteen players taken by minor-league teams in 1960 and eight in 1961. Of these 45 players, only one, <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/9f41cc91">Jim Merritt</a>, became a star. The low price allowed teams to take long chances on players such as <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/03ca7b9e">William Maddox</a>, who was 0–11 with an 8.50 ERA in his first professional season, yet was picked by the Yankees in the 1961 draft. Likewise, Steve Cosgrove was taken by the Orioles from the Braves despite an 0–9, 7.35 record in Class D. Those investments rarely paid off. </p>
<p>The first-year player rule was still not strong enough to fully moderate bonuses, so some teeth were added to it in 1962. The draft price was lowered to $8,000 for all teams. More important, a new restriction was applied. With one exception per team, first-year players added to the 40-man roster to protect them from the draft could not be optioned to the minors. Furthermore, the one option teams were allowed (the designated assignment) had the effect of reducing the size of their active roster from 25 to 24 for the bulk of the season. If teams wanted to send additional first-year players to the minors, they had to obtain waivers from the other MLB clubs, who could claim each player at the same $8,000 price applicable to the draft. To further encourage drafting, teams with a full 40-man roster were allowed to select one first-year player, although they were not permitted to take anyone in the Rule 5 draft. These changes had the desired effect, at least in the most visible way. The number of first-year draftees selected by MLB teams jumped to 45 in 1962 with an additional 33 picked by minorleague clubs. Among them were such future stars as <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/97ff644b">Glenn Beckert</a>, <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/f7f74810">Paul Blair</a>, <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/d4ab1be8">Dave May</a>, <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/407dddec">Lou Piniella</a>, and <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/a57d05d8">Jim Wynn</a>. </p>
<p>In addition, MLB teams were carrying an average of five first-year players on their winter rosters, up from 2.5 per team in 1959–60. Among those who didn’t make their team’s 25-man roster and were lost to other clubs via waiver claim was <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/6bddedd4">Denny McLain</a>. The 1963 Yankees, defending their championship, started the season with a first-year player, <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/4aa82107">Curt Blefary</a>, in the minors on a designated assignment. They decided in mid-season that they couldn’t afford to use a roster spot on him and placed him on waivers. He was claimed by the Baltimore Orioles, and a couple of years later was AL Rookie of the Year, and then helped them to the 1966 world championship, along with first-year draftee <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/f7f74810">Paul Blair</a>. Meanwhile the Yankees sank to last place. </p>
<p>The biggest complaint about the rule was that it penalized clubs that did a good job of signing and developing new players. Fresco Thompson, farm director of the Dodgers, claimed that 200 fewer amateurs were signed to contracts by Organized Baseball in 1962 than the year before because of the risk of losing those recruits after one year. That was enough to stock ten minor-league teams. </p>
<p>The number of players taken in the 1963 draft was 52 by MLB clubs and 16 by minor-league squads. Some of the top names were <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/29bb796b">Reggie Smith</a>, <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/a22baad9">Bobby Tolan</a>, <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/c2d816ea">Rudy May</a>, <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/0a88eccf">Dick Bosman</a>, and <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/9b2ca0a4">Luke Walker</a>. The most recent expansion teams, the Senators, Angels, Mets, and Astros, were hampered in their efforts to build with youth, since they were having to keep inexperienced players on their benches rather than let them develop in the minor leagues. In recognition of this, the other teams voted in December 1963 to allow them, in addition to the one designated assignment, to option four first-year players without waivers or counting against the 25-man roster. </p>
<p><img decoding="async" style="float: right; width: 180px; height: 300px; margin: 3px;" src="http://dev.sabr.org/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/brj-2010-summer-046.jpg" alt="First-year draftee helped the Baltimore Orioles win the 1966 World championship." width="220" />As for whether the rule was achieving the goal of reducing bonuses, there is evidence to suggest it succeeded. Gabe Paul, general manager of Cleveland, claimed in 1964 that annual bonuses had gone down from $7 million before the draft was instituted to about $4.5 million in 1963. Other insiders such as Ed Short and Hal Keller agreed that the rule was effective in reducing bonuses. However, the conditions that led to escalating bonuses still existed—namely, competition both from within Organized Baseball and from other sports. So, some clubs would still pay ever increasing bonuses to recruits such as <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/7f4266ba">Rick Reichardt</a> and <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/b5992b7d">Bob Bailey</a>. Rather than let a promising youth go to their competitors, they were willing to gamble that he would play at the major-league level in his second professional season. The rule may have led to the escalation of bonuses for the top prospects, while the run-of-the-mill amateur got less. </p>
<p>In 1964, the number of draft picks reached a high of 59 by MLB teams, with another twenty going to minor-league clubs. The best-known players taken were <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/cdc818f5">Felix Millan</a>, <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/c5ed13fd">Sparky Lyle</a>, <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/c89a8c3a">Ed Herrmann</a>, and <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/74a81b43">Ellie Rodriguez</a>. In addition, the A’s lost <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/59c2abe2">Joe Rudi</a> on waivers when they tried to send him to the minors. Later in the year they reacquired him by trade. </p>
<p>The requirement to protect first-year players from the draft negatively impacted some teams. The defending world-champion Los Angeles Dodgers in 1964 could carry only 24 players, including first-year bench warmers <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/0d5a228f">Jeff Torborg</a> and <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/545e1b8c">Wes Parker</a>, which left them shorthanded as they struggled to a 24–31 record in one-run games. This was one factor in their fall to sixth place. Meanwhile, the Philadelphia Phillies, who led the National League much of the season before a late-season collapse, carried little-used <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/4cd3fd0b">Johnny Briggs</a> and <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/68070f76">Rick Wise</a> all year. Sometimes a team could be helped by the rule inadvertently. Those same Dodgers in 1964 could not keep reliever <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/8d3f9b7e">Larry Sherry</a> because of the roster limits and so traded him to Detroit for minor-league veteran <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/eb06b25a">Lou Johnson</a>, who became their regular left fielder and a World Series star the following year.</p>
<p>Thanks to the tougher restrictions in place from 1962 through 1964, there was increasing dissatisfaction with the rule. Following the 1964 draft, the owners decided to do away with the first-year draft. The requirement for all but one first-year player to pass through waivers before being sent to the minors was kept in 1965, although that designated assignment would no longer reduce the 25-man roster. The draft was replaced by an amateur draft (which has lately been called the First-Year Player Draft, oddly enough). They also made all minor leaguers not on an MLB team’s 40-man roster eligible for the Rule 5 draft. However, since some teams felt this would penalize those who had chosen well in the amateur draft, players who had been selected in the June draft or who signed after that would not be eligible for the Rule 5 draft until after their second season in professional ball. Interestingly, these individuals were still officially designated as “first-year players” in the rules and were still available for the special $8,000 price. After 1968 the drafting of players with one or two years’ service in Organized Baseball was phased out. </p>
<p><img decoding="async" style="float: right; width: 272px; height: 300px; margin: 3px;" src="http://dev.sabr.org/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/brj-2010-summer-047.jpg" alt="In 1965, the Red Sox promoted him from Triple-A to Boston to protect him from the draft. A year earlier they did the same with Tony Conigliaro. These two players benefited from the early look they got and were key players in 1967, when Lonborg won 22 games and had a career year." width="240" />Many players saw their careers affected by the First-Year Player Draft. Most obvious were those who were taken in the draft. However, other players were affected less obviously. Some got a chance to see major-league action two or three years earlier than they might have otherwise, because they were being protected from the draft. A lot of these saw limited action, such as <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/b76a7614">Mike Kekich</a> and <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/eb7e50cb">John Sevcik</a>. Outfielder <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/05b07ee6">Ross Moschitto</a>, kept on the 1965 Yankees at the age of 20, appeared in 96 games without a single start. However, others got a fuller chance and took advantage of it, most notably 19-year-olds <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/52ad9113">Tony Conigliaro</a> and <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/69cb6266">Wally Bunker</a> in 1964. <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/cb8af7aa">Lou Brock</a> and <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/ff6cd82b">Rollie Sheldon</a> also fell into this category. Still others— <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/2d6aac53">Ron Hunt</a> and <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/8d8990de">Ken Hubbs</a>, for example—were added to 40-man rosters early and so may have reached the majors sooner than they would have without the FirstYear Player Draft. Of course, while youngsters were helped, there were fewer roster spots available for veterans. For example, <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/f9b1ccfa">Dale Long</a> performed well in spring training with the Cubs in 1964, but they decided not to keep him, since they were protecting two firstyear players on their 25-man roster, bringing his career to an end. </p>
<p>It is well known that MLB’s amateur draft is a crap shoot, with many high draft picks never meeting expectations or even advancing to the majors. The difficulty of projecting young ballplayers is illustrated by the lack of success of many of the players taken in the First-Year Player Draft. Overall, there were 178 players chosen by MLB teams and 106 selected by minor-league clubs. Of those, only 67 and seven, respectively, ever played in MLB, and only 50 achieved either 300 plate appearances or 50 innings pitched. </p>
<p>Naturally, some clubs gained an advantage from the First-Year Player Draft, while others were hurt. Perhaps no team was helped more than the 1967 Boston Red Sox. Regulars <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/29bb796b">Reggie Smith</a> and <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/0cc84530">Joe Foy</a> were both obtained via the draft, along with early-season starting pitcher <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/c3a6fa08">Bill Rohr</a> and reliever <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/c5ed13fd">Sparky Lyle</a>. In addition, a couple of the team’s biggest stars, Tony Conigliaro and <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/8eb88355">Jim Lonborg</a>, benefited from the early look they got as a result of Boston’s desire to protect them from the draft. </p>
<p>The First-Year Player Draft was another unsuccessful attempt by Major League Baseball to reduce signing bonuses to amateur prospects. It was replaced by the amateur draft, which is still in place more than forty years later. While it was in effect, though, it had a big effect on the teams and players of Major League Baseball. </p>
<p><em><strong>CLIFFORD BLAU</strong>, a retired CPA living in White Plains, New York, is a frequent contributor to SABR publications.</em></p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p><strong>Sources</strong></p>
<p><em>Chicago Tribune </em></p>
<p><em>Los Angeles Times </em></p>
<p><em>New York Times </em></p>
<p><em>The Sporting News </em></p>
<p><em>Washington Post </em></p>
<p>Retrosheet </p>
<p>Nowlin, Bill, and Dan Desrochers, eds. <em>The 1967 Impossible Dream Red Sox</em>. Burlington, Mass.: Rounder Books, 2007.</p>
<p>Major League Rules and Major–Minor League Rules.</p>
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		<title>Georgia’s 1948 Phenoms and the Bonus Rule</title>
		<link>https://sabr.org/journal/article/georgias-1948-phenoms-and-the-bonus-rule/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[admin]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 03 Feb 2011 18:16:33 +0000</pubDate>
				<guid isPermaLink="false">http://dev.sabr.org/journal_articles/georgias-1948-phenoms-and-the-bonus-rule/</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[In the summer of 1948, two of the nation’s premier major-league pitching prospects were Georgia boys—Willard Nixon of Lindale and Hugh Radcliffe of Thomaston. Both were multisport stars with a special talent for baseball. Both were big, strong, righthanded pitchers who had dominated opposing batters wherever they had pitched. Both attracted the attention of almost [&#8230;]]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>In the summer of 1948, two of the nation’s premier major-league pitching prospects were Georgia boys—<a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/cec7d8a0">Willard Nixon</a> of Lindale and <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/b9f1edca">Hugh Radcliffe</a> of Thomaston. Both were multisport stars with a special talent for baseball. Both were big, strong, righthanded pitchers who had dominated opposing batters wherever they had pitched. Both attracted the attention of almost every major-league baseball club. And as a result, each had to make a difficult, life-altering decision because of the “bonus rule” that was in effect at the time.</p>
<p><strong>EVOLUTION OF THE BONUS RULE</strong> </p>
<p>A few players had received sizable signing bonuses during the 1930s. For example, the Yankees paid <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/25122f83">Charlie Devens</a> $20,000 in 1932 and <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/165bef13">Tommy Henrich</a> $25,000 in 1936.<a href="#_edn1" name="_ednref1">1</a> Henrich, however, was not an untried player, having spent three productive years in the minor leagues. Despite such early bonuses, most baseball historians identify <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/b8252874">Dick Wakefield</a> as the first member of the group that would be forever known as the “Bonus Babies.” In 1941, the Detroit Tigers signed Wakefield out of the University of Michigan for $52,000 and a new car. </p>
<p>As the sportswriter (and later novelist) Paul Hemphill observed: “Once bonus fever set in, there was no stopping it.”<a href="#_edn2" name="_ednref2">2</a> Perhaps not, but the owners certainly tried. Steve Treder suggests in The Hardball Times that the motivation behind the bonus rule was twofold. Club owners were interested in competitive balance and sought a way to keep the richer clubs from cornering the market on top prospects. These moguls also wanted to hold down their labor costs, both for new signees and for the increasingly disgruntled established stars, who resented making less than untried “phenoms.”<a href="#_edn3" name="_ednref3">3</a> </p>
<p>The size of signing bonuses continued to creep upward as the Yankees (again!) paid <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/abd081a0">Bobby Brown</a> $60,000 in 1946. Earlier that year, baseball’s major-league owners proposed restrictions that, according to John Drebinger of the <em>New York Times</em>, “virtually outlaw bonus payments” because the “heavy and complicated restrictions . . . make it unlikely that any Major League club will care to take the risks involved except in very rare cases.”<a href="#_edn4" name="_ednref4">4</a> The proposed restrictions on bonus payments received approval from the minor leagues (the National Association of Professional Baseball Leagues) and took effect in 1947. </p>
<p>This original bonus rule stipulated that any player signed by a major-league team for a salary/bonus package exceeding $6,000 had to be placed on the major-league roster before the end of the season or be declared a free agent, claimable by any other major-league (or higher-classification minor-league) team. Similar restrictions applied to minor-league clubs, with a sliding scale for the amount at which the bonus rule kicked in. This scale ranged from $4,000 for triple-A teams down to $500 for Class E teams. The rule also specified that a bonus player retained this designation throughout his career. </p>
<p>The new rule may have slowed the bonus bandwagon, but it certainly did not bring it to a halt. A significant new bidder did, however, hop aboard. In 1947, the Philadelphia Phillies, under new ownership, shelled out bonuses to two high-school pitchers— $15,000 to <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/64c5b8d7">Charlie Bicknell</a> and $65,000 to <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/e98dbe08">Curt Simmons</a>. The latter bonus was by far the better of the two investments; both were sizable when compared to the average ballplayer’s annual salary of approximately $11,000.<a href="#_edn5" name="_ednref5">5</a> (The median annual family income at that time was $3,031.)<a href="#_edn6" name="_ednref6">6</a></p>
<p>The following year, the Phillies again were major investors in the bonus market. The Boston Braves paid the highest premium for a single player—$65,000 to <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/e1774181">Johnny Antonelli</a>—but Philadelphia signed three young pitchers for a combined bonus total of $85,000. <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/dd9e8394">Bob Miller</a>, out of the University of Detroit Mercy, received $20,000; <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/3262b1eb">Robin Roberts</a>, from Michigan State University, pocketed $25,000; and Georgia schoolboy <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/b9f1edca">Hugh Radcliffe</a> accepted the Phils’ offer of $40,000. </p>
<p>Few believed that the bonus rule was the solution to the spending problem, and many openly criticized its intent, its effectiveness, and its impact on the young players who fell under its restrictions. It is not surprising, considering his team’s heavy investment in young talent, that Philadelphia Phillies owner Bob Carpenter called the rule “the most unfair piece of legislation in baseball.” Carpenter, who had opposed the adoption of the rule and led several unsuccessful efforts to have it repealed, elaborated on his objections, saying: “It is not only unfair to the clubs who are willing and eager to improve their positions, but doubly unfair to the players themselves. There is no doubt that the necessity of keeping youngsters on the Major League roster has retarded their progress.” He went so far as to label the rule more than unfair, calling it “unAmerican” and asking: “Have you ever heard of any business other than baseball which penalizes a club for making improvements?”<a href="#_edn7" name="_ednref7">7</a></p>
<p>Carpenter was not alone in his criticism of the bonus rule. <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/3462e06e">Connie Mack</a>, owner and manager of the Philadelphia Athletics, observed that “the bonus rule hurts the player, the club, and all baseball.”<a href="#_edn8" name="_ednref8">8</a> Baseball Commissioner “Happy” Chandler called the rule a “restrictive yoke,”<a href="#_edn9" name="_ednref9">9</a> and American League President Will Harridge labeled it “a long-range boomerang to promising youngsters.”<a href="#_edn10" name="_ednref10">10</a> Leaders of independent minor league teams, such as the Atlanta Crackers’ Earl Mann, recognized that the rule would undermine their ability to compete for new young talent and actively campaigned against it. </p>
<p>The criticism was not unanimous, however. Warren Giles, Cincinnati’s president and general manager, maintained that “if a player is worth a substantial bonus, he should have sufficient ability to play in the majors at the time he signs and not have to spend several years developing.”<a href="#_edn11" name="_ednref11">11</a> The varying opinions and the intensity of those feelings made the bonus rule a topic of discussion at every owners’ meeting and resulted in frequent tinkering with its finer points. </p>
<p>In 1949, for example, the rule was modified to allow certain bonus players signed after March 31 that year to be optioned once during their first year. The “bonus” level for triple-A and double-A teams was increased to the major-league level of $6,000. This latter change was a partial response to a proposal from George M. Trautman, president of the NAPBL, that all leagues have the same limit to prevent clubs from signing players at a higher level to avoid the bonus designation and thus requiring them to face stiffer competition than they were ready for. </p>
<p>By late 1949, however, the handwriting was on the wall—or at least in the <em>New York Times</em>. In a column entitled “End of a Noble Experiment,” Arthur Daley compared the bonus rule to Prohibition, noting that it was “as lofty in its idealistic motivations . . . and as impractical in its application.” Daley added that the rule “didn’t work and produced more ills than it was supposed to cure.”<a href="#_edn12" name="_ednref12">12</a> Daley and others reported that just as bootleggers had circumvented Prohibition’s restrictions, owners were adept at finding ways around the bonus rule. Some of these ruses included signing prospects’ fathers to scouting contracts, paying off mortgages on prospects’ family homes, and treating prospects and their families to lavish entertainment. </p>
<p>Daley also noted that “bonus players, per se, breed discontent”<a href="#_edn13" name="_ednref13">13</a> and cited the situation in Boston in 1948 as the most egregious example. Johnny Antonelli, the 18-year-old who received the largest signing bonus that year, had joined the Braves in midseason, but manager <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/b8be8c57">Billy Southworth</a> was unwilling to use an unproven rookie in the heat of a close pennant race. Consequently, the youngster faced only 17 batters in four innings, and his resentful teammates refused to vote him a share of the team’s World Series earnings. Following the season, <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/d83d0584">Johnny Sain</a>, whose 24–15 record earned him The Sporting News’ Pitcher of the Year honors, demanded and got a raise. Clubhouse dissention, due at least in part to resentment of the Bonus Baby, continued to plague the Braves in 1949, eventually causing Southworth to step down for the final third of the season. </p>
<p>When the end for the controversial bonus rule finally came in December 1950, its demise was overshadowed by a more newsworthy event: Major-league owners approved its elimination at the same meeting where they voted not to retain “Happy” Chandler as commissioner. The minor leagues ratified elimination of the bonus rule in early December, and Arthur Daley penned its obituary, concluding that “the bonus rule never did achieve its purpose. It didn’t halt extravagant spending. It retarded the development of kids it was supposed to help and in some instances ruined them. It destroyed team morale. It led to sharp practice and chicanery. It was a bad rule.”<a href="#_edn14" name="_ednref14">14</a></p>
<p>Writing 22 years later, Paul Hemphill, in an article appropriately titled “Whatever Happened to What’s-His-Name?” focused on the adverse impact the rule had on the young players. He said: “Forced to sit in big league dugouts—gaining no experience, ostracized by jealous teammates, eventually the source of humor for fans and press—they waited while their potential, assuming they ever had any, stagnated and often disappeared.”<a href="#_edn15" name="_ednref15">15</a></p>
<p>Apparently, the club owners did not fully share these assessments of the failure of their initial attempt to limit bonus payments. Only two years after killing the first bonus rule, they approved an even more stringent variation on the theme. In 1952, led by <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/6d0ab8f3">Branch Rickey</a>, the owners passed a new bonus rule (Rule 3k), which lowered the bonus threshold from $6,000 to $4,000 and required that players signed for more than this amount be immediately placed on the signing team’s major-league roster for two years. This new rule, labeled “baseball’s biggest blunder” by Brent Kelly in his 1996 book of the same name, remained in effect for five seasons (1953–1957) and suffered from (and perhaps exacerbated) the shortcomings of the rule it replaced. </p>
<p>While this rule was in effect, every major-league team signed and carried on its roster at least one Bonus Baby. In all, 57 untried youngsters garnered this designation<a href="#_edn16" name="_ednref16">16</a> and the financial rewards that accompanied it. Few of them gained the stardom that their signers envisioned, although the list does include three Hall of Famers—<a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/a141b60c">Al Kaline</a>, <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/55c51444">Harmon Killebrew</a>, and <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/e463317c">Sandy Koufax</a>. </p>
<p>What happened after the rule was eliminated suggests that it did have some dampening effect on the amounts spent on bonuses. In 1958, the first year following rejection of the second bonus rule, major-league teams paid some $6 million dollars in bonuses, compared to approximately $5 million during the preceding decade.<a href="#_edn17" name="_ednref17">17</a> The owners reacted by implementing an unrestricted draft of first-year players. This concept, which had been discussed for several years but always rejected, allowed teams to draft any first-year player not protected on a major-league roster for a standard draft amount. The drafting team was then required to place the drafted player on its roster for a full year. </p>
<p>The first year–player draft did help to reduce the number of signing bonuses, but the amounts of these bonuses continued to creep upward. The owners tweaked the details of the first-year draft and continued to discuss (and reject) an unrestricted free-agent draft—a concept which finally earned approval in 1965 and remains in place today. </p>
<p>The history of baseball owners’ efforts to control the amounts paid to untried but highly touted young players suggests that there may be no ceiling on such payments and no viable way to create one. The two young Georgians who were courted in 1948 were among the first players who had to consider how bonus rules would affect them—both their immediate financial status and their long-term future. As we will see, they chose different paths and achieved different results. </p>
<p><strong>WILLARD LEE NIXON: COLLEGE MOUND ACE </strong></p>
<p>Willard Nixon was the older and more experienced of the two Peach State phenoms. He was born in Taylorsville, Georgia (near Rome), in 1928 and lived in that area all of his life. By the time he graduated from high school, where he excelled in football and basketball, he was a veteran of four seasons of textile ball, first as part of an informal effort to “keep baseball alive despite wartime conditions”<a href="#_edn18" name="_ednref18">18</a> and later in the Northwest Georgia Textile League (NWGTL). </p>
<p>Nixon’s textile-league experience was with the team representing Pepperell Mills. He played his first game in 1943 when he was only 14 and was used sparingly during that season. He pitched a two-hit, nine-inning shutout in an exhibition game early in 1944, but he fared less well against Pepperell’s regular opposition and again saw limited action during the remainder of the season. In 1945, Willard became the acknowledged “ace” of the Pepperell pitching staff. He compiled a 6–1 record and earned two complete game victories when Pepperell swept a best-of-three postseason tournament. The final victory came just two days after he had intercepted a pass and returned it for a touchdown to spark McHenry High to a 19–9 win over Trion High. </p>
<p>He opened the 1946 NWGTL season with three shutouts and 33 2/3 consecutive scoreless innings and compiled a regular-season record of 12–3. When Pepperell became league champions by winning two postseason series, Nixon was the workhorse—and the show horse—of both. He pitched in six of the ten games and played left field when he was not on the mound. He won the deciding game of each series and batted .519 (19 for 37) for the postseason, including a game-tying solo home run in the final game. </p>
<p>In 1947, the Detroit Tigers offered Willard a contract following his graduation from McHenry High, but he chose instead to accept a grant-in-aid from Alabama Polytechnic Institute (now Auburn University). In his Auburn debut, Willard faced only 19 batters in five innings against Mercer University to earn his initial collegiate victory. He compiled an 8–2 season record and led Auburn to a second-place finish in the powerful Southeastern Conference. </p>
<p>College baseball in 1947 was a far cry from the attraction it has now become; it was then a minor sport that attracted few fans. As Nixon himself said in a 1974 interview, it “was just something students came out to watch if they didn’t have anything else to do.”<a href="#_edn19" name="_ednref19">19</a> Willard had played before larger crowds—and perhaps faced better players—back home in the textile league. It was, however, a bigger stage, and his performance placed him in a brighter spotlight than ever before. Johnny Bradberry, sports editor of the <em>Atlanta Constitution</em>, reported that “folks are calling Nixon the best pitching prospect in the Southeastern Conference since <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/3fff8b0f">Spud Chandler</a>.”<a href="#_edn20" name="_ednref20">20</a></p>
<p>When the collegiate season ended in May, Willard rejoined his Pepperell team, which had started its NWGTL season in April. He soon benefited from a record-setting performance by Pepperell third baseman “Shorty” Hall, who hit four home runs in four consecutive innings off four different pitchers. Pepperell (and Nixon) won that game 25–4, and Hall became the subject of a Ripley’s Believe It or Not cartoon. Willard’s 1947 NWGTL record was 8–1, and he again was the undisputed star of the postseason. He pitched in five of the six games, winning three, “saving” one, and losing one. He batted “only” .364, but three of his four hits were for extra bases, yielding a 1.000 slugging percentage. </p>
<p>Willard returned to Auburn and, in the Tigers’ 1948 conference opener, struck out 20 Ole Miss batters to set a new Auburn and SEC record. In his next outing, Nixon was perhaps even better. He tossed a no-hitter against the University of Tennessee, striking out 18 batters and walking four. When he next faced the Vols, only a “scratch” eighth-inning single deprived him of a second no-hitter. In that game, Nixon contributed four hits, including a 370-foot home run, and the <em>Rome News Tribune</em> observed that “folks in Knoxville think that [Nixon] is the greatest college player of all time.”<a href="#_edn21" name="_ednref21">21</a> </p>
<p>Others held similar opinions. Danny Doyle, his Auburn coach, called Nixon “the greatest prospect I’ve ever coached,” adding that “the team wouldn’t have been much without him.” Teammate Erskine (Erk) Russell, who later became a legendary football coach at the University of Georgia and Georgia Southern University, recalled, “I never thought about losing when Willard was pitching. He was so good that you just knew when he pitched you were going to win.”<a href="#_edn22" name="_ednref22">22</a></p>
<p>Auburn won the SEC Eastern Division title, and Nixon pitched the final regular season game in front of scouts from 14 major-league teams. He finished the season with 145 strikeouts (an SEC record that would stand for 39 years) and a 10–1 record. He also led Auburn in hitting with a .448 batting average. </p>
<p>Every team except the Chicago White Sox and the Philadelphia Athletics bid for Nixon’s services, and two days after the season ended, he signed a contract with the Boston Red Sox. Mace Brown, in the first year of his long scouting career with the BoSox, proudly declared that Willard Nixon was “the greatest college pitcher” he had seen and predicted that “he can’t miss being a big leaguer.”<a href="#_edn23" name="_ednref23">23</a></p>
<p>Nixon reportedly was offered bonuses of as much as $30,000, but, knowing that such a bonus would limit his time in the minor leagues, he chose to take less money. He later explained his decision, saying, “Although nobody in the world needed the money more than I did, I just didn’t think I was good enough to start at the top. I was afraid I might get that money and go up to the majors and flop. Then that bonus money might be all I’d ever get out of baseball.”<a href="#_edn24" name="_ednref24">24</a></p>
<p>Willard Nixon had been a successful pitcher in two different and very competitive environments, but, until he was invited to Cleveland by <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/3fde9ca7">Lou Boudreau</a> toward the end of his college career, he had never even seen a major-league game. He wanted to be sure that he had time to fully test his skills against other professional players before joining a major-league team. That way, he would earn his place on a major-league roster. </p>
<p><strong>HUGH FRANK RADCLIFFE: SCHOOLBOY STRIKEOUT KING </strong></p>
<p>Hugh Radcliffe gained national attention in April 1948, when he struck out 28 opposing batters in a nine-inning high school baseball game. Radcliffe, pitching for Robert E. Lee Institute, faced 33 Lanier High batters, who managed to make contact with only 10 of his pitches for seven foul balls, two infield grounders that his teammates booted, and the lone hit that he surrendered—another infield roller that Coach J. E. Richards said “should have been fielded, but the boys are too accustomed to watching Radcliffe play the game by himself.”<a href="#_edn25" name="_ednref25">25</a> Four times, a third strike eluded the R. E. Lee catcher. Three times he was able to throw the batter out at first base, but the fourth batter reached first safely, giving Hugh the opportunity to record an “extra” strikeout to complete his one-hit, two-walk shutout of a team that had won a pennant the previous year. </p>
<p>Following this game, the opposing coach predicted, “Radcliffe has the physical equipment and pitching know-how to be a truly great pitcher.”<a href="#_edn26" name="_ednref26">26</a> One of the players who faced Hugh that day was <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/de9028cf">Inman “Coot” Veal</a>, who was destined for a six-year major-league career. He described Hugh’s curveball as the best he ever saw, noting that it “broke straight down at your feet.”<a href="#_edn27" name="_ednref27">27</a> The <em><em>Atlanta Journal</em></em> waxed poetic in an editorial, gushing: “Georgia, home state of <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/7551754a">Ty Cobb</a> and <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/22be16b1">Nap Rucker</a>, of Sherrod Smith and Carlisle Smith, of <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/e31f1169">Rudy York</a> and <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/a7ac6649">Johnny Mize</a> and Spurgeon Chandler, of <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/4b5272d7">Luke Appling</a> and Martin Marion and <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/312ca33d">Hugh Casey</a>, should be proud of the towering R. E. Lee Institute athlete whose feat we confidently predict will never be equaled.”<a href="#_edn28" name="_ednref28">28</a></p>
<p>This record-setting game was the capstone of a youthful athletic career that had made Radcliffe a local legend in and around Thomaston, Georgia, where oldtimers still call him by his dual first names—“Hugh Frank.” He earned All-State honors in football, track, basketball, and (of course) baseball. His high-school coach called him “the best high school punter he ever saw,” and he once booted a football 78 yards in the air. He won the district pole-vaulting championship with a record jump of 11&#8217;4&#8243; despite a sprained ankle. He was the starting guard on the R. E. Lee basketball team, and many observers believed that he had enough talent for a pro career in that sport.<a href="#_edn29" name="_ednref29">29</a> His American Legion baseball coach said, “[Hugh] can play any position on the field well; he can even catch.”<a href="#_edn30" name="_ednref30">30</a></p>
<p>This versatile athlete had first attracted the attention of professional baseball scouts in 1946, when he led Thomaston’s American Legion team to the state championship and then to the regional crown before losing to New Orleans, the eventual national champion, in the sectional playoffs. These sectional games attracted as many as five thousand fans, giving Hugh and his teammates their first experience playing before such large crowds. </p>
<p>Radcliffe finished his senior year at R. E. Lee with 210 strikeouts in 81 2/3 innings—an average of 2.6 strikeouts per inning. He tossed two seven-inning no-hitters, and in his three nine-inning games, he averaged 24+ strikeouts and threw two one-hitters. He allowed only 16 hits and three earned runs for the season while compiling a 9–0 record.<a href="#_edn31" name="_ednref31">31</a> He accomplished all this with a pitching arsenal that included a 95 mph fastball, a “diving” sinker, and two different curve balls—a “wide-sweeping” one and the overhand “bottomless” version that Coot Veal described.<a href="#_edn32" name="_ednref32">32</a></p>
<p>Hugh led his team into the state championship tournament, where on June 2 (one day after graduating) he pitched his last high-school game. He went the full nine innings and struck out 24 batters, matching his season average, but R. E. Lee made nine errors and lost 8–6. The next day, after considering offers from 14 major-league scouts (including Branch Rickey himself and fellow Georgian Spud Chandler), Hugh Radcliffe accepted a $40,000 bonus from the Philadelphia Phillies. A rival scout reported later that Johnny Nee, the Phillie scout who won the “Radcliffe Sweepstakes,” had “told everybody he had no limit. His club . . . told him to sign Radcliffe and to go as high as he had to to get him.”<a href="#_edn33" name="_ednref33">33</a></p>
<p>According to the local paper in an article looking back at Radcliffe’s career, the youngster “was just as eager as any teen-ager to get to the top as fast as possible, particularly on an ‘earn as you learn’ basis.”<a href="#_edn34" name="_ednref34">34</a> He had had no more exposure to major-league baseball than the slightly older Nixon, but with the unbridled confidence of youth he must have been sure that he had the talent needed to succeed. He had achieved amazing things on the diamond, and a bevy of experienced baseball men were bidding for his services. Surely, their expectations were reasonable. How could he turn down that kind of money? </p>
<p><strong>NIXON AND RADCLIFFE: PROFESSIONAL BASEBALL CAREERS </strong></p>
<p>Immediately after signing professional contracts, the two young Georgians were sent north to join minorleague teams. Nixon went to the Scranton (Pennsylvania) Red Sox in the Class A Eastern League, and Radcliffe reported to the Wilmington (Delaware) Blue Rocks in the Class B Interstate League. He arrived the same day that fellow “Bonus Baby” Robin Roberts was promoted to the major-league club.<a href="#_edn35" name="_ednref35">35</a></p>
<p>Radcliffe left his first start in the seventh inning, trailing 5–0, but went on to compile a respectable 7–3 record. Nixon’s debut, one day before his twentieth birthday, was more impressive. He struck out the first batter he faced and pitched an eight-hit shutout against the Wilkes-Barre Barons. Local sportswriter Chic Feldman exclaimed that “the door to a glittering future opened at the stadium last night and in strode Willard Nixon, blond and beautiful (both physically and baseballically).”<a href="#_edn36" name="_ednref36">36</a> He closed the regular season with five consecutive victories to end the season with an 11–5 mark, and his final victory clinched the league championship for Scranton. His final game came in the postseason, and it was a “masterful two hitter”<a href="#_edn37" name="_ednref37">37</a> in frigid weather. </p>
<p>Despite his winning record and acceptable ERA (4.12), the Phillies did not put Radcliffe on the major league roster at the end of the season. Sportswriter Jeff Moshier speculated that the “Phillies already were overburdened with bonus men.”<a href="#_edn38" name="_ednref38">38</a> Perhaps the major league decision makers also were concerned about Hugh’s control problems; he walked 82 batters in 92 innings. Whatever the reasoning, Hugh Radcliffe was still in the minor leagues at the end of the 1948 season, making him available to be drafted by other teams. He was among “the most publicized and highest paid” of the 270 “bonus tag” players whom big-league clubs left exposed to the draft in 1948,<a href="#_edn39" name="_ednref39">39</a> but there were no takers. </p>
<p>Both Nixon and Radcliffe started their sophomore seasons at the triple-A level. Nixon was assigned to the Louisville Colonels of the American Association; the Phils sent Radcliffe to the Toronto Maple Leafs in the International League. Neither of the youngsters fared well at that level. Nixon recorded three losses and a “no decision” in four games for Louisville and was demoted to the Birmingham Barons in the double-A Southern Association. Radcliffe saw limited duty in Toronto, appearing in only nine games and compiling a 1–1 record and a 1.91 WHIP in a mere 22 innings. The Phils’ brass said that injuries prevented Hugh from playing more, but others accused them of using the youngster sparingly “in hopes that he would escape the draft.”<a href="#_edn40" name="_ednref40">40</a> If that were their plan, it did not work; the New York Yankees drafted Hugh Radcliffe in November.</p>
<p>After being reassigned to double-A ball and following a slow start at that level, Willard Nixon had an outstanding 1949 season. He lost his first three games for the Barons, making him 0–6 for the season, but he then won 14 of his final 18 decisions to finish the regular Southern Association season at 14–7, and at least two of his losses were due to poor defensive support. A local sportswriter described his pitching as “phenomenal after a shaky start.”<a href="#_edn41" name="_ednref41">41</a> He also had the highest batting average (.345) on the team. </p>
<p>The highlight of the 1949 season for Willard Nixon came on Monday, August 15, at Ponce de Leon Park in Atlanta. With a large contingent of fans from his home town among the 4,996 in the stands and even more watching the game on television at the American Legion clubhouse in Lindale, Willard dominated the Atlanta Crackers. The final score was 5–4, and Nixon had pitched all nine innings and driven in all five Baron runs. As Langdon B. Gammon reported: “He was the whole show, producer and star.”<a href="#_edn42" name="_ednref42">42</a></p>
<p>Two years after making their decisions regarding immediate riches versus the potential for delayed gratification, the two young pitching prospects from Georgia each had experienced some success and some tribulation. Neither was yet in the major leagues, but one remained with his original suitor, while the other was facing an uncertain future with a new organization. </p>
<p>After facing major-league hitters during spring training, both players started the 1950 season at Triple A. Nixon went back to Louisville, and the Yankees assigned Radcliffe to the Kansas City Blues. At the time, <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/bd6a83d8">Casey Stengel</a> said that both he and young <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/068d0cf5">Eddie Ford</a> had “excellent prospects of climbing back fast.”<a href="#_edn43" name="_ednref43">43</a></p>
<p>Although both Georgia youngsters were now in the American Association, they did not face off as mound opponents. The junior Georgian pitched in only two innings in two games for the Blues, compiling a losing record (0–1) and a WHIP of 4.00. On May 6, he was reassigned to Binghamton in the Class A Eastern League, three days before Nixon faced Kansas City for the first time. Hugh prospered a bit in the lower classification, appearing in 25 games and managing a winning record (9–8), although his ERA (4.14) and his WHIP (1.71) remained high. </p>
<p>While Radcliffe’s triple-A performance earned him a demotion, Nixon proved that his earlier difficulties at that level were a clear case of premature promotion. This time around, he got off to a fast start, winning his first three games. On July 2, he won his sixth consecutive game, bringing his record to 11–2. On July 6, he was promoted to the parent club. His 97 strikeouts led the American Association, and he was batting .345. Just over two years after signing with the Red Sox, Willard Nixon had gotten the minor-league seasoning that he thought he needed. He joined the Big Sox in New York and received his major-league baptism immediately. On July 7, he pitched the last two innings of a 5–2 Red Sox loss to the Yankees. He allowed one run on three hits, walked three batters, and struck out none—not especially impressive, but manager <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/ef6e78f2">Steve O’Neill</a> was happy with the results. He noted that Nixon “fired the ball hard and had those Yankees refraining from taking toe holds.”<a href="#_edn44" name="_ednref44">44</a> By season’s end, Willard had appeared in 22 games and compiled a winning (8–6) record. </p>
<p>Willard Nixon was in the big leagues to stay. He spent the next eight years with the Red Sox, although he never achieved the stardom that many baseball experts continued to predict for him. Early in his career, he struggled to control his pitches and his temper; later, he often pitched despite a painful shoulder. His best two years came in 1954–1955, when his overall 23–22 record was overshadowed by his mastery over the powerful New York Yankees, which earned him a spot on the cover of <em>The Sporting News</em><a href="#_edn45" name="_ednref45">45</a> and the nickname of “Yankee Killer.” He beat the Yankees four consecutive times in 1954, yielding no more than one earned run in any game, and he won his first two games against them in 1955—a streak of six straight wins over the Bronx Bombers. Although his dominance over the Yankees did not continue and while he was not as successful against many of his lesser opponents, Willard would have finished his career with an overall winning record had he not tried to pitch through arm trouble in 1958. He compiled a woeful 1–7 record that year, dropping his career record to 69–72. He returned to the minors in 1959 with the triple-A Minneapolis Millers in an attempt to “pitch [his] way back to the majors,”<a href="#_edn46" name="_ednref46">46</a> but after nine seasons in the majors, his big-league career was over.<a href="#_edn47" name="_ednref47">47</a> </p>
<p>Hugh Radcliffe, by contrast, was destined to be a career minor leaguer. Following his winning 1950 season in Binghamton, the Yankees gave him a contract for another year, and he joined the team in Phoenix<a href="#_edn48" name="_ednref48">48</a> for spring training. After a successful start in an intrasquad game,<a href="#_edn49" name="_ednref49">49</a> he struggled and was farmed out to Kansas City after giving up seven runs to Cleveland in a two-inning outing that included five walks and a wild pitch. He spent only a month in Kansas City, appearing in three games and compiling a 1–0 record, before being assigned to Beaumont in the double-A Texas League, where he won six, lost eight, and amassed a 1.74 WHIP. In September, he was one of 12 minor leaguers “recalled” by the Yankees but not asked to report immediately. In January 1952, the Yankees announced his “outright release,” leading the <em><em>New York Times</em></em> to say it was “the end of the trail” for “bonus baby” Hugh Radcliffe.<a href="#_edn50" name="_ednref50">50</a> </p>
<p>This pronouncement proved to be premature, as Hugh signed on with Kansas City. He did not play for the Blues, however. He was assigned and reassigned three times, opening the 1952 season back in Beaumont, spending six weeks with the Tyler East Texans<a href="#_edn51" name="_ednref51">51</a> of the Class B Big State League, and then going back to Class A Binghamton for the last month of the season. Hugh was taking the “journeyman ballplayer” appellation literally: his travels took him to three teams at three different classifications, for a combined record of 9–7 and WHIP of 1.54. Following the season, Hugh said that he had asked the Beaumont club to send him to a team where he could be part of the regular rotation. He added that he had learned more in the last half of the season than in four years of professional baseball, having “turned from a thrower to a pitcher.”<a href="#_edn52" name="_ednref52">52</a> He admitted later, however, that while with this club, he suffered the injury that effectively ended his hopes of a big-league career. He said that he had been put into a game on a chilly night without proper warmup, and his arm “went bad” and was never the same.<a href="#_edn53" name="_ednref53">53</a> He was still the property of the Kansas City club and was eligible for the draft, but only a major-league team could claim him; none did. </p>
<p>Before he threw a pitch in 1953, Hugh Radcliffe had been the property of four minor-league clubs—Kansas City, Birmingham (Double A, Southern League), Syracuse (Triple A, International League), and Natchez (Class C, Cotton States League). With this last club, Hugh saw more action than in any of his other minor-league seasons. He appeared in 33 games, winning 13 and losing an equal number. His ERA was 3.74, and his WHIP was 1.51. At the end of the season, Birmingham reclaimed and reserved his rights. </p>
<p>Birmingham assigned Hugh to Winston-Salem (Class B, Carolina League) before the 1954 season started. He appeared in only three games, losing his only decision, before being returned to the Barons on May 1. Four days later, the Barons released him, and his trail truly came to an end. The $40,000 bonus baby had spent seven years in the minor leagues, playing for eight different teams in eight different leagues at every minor-league classification above Class D. He had managed an overall winning record (46–42) although with only two winning seasons. He had constantly struggled with his control, averaging 6+ walks per nine innings pitched over his career. </p>
<p>Both these Peach State natives expressed some regrets as they looked back over their professional baseball careers. For obvious reasons, Nixon’s regrets were fewer. He summed up his playing days by saying, “I didn’t get the most out of my ability, but I’m happy with [my career]. Baseball’s been good to me. I wouldn’t have had anything if it hadn’t been for baseball.”<a href="#_edn54" name="_ednref54">54</a> Radcliffe openly rued his decision regarding the bonus money. In 1955, the year after his career ended, he said: “If I had it to do over, I wouldn’t be a bonus boy. They bring the bonus boys up too fast and they don’t get the chance that some of the other players get. If I had had a chance to come up a little slower, and had had a little time to spend with a few pitching coaches, I think I’d be up there winning today.”<a href="#_edn55" name="_ednref55">55</a> In his later years, Hugh Frank was more philosophical; looking back in 2009, he said, “I’m kinda glad I didn’t make it. I would have had to raise my family up there and wouldn’t have gotten to spend as much time with them.”<a href="#_edn56" name="_ednref56">56</a> </p>
<p><strong>LIFE AFTER BASEBALL</strong> </p>
<p>Both Willard Nixon and Hugh Frank Radcliffe had long, productive lives after their baseball days had ended. Both found careers beyond the ballpark. Both raised families. Both found pleasure in active hobbies. Both retained legendary status in their hometowns. As with their baseball careers, they took somewhat different paths, but now the results were much more similar. </p>
<p>The first year of professional baseball was the last year of bachelorhood for both young men, and they found lifelong partners. Willard and Nancy Nixon had been married for more than 51 years when he passed away in 2000; together they raised three children. Hugh and Marge Radcliffe have now been married for more than 60 years and have raised four children.<a href="#_edn57" name="_ednref57">57</a></p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<table width="100%">
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>
<p><strong>WILLARD NIXON</strong></p>
</td>
<td>
<p><strong> </strong></p>
</td>
<td>
<p><strong> </strong></p>
</td>
<td>
<p><strong> </strong></p>
</td>
<td>
<p><strong> </strong></p>
</td>
<td>
<p><strong> </strong></p>
</td>
<td>
<p><strong> </strong></p>
</td>
<td>
<p><strong> </strong></p>
</td>
<td>
<p><strong>HUGH RADCLIFFE</strong></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
<p><strong>Year</strong></p>
</td>
<td>
<p><strong>Team</strong></p>
</td>
<td>
<p><strong>League</strong></p>
</td>
<td>
<p><strong>G</strong></p>
</td>
<td>
<p><strong>IP</strong></p>
</td>
<td>
<p><strong>W-L</strong></p>
</td>
<td>
<p><strong>ERA</strong></p>
</td>
<td>
<p><strong> </strong></p>
</td>
<td>
<p><strong>Team</strong></p>
</td>
<td>
<p><strong>League</strong></p>
</td>
<td>
<p><strong>G</strong></p>
</td>
<td>
<p><strong>IP</strong></p>
</td>
<td>
<p><strong>W-L</strong></p>
</td>
<td>
<p><strong>ERA</strong></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
<p>1948</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>Scranton</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>EL (A)</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>18</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>132.0</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>11–5</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>2.52</p>
</td>
<td>&nbsp;</td>
<td>
<p>Wilmington</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>ISL (B)</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>16</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>96.0</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>7–3</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>4.12</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
<p>1949</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>Louisville</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>AA (AAA)</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>4</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>23.0</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>0–3</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>5.09</p>
</td>
<td>&nbsp;</td>
<td>
<p>Toronto</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>IL (AAA)</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>9</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>22.0</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>1–1</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>INA</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>&nbsp;</td>
<td>
<p>Birmingham </p>
</td>
<td>
<p>SA (AA)</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>22</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>177.0</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>14-7</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>3.41</p>
</td>
<td>&nbsp;</td>
<td>&nbsp;</td>
<td>&nbsp;</td>
<td>&nbsp;</td>
<td>&nbsp;</td>
<td>&nbsp;</td>
<td>&nbsp;</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
<p>1950</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>Louisville</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>AA (AAA)</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>13</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>117.0</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>11–2</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>2.69</p>
</td>
<td>&nbsp;</td>
<td>
<p>Kansas City</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>AA (AAA)</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>2</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>2.0</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>0–1</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>18.00</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>&nbsp;</td>
<td>
<p>BOSTON</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>AMERICAN</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>22</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>101.3</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>8–6</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>6.04</p>
</td>
<td>&nbsp;</td>
<td>
<p>Binghamton</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>EL (A)</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>25</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>150.0</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>9–8</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>4.14</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
<p>1951</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>BOSTON</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>AMERICAN</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>33</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>125.0</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>7–4</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>4.90</p>
</td>
<td>&nbsp;</td>
<td>
<p>Kansas City</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>AA (AAA)</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>3</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>11.0</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>1–0</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>3.27</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>&nbsp;</td>
<td>&nbsp;</td>
<td>&nbsp;</td>
<td>&nbsp;</td>
<td>&nbsp;</td>
<td>&nbsp;</td>
<td>&nbsp;</td>
<td>&nbsp;</td>
<td>
<p>Beaumont</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>TL (AA)</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>22</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>113.0</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>6–8</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>3.90</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
<p>1952</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>BOSTON</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>AMERICAN</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>23</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>103.7</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>5–4</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>4.86</p>
</td>
<td>&nbsp;</td>
<td>
<p>Beaumont</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>TL (AA)</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>10</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>52.0</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>1–3</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>3.63</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>&nbsp;</td>
<td>&nbsp;</td>
<td>&nbsp;</td>
<td>&nbsp;</td>
<td>&nbsp;</td>
<td>&nbsp;</td>
<td>&nbsp;</td>
<td>&nbsp;</td>
<td>
<p>Tyler</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>BSL (B)</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>8</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>45.0</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>3–2</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>4.60</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>&nbsp;</td>
<td>&nbsp;</td>
<td>&nbsp;</td>
<td>&nbsp;</td>
<td>&nbsp;</td>
<td>&nbsp;</td>
<td>&nbsp;</td>
<td>&nbsp;</td>
<td>
<p>Binghamton</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>EL (A)</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>9</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>56.0</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>5–2</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>3.54</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
<p>1953</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>BOSTON</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>AMERICAN</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>23</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>116.7</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>4–8</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>3.93</p>
</td>
<td>&nbsp;</td>
<td>
<p>Natchez</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>CSL (C)</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>33</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>183.0</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>13–13</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>3.74</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
<p>1954</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>BOSTON</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>AMERICAN</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>31</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>199.7</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>11–12</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>4.06</p>
</td>
<td>&nbsp;</td>
<td>
<p>Winston-Salem</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>CL (B)</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>3</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>INA</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>0–1</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>INA</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
<p>1955</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>BOSTON</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>AMERICAN</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>31</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>208.0</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>12–10</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>4.07</p>
</td>
<td>&nbsp;</td>
<td>&nbsp;</td>
<td>&nbsp;</td>
<td>&nbsp;</td>
<td>&nbsp;</td>
<td>&nbsp;</td>
<td>&nbsp;</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
<p>1956</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>BOSTON</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>AMERICAN</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>23</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>145.3</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>9–8</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>4.21</p>
</td>
<td>&nbsp;</td>
<td>&nbsp;</td>
<td>&nbsp;</td>
<td>&nbsp;</td>
<td>&nbsp;</td>
<td>&nbsp;</td>
<td>&nbsp;</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
<p>1957</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>BOSTON</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>AMERICAN</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>29</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>191.0</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>12–13</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>3.68</p>
</td>
<td>&nbsp;</td>
<td>&nbsp;</td>
<td>&nbsp;</td>
<td>&nbsp;</td>
<td>&nbsp;</td>
<td>&nbsp;</td>
<td>&nbsp;</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
<p>1958</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>BOSTON</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>AMERICAN</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>10</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>43.3</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>1–7</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>6.02</p>
</td>
<td>&nbsp;</td>
<td>&nbsp;</td>
<td>&nbsp;</td>
<td>&nbsp;</td>
<td>&nbsp;</td>
<td>&nbsp;</td>
<td>&nbsp;</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
<p>1959</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>Minneapolis</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>AA (AAA)</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>26</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>98.0</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>6–2</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>3.58</p>
</td>
<td>&nbsp;</td>
<td>&nbsp;</td>
<td>&nbsp;</td>
<td>&nbsp;</td>
<td>&nbsp;</td>
<td>&nbsp;</td>
<td>&nbsp;</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>&nbsp;</td>
<td>
<p>Minor-League Totals (4)</p>
</td>
<td>&nbsp;</td>
<td>
<p>83</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>547.0</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>42–19</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>3.14</p>
</td>
<td>&nbsp;</td>
<td>
<p>Minor-League Totals (7)</p>
</td>
<td>&nbsp;</td>
<td>
<p>140</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>730.0</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>46–42</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>3.85</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>&nbsp;</td>
<td>
<p>Major-League Totals (9)</p>
</td>
<td>&nbsp;</td>
<td>
<p>225</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>1234.0</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>69–72</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>4.39</p>
</td>
<td>&nbsp;</td>
<td>
<p>Major-League Totals (0)</p>
</td>
<td>&nbsp;</td>
<td>
<p>0</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>0.0</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>NA</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>NA</p>
</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<p><strong>League Abbreviations:</strong> AA (American Association); BSL (Big State League); CL (Carolina League); CSL (Cotton States League); EL (Eastern League); IL (International League); ISL (Interstate League); SA (Southern Association); TL (Texas League). Statistics from <a href="Baseball-Reference.com">Baseball-Reference.com</a>.</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>When their baseball days ended, both players took full-time jobs with the companies where they had worked during the offseasons. Hugh worked for the telephone company that later became Alltel (and was later acquired by Verizon), starting out as a lineman and moving up to supervisor. He left them for a few years to serve as a recreation director in Cordele, Georgia, but then returned and remained until his retirement some twenty years ago. Willard spent five years as a Red Sox scout before returning to Pepperell Mills, where since his high-school days he had worked when he was not playing baseball. He left Pepperell in 1968 rather than relocate and held a variety of positions—clerk of the Floyd County Board of Commissioners, County Court investigator, chief of police for Floyd County, and transportation director for the Floyd County School System—until he retired in 1989. </p>
<p>Even before he retired, Nixon became one of the most popular and successful amateur golfers in Northwest Georgia and maintained this status until failing health forced him off the links. Radcliffe also became an avid golfer and fisherman and retired to Florida so that he could pursue both hobbies, which he is again enjoying after recovering from a bout with cancer.<a href="#_edn58" name="_ednref58">58</a> Hugh’s decision to retire to Florida reflects another major difference in the lives of these two Georgians. Willard Nixon arranged his life so that he never lived more than 10 miles from his birthplace; Hugh Radcliffe never lived in Thomaston after he graduated from high school, although he did return often to visit family members<a href="#_edn59" name="_ednref59">59</a> and to participate in ceremonies honoring his accomplishments. </p>
<p>In 2004, Hugh Frank Radcliffe was among the first 15 athletes inducted into the Thomaston–Upson County Sports Hall of Fame. Willard Nixon had received a similar honor in 1971, when the Rome–Floyd County Sports Hall of Fame inducted its inaugural class of seven. Nixon was also elected to the Georgia Sports Hall of Fame in 1993. That honor has so far eluded Radcliffe, but in 1998, the Georgia House of Representatives passed a resolution commending his athletic achievements in four sports and especially honoring “the golden day he struck out 28 batters.”<a href="#_edn60" name="_ednref60">60</a> Radcliffe’s most recent honor came in 2008, when the clubhouse at Thomaston’s Silvertown Ballpark (the site of his historic performance) was named in his honor. </p>
<p><strong>HUGH RADCLIFFE: POSTER BOY FOR THE EVILS OF THE BONUS RULE—OR NOT? </strong></p>
<p>The two heroes of this story faced similar situations, made very different decisions, and achieved very different results. The intriguing question is the degree to which their decisions to accept or reject large bonuses impacted their upward mobility. </p>
<p>Willard Nixon thought he needed minor-league experience before he would be ready to pitch in the majors. In two and a half years, he got that experience, moving smoothly through Classes A, AA, and AAA. His only slip during that climb came when he was promoted from Class A to Triple A before he was ready. When he faltered at the higher level, he went to Double A and pitched well. </p>
<p>In contrast, after the pitching-rich Phils chose not to protect their investment in Hugh Radcliffe by adding him to the big-league roster, they promoted him all the way to triple-A Toronto to ensure that only another major-league team could draft him. He had been somewhat successful in Class B, but he skipped Class A and AA and spent his entire sophomore year at the triple-A level, getting little opportunity to prove himself there. </p>
<p>Radcliffe’s belief that he would have done better if he had rejected the bonus offer, of course, echoes the concerns voiced by opponents of the bonus rule, but can we be sure that his “bonus boy” status is what prevented him from becoming a major leaguer? In spite of a reasonably successful first season, no other major-league club saw enough potential to add him to their roster after the Phillies exposed him to the draft. If his limited use at Toronto was truly a ruse to keep other teams from noticing him, then his bonus status certainly retarded his progress. If he was kept at the triple-A level to reduce the number of teams who could draft him, his bonus status hurt him further. Radcliffe himself believes to this day that the Phillies “tried to hide me.”<a href="#_edn61" name="_ednref61">61</a> If such were not the case, there seems to be little justification for not using him more in 1949, either in Toronto or at a lower minor-league classification. </p>
<p>There is little doubt, therefore, that Hugh Radcliffe’s development suffered because he was a bonus baby, but other factors may have kept him in the minors while his fellow Georgian advanced to the majors. Radcliffe had the disadvantage of being selected by teams that had an abundance of pitchers. The Phillies had signed a bevy of bonus-level pitchers and reaped the benefits in 1950 when the “Whiz Kids” won the National League pennant behind the starting pitching of three Bonus Babies—Curt Simmons, Robin Roberts, and Bob Miller. The Yankees of the early 1950s dominated the American League, winning five consecutive pennants between 1949 and 1953, with a pitching staff built around <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/d2c8781f">Vic Raschi</a>, <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/1da169f4">Allie Reynolds</a>, <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/e3a049be">Eddie Lopat</a>, and (later) <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/d83d0584">Johnny Sain</a> and <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/fca49b7c">Whitey Ford</a>. </p>
<p>While he got less minor-league training than Nixon, Radcliffe probably needed it more. He had pitched extremely well, but typically against players younger than he was. During the summer between his junior and senior years in high school, Hugh did pitch for Swainsboro in the semipro Ogeechee League,<a href="#_edn62" name="_ednref62">62</a> where most of his opponents had played college ball. He also pitched “a few games” for the local textile-mill teams,<a href="#_edn63" name="_ednref63">63</a> but he was 19 years old throughout his dominant final year in high school; most high-school seniors are a year younger than that. In contrast, Willard Nixon had pitched extensively in the textile leagues against men who were five to ten years his senior, and he had prospered against that competition.</p>
<p>Both players suffered from sore arms during their careers, but here again there was an important difference. Nixon hurt his arm after proving that he could pitch at the major-league level. Radcliffe’s injury came while he was struggling in the minors, effectively sidetracking any hope that he could succeed in the majors. </p>
<p>There seems to be little doubt that the 1948 bonus rule played a role in Hugh Frank Radcliffe’s failure to reach the major leagues. The Phillies certainly got little (if any) benefit from their $40,000 investment. There is some irony in the fact that the younger of the two players we have considered, the one who was perhaps most in need of minor-league seasoning, opted for the route that made such seasoning least likely. Yet he got minor-league experience anyway, although perhaps not in the proper sequence. Other factors also helped to keep the youngster in the minors, so the overarching lesson here may be that paying large sums for “can’t miss” (but untried) pitchers was just as risky in 1948 as it is today—and as it will likely be in 2048. </p>
<p><strong><em>WYNN MONTGOMERY</em></strong><em>, author of the biography of <a href="https://sabr.org/bioproj/person/willard-nixon">Willard Nixon</a> for SABR’s BioProject, has seen ballgames in every major league city except Arlington, Texas, and in almost fifty minor-league parks. He is coeditor, with Ken Fenster, of <a href="https://sabr.org/journals/baseball-in-the-peach-state/">The National Pastime: Baseball in the Peach State</a>, the 2010 SABR convention journal.</em></p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p><strong>Sources</strong></p>
<p>My most valuable resource for the portion of this article dealing with Willard Nixon was Mrs. Nancy Nixon, who freely shared with me her memories and her extensive collection of scrapbooks (one for almost every year he played, 1945–59) and related materials that chronicled her husband’s career. Several unattributed quotations were found in unlabeled articles in those scrapbooks. Hugh Frank Radcliffe himself graciously participated in a telephone interview and shared his memories with me, as did his long-time friends Jim Fowler and Charles Gordy. Steve Densa, Minor League Baseball’s media relations director, provided Radcliffe’s “player record card.” In addition to these resources and the specific publications cited above, the following additional sources were invaluable during the preparation of this article.</p>
<p><u>Libraries (Newspaper Archives and Staff) and Organizations</u></p>
<ul>
<li>Auburn University Library (especially Joyce Hicks) </li>
<li>Boston Public Library </li>
<li>Rome/Floyd County Public Library (especially Dawn Hampton) </li>
<li>Upson Historical Society (specifically Penny Cliff and Patty Morgan)</li>
</ul>
<p><u>Online</u></p>
<ul>
<li><strong>Baseball Reference</strong> <a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com">www.baseball-reference.com</a> </li>
<li><strong>Newspaper Archive</strong> <a href="http://www.newspaperarchive.com">www.newspaperarchive.com</a> </li>
<li><strong><em>New York Times</em></strong> <a href="http://www.nytimes.com">www.nytimes.com</a> </li>
<li><strong>Paper of Record</strong> <a href="https://paperofrecord.com">www.paperofrecord.com</a></li>
<li><strong>Retrosheet</strong> <a href="http://www.retrosheet.org">www.retrosheet.org</a>, for box scores and play-by-play descriptions </li>
<li><strong>SABR research tools</strong> <a href="http://sabr.org">sabr.org</a></li>
</ul>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p><strong>Notes</strong></p>
<p><a href="#_ednref1" name="_edn1">1</a> Brent Kelley, <em>Baseball’s Biggest Blunder: The Bonus Rule of 1953–1957</em> (Lanham, Md.: Scarecrow Books, 1997).</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref2" name="_edn2">2</a> Paul Hemphill, “Whatever Happened to What’s-His-Name?” True (June 1972). Collected in Paul Hemphill, <em>Lost in the Lights: Sports, Dreams, and Life</em> (Tuscaloosa: University of Alabama Press, 2003).</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref3" name="_edn3">3</a> Steve Treder, “Cash in the Cradle: The Bonus Babies,” The Hardball Times (November 11, 2004).</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref4" name="_edn4">4</a> John Drebinger, <em>New York Times</em>, February 3, 1946.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref5" name="_edn5">5</a> Michael J. Haupert, “The Economic History of Major League Baseball,” in EH.Net Encyclopedia, ed. Robert Whaples; “The Century in Dollars and Cents,” <em>Seattle Post-Intelligencer</em> (2002), <a href="http://www.seattlepi.com/specials/moneyinsports/sportstimeline.pdf">www.seattlepi.com/specials/moneyinsports/sportstimeline.pdf</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref6" name="_edn6">6</a> U.S. Census Bureau’s Historical Income Tables-Families, www.census.gov.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref7" name="_edn7">7</a> <em>Salt Lake City Deseret News</em>, October 20, 1949.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref8" name="_edn8">8</a> Frank Eck, <em>Massillon</em> (Ohio) <em>Evening Independent</em>, July 2, 1948.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref9" name="_edn9">9</a> <em>Charleston</em> (W.V.) <em>Daily Mail</em>, December 4, 1949.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref10" name="_edn10">10</a> <em>New York Times</em>, April 3, 1948.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref11" name="_edn11">11</a> <em>Portsmouth</em> (Ohio) <em>Times</em>, June 4, 1949.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref12" name="_edn12">12</a> Arthur Daley, <em>New York Times</em>, September 4, 1949.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref13" name="_edn13">13</a> Arthur Daley, <em>New York Times</em>, September 4, 1949.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref14" name="_edn14">14</a> Arthur Daley, <em>New York Times</em>, December 15, 1950.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref15" name="_edn15">15</a> Hemphill, “Whatever Happened to What’s-His-Name?”</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref16" name="_edn16">16</a> Steve Treder, “Cash in the Cradle: The Bonus Babies,” <em>The Hardball Times</em>, November 11, 2004.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref17" name="_edn17">17</a> Kelley, <em>Baseball’s Biggest Blunder</em>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref18" name="_edn18">18</a> Langdon B. Gannon, <em>Rome News Tribune</em>, April 22, 1943.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref19" name="_edn19">19</a> Owen Davis, <em>The Auburn Bulletin</em>, August 28, 1974.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref20" name="_edn20">20</a> This quotation comes from an undated newspaper clipping in one of the many scrapbooks (this one labeled 1947) maintained by Mrs. Nancy Nixon, Willard’s widow. After graduating from the University of Georgia, Spurgeon Ferdinand “Spud” Chandler pitched for the New York Yankees for 11 years (1937–47), compiling a 109–43 record—the highest winning percentage for any pitcher in history with 100 or more games.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref21" name="_edn21">21</a> <em>Rome</em> (Ga.) <em>News Tribune</em>, April 29, 1948.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref22" name="_edn22">22</a> <em>Inside the Auburn Tigers</em> (a monthly magazine for Auburn fans), August 1983.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref23" name="_edn23">23</a> Undated clipping in Nancy Nixon’s 1948 scrapbook.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref24" name="_edn24">24</a> Roger Birtwell, <em>Boston Globe</em>, March 14, 1949.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref25" name="_edn25">25</a> <em>Thomaston Times</em>, April 23, 1948.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref26" name="_edn26">26</a> <em>Thomaston Times</em>, April 23, 1948.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref27" name="_edn27">27</a> Thomaston-Upson Sports Hall of Fame.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref28" name="_edn28">28</a> <em>Atlanta Journal</em>, 22 April 1948. Most of the names in this list will be familiar to all baseball fans. The two Smiths are the least well known; both had long but relatively undistinguished major-league careers. Carlisle, who was better known as “Red,” was not born in Georgia, nor was Martin (Marty) Marion, who was a prep star at Atlanta’s Tech High. The <em>Journal’s</em> choice of players with whom to compare Radcliffe was less insightful than the prediction that the record would not fall; no one has yet matched or topped that standard.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref29" name="_edn29">29</a> <em>Atlanta Journal</em>, April 22, 1948.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref30" name="_edn30">30</a> <em>Florence</em> (S.C.) <em>Morning News</em>, August 17, 1946.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref31" name="_edn31">31</a> <em>Hagerstown</em> (Md.) <em>Daily Mail</em>, June 4, 1948.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref32" name="_edn32">32</a> Thomaston-Upson Sports Hall of Fame.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref33" name="_edn33">33</a> Wayne Minshew, “Scouting Big League Talent Has Changed with the Years” <em>Baseball Digest</em>, July 1976.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref34" name="_edn34">34</a> <em>Thomaston Times</em>, June 17, 1955.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref35" name="_edn35">35</a> Doug Gelbert, <em>The Great Delaware Sports Book</em> (Montchanin, Del.: Manatee Books, 1995).</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref36" name="_edn36">36</a> Chic Feldman, <em>Scranton Tribune</em>, June 17, 1948.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref37" name="_edn37">37</a> Chic Feldman, <em>Scranton Tribune</em>, September 22, 1948.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref38" name="_edn38">38</a> Jeff Moshier, <em>Saint Petersburg Independent</em>, November 22, 1949.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref39" name="_edn39">39</a> <em>Saint Petersburg Times</em>, November 9, 1948.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref40" name="_edn40">40</a> Jeff Moshier, <em>Saint Petersburg Independent</em>, November 22, 1949.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref41" name="_edn41">41</a> Naylor Stone, <em>Birmingham Post</em>, September 13, 1949.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref42" name="_edn42">42</a> Langdon B. Gammon, “Lindale News,” <em>Rome News Tribune</em>, August 15, 1949. </p>
<p><a href="#_ednref43" name="_edn43">43</a> <em>New York Times</em>, 30 March 1950. Eddie Ford, better known as “Whitey,” climbed back and began his Hall of Fame career on July 1.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref44" name="_edn44">44</a> Arthur Sampson, <em>Boston Traveler</em>, July 13, 1950.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref45" name="_edn45">45</a> <em>The Sporting News</em>, May 4, 1955.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref46" name="_edn46">46</a> Tom Briere, <em>Minneapolis Tribune</em>, April 12, 1959.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref47" name="_edn47">47</a> Thirty other American League pitchers made their major–league debut in the same year as Nixon, and only three (Lew Burdette, Whitey Ford, and Ray Herbert) pitched longer and won more games. Two fellow 1950 Red Sox rookie pitchers (Dick Littlefield and Jim McDonald) equaled his longevity, but neither matched his record. The average career for 1950’s other 25 American League rookie pitchers was 3.6 years.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref48" name="_edn48">48</a> This is the only time that the Yankees have gone west for spring training. Yankees co-owner Del Webb, a resident of Phoenix, swapped training sites with the New York Giants, who came east to use the Yankees’ usual site in St. Petersburg, Florida.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref49" name="_edn49">49</a> In an interview on October 21, 2009, Radcliffe recalled that he pitched the first five innings of a game that pitted the Yankees rookies against each other and gave up only one hit—a triple to Mickey Mantle, who was experiencing his first spring training.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref50" name="_edn50">50</a> <em>New York Times</em>, January 31, 1952.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref51" name="_edn51">51</a> On July 15, 1952, Hugh Radcliffe participated (as a pinch-runner) in a 20-inning Tyler loss (3–2) to the Texarkana Bears.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref52" name="_edn52">52</a> <em>Atlanta Journal</em>-Constitution, November 21, 1952.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref53" name="_edn53">53</a> <em>Thomaston Times</em>, June 17, 1955.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref54" name="_edn54">54</a> Undated article in Nancy Nixon’s scrapbook.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref55" name="_edn55">55</a> Undated article in Nancy Nixon’s scrapbook.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref56" name="_edn56">56</a> Interview with Hugh Frank Radcliffe, 21 October 2009.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref57" name="_edn57">57</a> Radcliffe interview. Hugh said that he named one of his sons “Rip” after Raymond Allen (Rip) Radcliff, who had a 10-year major-league career (1934–43). He mistakenly thought they shared a common spelling of their last names.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref58" name="_edn58">58</a> Radcliffe interview.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref59" name="_edn59">59</a> Hugh came from a large family. He had ten siblings, and one of them did make it to the major leagues. His older sister, Emma Lou Radcliffe Boss (1922–2007), spent 17 years as an administrative assistant to Hank Aaron and the Atlanta Braves.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref60" name="_edn60">60</a> Georgia House of Representatives, HR 1258.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref61" name="_edn61">61</a> Georgia House of Representatives, HR 1258.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref62" name="_edn62">62</a> The Ogeechee League, which derived its name from Georgia’s Ogeechee River, operated in middle and southern Georgia during the 1940s and 1950s. Teams represented small towns such as Glenville, Greenwood, Louisville, Metter, Millen, Statesboro, Swainsboro, Sylvania, Thomson, and Wrightsville. According to an article (April 23, 2009) in the multititled <em>Louisville News and Farmer</em> &amp; <em>Wadley Herald &amp; Jefferson</em> (County) <em>Reporter</em>, the Louisville team bore the name “Mudcats” long before Columbus’s Southern League team adopted that nickname and retained it even after moving to North Carolina.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref63" name="_edn63">63</a> Interview with Hugh Frank Radcliffe, October 21, 2009.</p>
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		<title>Does “Game Score” Still Work in Today’s High-Offense Game?</title>
		<link>https://sabr.org/journal/article/does-game-score-still-work-in-todays-high-offense-game/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[admin]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 03 Feb 2011 18:16:33 +0000</pubDate>
				<guid isPermaLink="false">http://dev.sabr.org/journal_articles/does-game-score-still-work-in-todays-high-offense-game/</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[When Bill James first made his Game Score widely public in the Historical Baseball Abstract (1988), he humbly called it a “garbage stat.” He did feature a three–page essay on it and sprinkled it about that book, his last Abstract. Since then, it’s been broadly used, but only shallowly, as though through his description of [&#8230;]]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>When Bill James first made his Game Score widely public in the Historical Baseball Abstract (1988), he humbly called it a “garbage stat.” He did feature a three–page essay on it and sprinkled it about that book, his last Abstract. Since then, it’s been broadly used, but only shallowly, as though through his description of it (“my annual fun stat, a kind of garbage stat that I present not because it helps us understand anything in particular but because it is fun to play around with”) he has painted it a dull grey and buried the technique in the bottom of our cluttered toolboxes. </p>
<p>The real value of the Game Score tool is different from what its inventor claimed. It was an astoundingly useful measure that, while it didn’t come anywhere close to describing everything you need to know about pitching, described something critical at the time and, importantly, was accessible to casual fans. </p>
<p>James revealed the Game Score (GS) stat using data from the 1987 season to illustrate its use. The question I can answer for you easily is “Given all the changes in the decades since then, does the stat hold up as an indicator?” </p>
<p>The answer, surprisingly, is “Yes. Unequivocally.” </p>
<p>I’ll show you the particulars and explain why GS seems to hold up through pitching-rule changes, mutation of the ball, and the construction of new, mostly cozier ballparks that have led to what is popularly felt to be a hitter’s era. </p>
<p>Later in this article, I’ll explain why GS is truly a significant measure that shows off the inventor’s brilliance and is something we should pay more attention to.</p>
<p><strong>WHAT IS GAME SCORE AND HOW DO WE USE IT? </strong></p>
<p>Game Score is a measure of a starting pitcher’s performance, one that synthesizes the value of both a start’s quantity and its quality. </p>
<p>The only widely distributed competitor is Quality Start, a binary (“yes,” it was a quality start; “no,” it wasn’t) measure. The Quality Start had a noble purpose: to free the starting pitcher from the oppression of the traditional won–lost record. And in its defense, it is simple to “measure”—a start of at least six innings where the pitcher gives up three or fewer earned runs is a Quality Start.</p>
<p>Its limits, though, are too constraining. The binary nature of the QS eliminates spectrum or shading. Further, the baseline for what constitutes a Quality Start should have been updated for the changed playing environment since MLB apparently juiced the ball after the 1993 season. (Since then, the average start is shorter and yields more runs on the average but still maintains an equal probability of helping the team win the game.) Game Score is more nuanced and useful. </p>
<p>Bill James cleverly calibrated Game Score to a scale of 0 to 100 points, with 0 points being roughly the worst start a pitcher could have, 100 being the best, and 50 being the “average”. </p>
<p>Graph 1 shows the frequency distribution for each Game Score, from 0 to 100, for the 2007 season. The peak incidence of Game Scores is between about 42 and 65, with more below than above. James has shown this shape to be pretty normal for distributions of baseball accomplishment. </p>
<p>You may notice there are several Game Scores below the theoretical floor of zero. The low-end extremity for the 2007 season is a –12 delivered by Milwaukee’s promising <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/c0374d84">Yovani Gallardo</a> in an August 8 start against the Rockies in Denver. </p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<table width="100%">
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>
<p><strong>Brewers</strong></p>
</td>
<td>
<p><strong>IP</strong></p>
</td>
<td>
<p><strong>H</strong></p>
</td>
<td>
<p><strong>R</strong></p>
</td>
<td>
<p><strong>ER</strong></p>
</td>
<td>
<p><strong>BB</strong></p>
</td>
<td>
<p><strong>SO</strong></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
<p>Gallardo (L 4–2)</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>4.2</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>12</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>11</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>11</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>3</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>1</p>
</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>The high end was a 98 notched by <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/9952f894">Erik Bedard</a> for Baltimore against the Rangers in Texas on July 7. </p>
<table width="100%">
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>
<p><strong>Orioles</strong></p>
</td>
<td>
<p><strong>IP</strong></p>
</td>
<td>
<p><strong>H</strong></p>
</td>
<td>
<p><strong>R</strong></p>
</td>
<td>
<p><strong>ER</strong></p>
</td>
<td>
<p><strong>BB</strong></p>
</td>
<td>
<p><strong>SO</strong></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
<p>Bedard (W 7–4)</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>9</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>3</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>0</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>0</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>0</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>15</p>
</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>James cleverly set up GS so that someone who had mastered sixth-grade math could compute it from a scorecard or a box score in about 15 seconds. GS is accessible because it doesn’t require long division or decimal math, unlike ERA, which does. And, again, you can get all the components from a newspaper box score—such as the following pitching line (which I’ve truncated, leaving in only the items you’d use) for a roughly average start. </p>
<table width="100%">
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>
<p><strong>Rays</strong></p>
</td>
<td>
<p><strong>IP</strong></p>
</td>
<td>
<p><strong>H</strong></p>
</td>
<td>
<p><strong>R</strong></p>
</td>
<td>
<p><strong>ER</strong></p>
</td>
<td>
<p><strong>BB</strong></p>
</td>
<td>
<p><strong>SO</strong></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
<p><a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/e59f768a">Shields</a> (ND 2–2)</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>7.0</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>6</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>4</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>2</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>1</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>2</p>
</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>Here’s the fastest way to compute it. Each game starts at 50 (which we’ll roll in as the last piece of computation). </p>
<ul>
<li>+1 point for each out recorded (3 points for each full inning, 1 point for each additional third of an inning). In the example, 7 x 3 = 21 points. </li>
<li>+2 points for each full inning completed after the fourth inning. In the example, three full innings, 3 x 2 = 6 points. </li>
<li>–2 points for each hit surrendered. In the example, 6 x –2 = –12 points. The sum of strikeouts minus walks (usually a positive number you add, sometimes a negative number you subtract). In the example, 2 – 1 = +1 point. </li>
<li>–4 points for each earned run and –2 points for each unearned run surrendered. In the example, 2 x = –4 = –8 for the earned runs, and 2 x –2 for the other, not earned, run, so –4, added up to –12. </li>
<li>+50 as the baseline the pitcher starts with.</li>
</ul>
<p>So, in the preceding Shields example: 21 + 6 equals 27 for the length of the start; minus 12 for the hits equals 15; plus 1 for the strikeouts minus walks equals 16; minus 12 for the runs earned (and not) equals 4. Add 50 for the starting threshold, and the Game Score is 54, what James designed the system to describe as a start a bit above average. This GS number, as you will see later, argues that Shields’s start was above average in several ways, and the GS more closely measures the value of his start than ERA does (which, at 2.57 for the game, probably overstates his contribution), or won–lost record, which, at 0–0, screams an existential nothingness about Shields’s effort. </p>
<p><strong>GAME SCORE AS USED TODAY</strong> </p>
<p>Today, Game Score is applied too infrequently. </p>
<p>Unlike a lot of the other sabermetric stats that James and other researchers such as Dick Cramer and Pete Palmer invented or brought to public attention, GS hasn’t been internalized into the warp and weft of fan or researcher discussions. None of the half–dozen major-league organizations I’ve discussed pitching with seem to use it for much. James, I discovered after I finished the research for this study, uses it consistently in his annuals, The Bill James Gold Mine, though without basing a lot of significant observation on it. Researchers Mike Webber, Steve Treder, Rich Lederer, and Dan Fox have made concrete mentions. Sean Forman (who crafted a beautiful raw dataset for me to work from for this study) presents GS as part of the exhaustive game lines for pitchers on game-log pages of his incomparable <a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com">Baseball Reference site</a>. But no one I can find has made an effort to promote or headline a starting pitcher’s contribution to the team by using GS as a significant (and easy to “get”) starting point. </p>
<p>My investigation has led me to the conclusion that GS reveals enough about a pitching start that researchers should explore it further—not just for other researchers but as a tool we can broadcast to the larger, less sabermetric population. </p>
<p><strong>HOW HAVE GAME SCORE’S AVERAGE RESULTS AND TAILS CHANGED WITH MLB’S OFFENSIVE EFFLORESCENCE?</strong> </p>
<p>Remarkably, almost not at all. The changes have been small.<a href="#_edn1" name="_ednref1">1</a> </p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<table width="100%">
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>
<p><strong>Year</strong></p>
</td>
<td>
<p><strong>Mean Average Game Score</strong></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
<p>1987</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>49.2</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
<p>2007</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>48.3</p>
</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>The change over the past 20 years for the mean average GS has changed less than a single point. The median Game Score in MLB for the 2007 season was 49. </p>
<p>So it’s consistent over time. But what makes it a good stat to proliferate beyond the stathead tribe? I believe there are three prerequisites for deciding which statistics are worth trying to popularize. </p>
<ul>
<li>The stat should mean something significant. </li>
<li>The stat should retain the meaning of its numbers when you apply it in varying contexts (such as league and season). </li>
<li>A stat one should try to popularize should not require the 50th-percentile fan to use a calculator. </li>
</ul>
<p>Further, the measure shouldn’t require adjustment by a pro, like Pete Palmer’s very valuable (but impossible to popularize) Adjusted Batting Runs or James’s own flotilla of Runs Created formulæ (about two dozen of them) that try to contextualize meaning over differing playing environments. </p>
<p>Game Score, contrary to being a “garbage stat,” nails all three prerequisites. </p>
<p><strong>HOW MUCH HAVE GAME SCORES VARIED IN THE LAST 20 SEASONS?</strong> </p>
<p>It’s fine to show that two seasons, 20 years apart, have a similar set of averages. But the average of any serious stat is never a truth in itself; the average is not the reality, though the average may illustrate a tiny facet of the reality. </p>
<p>(An interesting aside of marginal relevance: For all the whining about the diminished endurance of starters, the numbers indicate that, while innings pitched per start is going down a little, the number of batters faced is essentially the same. See the chart in appendix C. It shows that plate appearances (batters faced) per start has gone down 1 per start in the past 20 years. A difference of 1 batter per start since then––when Michael Jackson was “Bad” and Twisted Sister was a hot ticket––and now.)</p>
<p>Before we explore how much Game Scores have varied over the years, it’s important to mention that the 1987 season, the one Bill James had as a backdrop for his tweaking the measure and sharing it, was an outlier itself. In 1987, there was an offensive uptick fueled by a homerun explosion. Sluggers like <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/98cd3ca3">Kent Hrbek</a> and <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/4f34cdd9">Wally Joyner</a> set their career highs in taters. So did more contact- oriented batters. <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/e083ea50">Wade Boggs</a>’s 24 home runs were more than twice his second-highest seasonal output. In between, gents such as <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/143569f6">Juan Samuel</a>, whose 28 home runs that campaign eclipsed his second-most prolific season of 19 round trips, joined the Pounder’s Parade.<a href="#_edn2" name="_ednref2">2</a></p>
<p>But let me show you a chart that shows the rough variation of the individual components. It’s “rough” because one of the factors that shapes an individual Game Score result is the number of full innings from the fifth inning on that a pitcher labors. The following chart is a composite average: all starters’ stats combined, divided by the total number of starts. It is, therefore, not precise in cases where there’s a wide divergence in the distribution of outs recorded.<a href="#_edn3" name="_ednref3">3</a> We cannot derive the precise average Game Score from the average innings pitched per start because of the bonus for innings completed from the fifth on. </p>
<p>But the numbers are close enough to be strong indicators of change in the composite GS and in all the measures except for the fifth-inning-on bonus. The fifth-inning-on bonus presented here is the composite, and therefore only an estimate. </p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p><strong>GS Points Difference from 1987</strong></p>
<table width="100%">
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>
<p><strong>Year</strong></p>
</td>
<td>
<p><strong>TOTAL</strong></p>
</td>
<td>
<p><strong>Outs</strong></p>
</td>
<td>
<p><strong>IP&gt;4</strong></p>
</td>
<td>
<p><strong>H</strong></p>
</td>
<td>
<p><strong>BB</strong></p>
</td>
<td>
<p><strong>K</strong></p>
</td>
<td>
<p><strong>ER</strong></p>
</td>
<td>
<p><strong>UER</strong></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
<p>2007</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>–0.3</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>–0.3</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>–0.6</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>0.0</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>0.2</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>0.2</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>0.00</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>0.2</p>
</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>Negative numbers indicate an erosion of Game Score component averages. Positive numbers have raised the average GS since 1987. </p>
<p>As you can see, none of the components varies even by a full point. The changes between the composite average in 1987 and 2007: </p>
<ul>
<li>Shorter average outings by starting pitching shaved about a point (.9) from composite average Game Score. </li>
<li>More strikeouts per start and fewer walks per start added about half a point (.6) to composite average Game Score. </li>
<li>A lower number of unearned runs added a soupçon (.2) to composite average GS. </li>
</ul>
<p>There’s a legitimate argument that an exceptional baseline year, such as 1987, is a bad foundation because comparing a baseline with extraordinarily high offense to a year such as 2007, which was normal for a big offensive era, is going to dampen larger differences. So, what about 1988 (a particularly good year for pitchers) or 1994 (powered by probably the liveliest ball since the 1950s)? </p>
<p>Both years were extreme within the evolving norm for Major League Baseball. And both years varied noticeably from Game Score norms since 1987. But neither varied by enough to render Game Score a stat that needs a proliferation of special variants to make GS deliver the thumbnail results it aims to produce. </p>
<p>More slugging appears to have led to harder swinging, which, apparently, increased strikeouts per starter inning while diminishing walks per starter inning. And while gross numbers of hits have gone up, outings by starters have also become slightly shorter, offsetting to some degree the effects of the increase in strikeouts and decrease in walks. </p>
<p>I also believe (but have no numbers to support) that management and coaching tend to counter the kinds of trends that have mutated the game since 1987. In an environment where homers are more prevalent—which, in turn, makes walks more costly— pitching coaches develop tactics to help their charges diminish walks. They invest more in studying ways to limit exposure to homers. And pitchers who are walkor homer-prone are marginally less likely to be drafted or invested in once drafted. The game, in sum, is an evolving system with some gravitational fields that tend to counteract disruptive trends. </p>
<p>Whether you agree with that last supposition or not, you can see from the following table just how minor the changes to components of composite average Game Score have been in the past 20 seasons. </p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p><strong>GS Points Difference from 1987</strong></p>
<table width="100%">
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>
<p><strong>Year</strong></p>
</td>
<td>
<p><strong>TOTAL</strong></p>
</td>
<td>
<p><strong>Outs</strong></p>
</td>
<td>
<p><strong>IP&gt;4</strong></p>
</td>
<td>
<p><strong>H</strong></p>
</td>
<td>
<p><strong>BB</strong></p>
</td>
<td>
<p><strong>K</strong></p>
</td>
<td>
<p><strong>ER</strong></p>
</td>
<td>
<p><strong>UER</strong></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
<p>1988</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>2.1</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>0.3</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>0.6</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>0.1</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>0.2</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>–0.1</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>1.1</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>0.1</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
<p>1989</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>1.7</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>0.1</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>0.2</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>0.2</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>0.1</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>–0.2</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>1.4</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>0.0</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
<p>1990</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>1.3</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>0.0</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>0.0</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>0.2</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>0.1</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>–0.2</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>1.2</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>0.1</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
<p>1991</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>1.3</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>0.0</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>0.0</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>0.2</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>0.1</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>–0.1</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>1.0</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>0.1</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
<p>1992</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>1.8</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>0.1</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>0.2</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>0.1</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>0.1</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>–0.2</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>1.3</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>0.1</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
<p>1993</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>0.3</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>0.0</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>0.1</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>–0.1</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>0.1</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>–0.2</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>0.3</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>0.1</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
<p>1994</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>–0.4</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>0.0</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>0.0</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>–0.2</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>0.0</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>0.1</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>–0.4</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>0.1</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
<p>1995</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>–0.3</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>–0.2</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>–0.3</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>0.0</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>0.0</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>0.1</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>0.0</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>0.0</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
<p>1996</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>–0.9</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>–0.1</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>–0.2</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>–0.1</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>0.1</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>0.2</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>–0.6</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>0.0</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
<p>1997</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>0.3</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>–0.1</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>–0.2</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>0.0</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>0.1</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>0.3</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>0.0</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>0.1</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
<p>1998</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>0.0</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>0.0</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>0.0</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>–0.1</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>0.1</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>0.4</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>–0.3</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>0.1</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
<p>1999</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>–1.3</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>–0.2</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>–0.4</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>–0.1</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>–0.1</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>0.1</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>–0.8</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>0.1</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
<p>2000</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>–1.3</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>–0.2</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>–0.3</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>–0.1</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>–0.1</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>0.2</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>–0.9</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>0.1</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
<p>2001</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>0.0</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>–0.2</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>–0.3</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>0.0</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>0.2</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>0.3</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>–0.1</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>0.1</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
<p>2002</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>0.4</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>–0.2</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>–0.3</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>0.2</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>0.1</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>0.2</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>0.3</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>0.1</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
<p>2003</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>0.0</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>–0.2</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>–0.4</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>0.1</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>0.2</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>0.1</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>0.1</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>0.1</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
<p>2004</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>–0.3</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>–0.2</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>–0.4</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>0.1</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>0.2</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>0.2</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>–0.1</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>0.1</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
<p>2005</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>0.6</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>–0.1</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>–0.2</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>0.0</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>0.3</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>0.1</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>0.3</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>0.2</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
<p>2006</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>–0.5</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>–0.3</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>–0.5</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>0.0</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>0.2</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>0.1</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>–0.2</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>0.1</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
<p>2007</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>–0.3</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>–0.3</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>–0.6</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>0.0</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>0.2</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>0.2</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>0.0</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>0.2</p>
</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>Game Scores were higher in 1988, as the leagues sacrificed some hitting for pitching. But 1988 shows the biggest divergence in average Game Score from 1987 since, well, 1987: 2 points per start. After 1993, the average GS started coming down, but since 2001 it’s been hovering in a narrow range, with variation affecting average GS being under a single point.</p>
<p>The average Game Score for starters in a season has been stable, certainly stable enough to validate GS as a great tool to describe the performance of starting pitchers through changing contexts.</p>
<p><strong>IT’S EASY TO COMPUTE AND CONSISTENT ENOUGH OVER TIME, BUT WHAT MAKES IT SIGNIFICANT ENOUGH TO PAY ATTENTION TO? </strong></p>
<p>The Game Score proves to be a magnificent indicator of the most important thing a starting pitcher can do: Give his team a chance to win the ballgame. Bill James knows this. (He’s written about it, tangentially.) Everyone else I cited who uses GS knows this, I think. But they don’t follow up and apply that knowledge broadly. </p>
<p>Let me make the argument for the significance of GS this way. A starting pitcher’s Game Score correlates remarkably well with ability of the starter’s team to win. That is, if you chart the winning percentage  for major-league teams at each Game Score, you see the correlation between the starter’s GS and the team’s likelihood of winning—the higher the GS, the greater the probability the team will win the game.</p>
<p>A team win is baseball&#8217;s most basic currency. Anything a player does that increases the probability of his team winning is adding value.</p>
<p>The following chart reflects this distribution, showing the winning percentage for all games pitched by a starter at each Game Score. You’ll find the raw data for the chart as appendix A, at the end of the article. </p>
<p>When James wrote his 1988 essay, he presented a table that showed the strong correlation between the starter’s Game Score and the team’s winning percentage. He used 10-point ranges to chunk the information. While this is sensible as a first cut at examining the results, I find his ranges more arbitrary than what he would have crafted were he looking for deeper significance. (With ranges such as 60–69 and 50–59, a game score of 62 is batched with a 68, six points away, but not with a 59, three points away.) I followed the pattern of his table for the 2007 data to show similarities and differences using his chosen ranges; they appear in their entirety as appendix B. Note, in the subset of that chart (see below), that every 10-point range features a higher win percentage than does the range below it, with one exception (the two bottom ranges for 1987, representing a small number of cases). The biggest difference worth noting between the 1987 and 2007 numbers is that Game Scores from 40 through 49 were 4 percent more likely to generate a win for the starter’s team in 2007 than in 1987. </p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<table width="100%">
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>
<p><strong>1987 Team Win %</strong></p>
</td>
<td>
<p><strong>Range</strong></p>
</td>
<td>
<p><strong>2007 Team Win %</strong></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
<p>93%</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>90–99</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>100%</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
<p>93%</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>80–89</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>93%</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
<p>84%</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>70–79</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>82%</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
<p>73%</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>60–69</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>72%</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
<p>58%</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>50–59</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>60%</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
<p>42%</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>40–49</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>46%</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
<p>26%</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>30–39</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>28%</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
<p>20%</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>20–29</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>18%</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
<p>10%</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>10–19</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>10%</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
<p>23%</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>Up to 9</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>4%</p>
</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p><strong>MEANINGFUL RANGES FOR GAME SCORES </strong></p>
<p>I think moving ranges are more flexible and show that, even when more finely graded, the correlation between increasing GS and increasing team wins holds up. While James shows fixed 10-point ranges, I’ll show you that the relationship between GS and team wins is clear even in more graduated pieces. </p>
<p>The table below shows the percentage of games a team won in 2007 with a specific Game Score plus or minus 2. For example, the row that shows a game score of 49 +/–2 shows the win percentage for a team whose starter notched a GS of 51 through 47, while 50 +/–2 shows win percentage for a team that had a starter with any GS of 52 through 48.<a href="#_edn4" name="_ednref4">4</a> </p>
<p>It’s worth noting that, in the previous table, while James originally hoped to design a measure where a Game Score of 50 would win 50 percent of the games for the starter’s team, even at 47 +/–2 a team will win a little more than that. A glance at appendix A will confirm it’s not a fluke of the +/–2, but the rawer numbers show scores as low as 46 being good enough to support a team’s winning more than 50 percent of the time. </p>
<p><strong>SO IF IT IS IMPORTANT, HOW SHOULD WE USE IT?</strong></p>
<p>Bill James himself has suggested using the tool to adjust one’s perception of a starter’s seasonal won–lost record. When he first wrote about the measure—back when Dirty Dancing blew away the box-office numbers for Gone with the Wind and <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/1f96cd59">Buddy Biancalana</a> celebrated his age-27 season with an OPS+ of 3—James suggested tracking two stats derivative of GS, Tough Losses and Cheap Wins. He suggested a Tough Loss was a game where a starter posted a Game Score of 50 or better but got the loss, and a Cheap Win was a start where he got the victory with a GS under 50.</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p><strong>Percentage of Games Won by Team When Starter Has Specific GS Ranges, 2007</strong></p>
<table width="100%">
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>
<p><strong>GS range</strong></p>
</td>
<td>
<p><strong>Win %</strong></p>
</td>
<td>
<p><strong> </strong></p>
</td>
<td>
<p><strong>GS range</strong></p>
</td>
<td>
<p><strong>Win %</strong></p>
</td>
<td>
<p><strong> </strong></p>
</td>
<td>
<p><strong>GS range</strong></p>
</td>
<td>
<p><strong>Win %</strong></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
<p>75+</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>89%</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>55 +/? 2</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>61%</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>35 +/? 2</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>27%</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
<p>74 +/? 2</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>82%</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>54 +/? 2</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>58%</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>34 +/? 2</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>27%</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
<p>73 +/? 2</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>80%</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>53 +/? 2</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>56%</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>33 +/? 2</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>24%</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
<p>72 +/? 2</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>79%</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>52 +/? 2</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>56%</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>32 +/? 2</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>25%</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
<p>71 +/? 2</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>80%</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>51 +/? 2</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>56%</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>31 +/? 2</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>26%</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
<p>70 +/? 2</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>79%</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>50 +/? 2</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>56%</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>30 +/? 2</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>23%</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
<p>69 +/? 2</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>78%</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>49 +/? 2</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>54%</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>29 +/? 2</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>19%</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
<p>68 +/? 2</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>78%</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>48 +/? 2</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>54%</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>28 +/? 2</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>18%</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
<p>67 +/? 2</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>78%</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>47 +/? 2</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>51%</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>27 +/? 2</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>17%</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
<p>66 +/? 2</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>77%</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>46 +/? 2</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>50%</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>26 +/? 2</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>17%</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
<p>65 +/? 2</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>77%</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>45 +/? 2</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>46%</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>25 +/? 2</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>19%</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
<p>64 +/? 2</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>74%</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>44 +/? 2</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>46%</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>24 +/? 2</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>21%</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
<p>63 +/? 2</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>72%</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>43 +/? 2</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>42%</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>23 +/? 2</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>21%</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
<p>62 +/? 2</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>67%</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>42 +/? 2</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>40%</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>22 +/? 2</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>19%</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
<p>61 +/? 2</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>65%</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>41 +/? 2</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>37%</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>21 +/? 2</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>17%</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
<p>60 +/? 2</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>62%</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>40 +/? 2</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>35%</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>20 +/? 2</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>16%</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
<p>59 +/? 2</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>62%</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>39 +/? 2</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>33%</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>19 +/? 2</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>12%</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
<p>58 +/? 2</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>63%</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>38 +/? 2</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>33%</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>18 &amp; less</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>8%</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
<p>57 +/? 2</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>64%</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>37 +/? 2</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>30%</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
</td>
<td>&nbsp;</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
<p>56 +/? 2</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>62%</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>36 +/? 2</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>28%</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
</td>
<td>&nbsp;</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>Every season is stuffed with instances of starters who pitch consistently well with poor run support and have losing records (or, at the other extreme, average less than 5 innings for 20 starts while yielding 4.3 runs each start and have an 8–7 record over them).<a href="#_edn5" name="_ednref5">5</a></p>
<p>What I like about James’s suggestion is its cleanliness. The break point at 50 seems logical, and it’s easy to remember. And any rational proposal to fix the popular misperception that the won–lost record of an individual pitcher holds a lot of insight into his quality is a worthwhile effort.</p>
<p>However, I don’t propose we make use of GS by proliferating these derivatives. For one thing, James knew even then that Game Scores of 50 would yield better than .500 results (as did a GS of 49). So I believe his anchor point is misplaced. In addition, I think there’s a middle band of Game Scores that should qualify for neither; a grey zone in the middle where the team’s game prospects are between “should be confident of winning” and “can expect to lose.” </p>
<p><strong>A DRAFT PROPOSAL</strong> </p>
<p>I have a draft proposal for a season measure that’s a derivative of Game Score. </p>
<p>The measure isn’t as tidy-looking as James’s break point at 50, and I think if I looked at the fine details of multiple years of game logs, I would probably tweak the break points. But here’s a straw man we can play with that delivers a new version of won–lost record, using Game Scores, that reflects each starter’s contributions to his team’s record better than do the won–lost records currently tracked. </p>
<p>For the purpose of this proposal, I’ll give this measure the working name “Game Score Won–Lost” (GSWL, pronounced “Gaz–Wall”). Let me pitch how it works. </p>
<p>For all starts where the pitcher earns a GS of 55 or higher, the pitcher earns a Game Score Win, recognizing a game where his start gave his team a clear chance to win, whether the team went on to win or not. </p>
<p>For all games where the pitcher earns a GS of 43 or lower, the pitcher earns a Game Score Loss, a game where he set his team up to lose, whether they went on to lose or not. </p>
<p>For the roughly one quarter of all starts that fall between (a GS of 54 through 44, what I’ll call “Game Score Tweeners”), split them down the middle into two halves. Assign one half to Game Score Wins and one half to Game Score Losses. If the Game Score Tweeners are an odd number, round the Wins half “up” and truncate the Losses half down. This is not capricious, it’s based on the fact that team winning percentage when the starter pitches a game that earns between 54 and 44 is .528, a little higher than even. </p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p><strong>Relation of Game Score to Team Wins, 2007</strong></p>
<table width="100%">
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>
<p><strong>Game Score Ranges</strong></p>
</td>
<td>
<p><strong>Team Win %</strong></p>
</td>
<td>
<p><strong>Team Wins</strong></p>
</td>
<td>
<p><strong>Team Losses</strong></p>
</td>
<td>
<p><strong>Number of Games</strong></p>
</td>
<td>
<p><strong>% of Games</strong></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
<p>55+</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>.728</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>1,365</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>511</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>1,876</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>39</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
<p>54 to 44</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>.528</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>626</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>559</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>1,185</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>24</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
<p>43–</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>.244</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>440</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>1,361</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>1,801</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>37</p>
</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>Total up the Game Score Wins and Game Score Losses and you get a season measure that looks like a traditional won–lost record, which I like because it’s easy for the uninitiated to map to an existing measure they think they understand. </p>
<p><strong>IS GSWL FAIR? IS IT ACCURATE? </strong></p>
<p>I think Game Score Won Lost (GSWL) is fair in that a pitcher gets credit for a “win” in the cases where the team can expect to win about three quarters of the time, and he gets a “loss” in the cases where his performance puts the team in a situation where they can expect to lose about three quarters of the time. </p>
<p>We could just as easily ignore the Tweeners as divvy them up, but I lean toward leaving them in. For one thing, if you do, a pitcher’s GSWL more accurately reflects the number of starts the pitcher has (an improvement over the traditional W–L system). Parsing the leftover Tweener games allows you to allow for the pitchers who consistently throw in the middle range (2007<a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/b290fccd"> Kyle Kendrick</a>, average GS = 50, 9 Tweeners of 20 starts) and reveals some differences from those who throw a higher concentration of GS Wins and GS Losses with the same average GS (2007 <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/65d8d522">Ubaldo “No, You–Baldo” Jímenez</a>, Average GS = 50, 2 Tweeners of 15 starts). </p>
<p>So a GSWL that reflects number of starts helps a reader better ascertain quantity along with quality.</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<table width="100%">
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>
<p><strong>Starter</strong></p>
</td>
<td>
<p><strong>Starts 2007</strong></p>
</td>
<td>
<p><strong>Avg Game Score</strong></p>
</td>
<td>
<p><strong>GSWL w/o Tweeners</strong></p>
</td>
<td>
<p><strong>GSL w/ Tweeners</strong></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
<p>Jímenez</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>15</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>50</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>8–5</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>9–6</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
<p>Kendrick</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>20</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>50</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>6–5</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>11–9</p>
</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>Kendrick labored more and achieved the same season average Game Score. With the Tweeners removed, the stat would broadcast that Jímenez worked a little more and achieved a more positive result for the season (same number of losses, a couple of more wins). With the Tweeners added in, Kendrick’s bigger workload is reified and he looks almost comparable on quality. And either is more informative than Quality Starts (Kendrick 13, Jímenez 9). </p>
<p>Another cool side-benefit of including Tweeners is that the result delivers season won–lost counts that look more like twentieth-century baseball. There are 20-game winners using GSWL. Here are some final numbers for GSWL (with Tweeners) for the 2007 season, including all the 20-game GSWL winners.<a href="#_edn6" name="_ednref6">6</a></p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p><strong>Starters, GSWL 20-Game Winners, 2007</strong></p>
<table width="100%">
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>
<p><strong>Starter</strong></p>
</td>
<td>
<p><strong>GSW</strong></p>
</td>
<td>
<p><strong>GSL</strong></p>
</td>
<td>
<p><strong> </strong></p>
</td>
<td>
<p><strong>Starter</strong></p>
</td>
<td>
<p><strong>GSW</strong></p>
</td>
<td>
<p><strong>GSL</strong></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
<p>Peavy, SD</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>27</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>7</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>Kazmir, TB</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>22</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>11</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
<p>Santana, Minn</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>26</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>7</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>Escobar, LAA</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>21</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>9</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
<p>Lackey, LAA</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>25</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>7</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>Vazquez, ChA</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>21</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>9</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
<p>Haren, Oak</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>25</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>9</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>Lilly, ChN</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>21</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>10</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
<p>Sabathia, Cle</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>24</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>9</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>Oswalt, Hou</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>21</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>10</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
<p>Smoltz, Atl</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>24</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>8</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>Verlander, Det</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>21</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>10</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
<p>Webb, Az</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>24</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>10</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>Francis, Col</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>21</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>13</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
<p>Bedard, Bal</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>23</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>5</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>Harang, Cin</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>21</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>13</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
<p>Beckett, Bos</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>23</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>7</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>Young, SD</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>21</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>8</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
<p>Snell, Pit</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>22</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>10</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>Meche, KC</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>21</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>12</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
<p>Penny, LAN</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>22</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>11</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>Zambrano, ChN</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>21</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>12</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
<p>Shields, TB</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>22</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>8</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>Halladay, Tor</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>20</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>10</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
<p>Cain, SF</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>22</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>9</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>R. Hill, ChN</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>20</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>12</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
<p>Carmona, Cle</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>22</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>9</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>Maine, NYN</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>20</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>12</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
<p>Hudson, Atl</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>22</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>10</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>Pettitte, NYA</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>20</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>14</p>
</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>This example shows that, while GSWL tends to confirm many preconceptions (the appearance of any of the top 9 on the previous table should be a surprise to no one who paid a lot of attention to the 2007 season), the measure allows us to find some overshadowed achievers. </p>
<p>How can you not love the total justice of <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/af75bec1">Matt Cain</a> (median GS = 58) getting a GSWL of 22–9, the poor bustard having pitched in the top 15 percent of starters only to be embossed with a traditional W–L mark of 7–16, below even the dreaded Boom-Boom Beck Line. </p>
<p>A measure is worthwhile only if it shows off accomplishment at both ends of the spectrum. The bottom of the GSWL table shows off prolific losers pretty well, I think. </p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p><strong>Starters, GSWL, Lowest Scores, 2007</strong></p>
<table width="100%">
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>
<p><strong>Starter</strong></p>
</td>
<td>
<p><strong>GSW</strong></p>
</td>
<td>
<p><strong>GSL</strong></p>
</td>
<td>
<p><strong> </strong></p>
</td>
<td>
<p><strong>Starter</strong></p>
</td>
<td>
<p><strong>GSW</strong></p>
</td>
<td>
<p><strong>GSL</strong></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
<p>Willis, Fla</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>16</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>18</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>Millwood, Tx</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>12</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>18</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
<p>Gaudin, Oak</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>15</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>18</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>Olsen, Fla</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>12</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>21</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
<p>Suppan, Mil</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>14</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>19</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>Belisle, Cin</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>11</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>19</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
<p>Jackson, TB</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>13</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>18</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>Davies, ––</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>10</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>18</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
<p>Morris, Pit</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>13</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>18</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>Eaton, Phi</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>9</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>20</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
<p>Byrd, Cle</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>12</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>18</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>Perez, KC</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>7</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>19</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
<p>Chico, Was</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>12</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>19</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>There were only a pair of 20-game GSWL losers in 2007: the Phillies’ <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/68bdaf37">Adam Eaton</a> (his 10–10 traditional W–L record was enhanced by the Phils’ ability to score in his starts, notching 3 or fewer runs in only 8 of his starts), and a surprising guest appearance by the Marlins’ <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/9340cb56">Scott Olsen</a>. Olsen’s 10–15 traditional W–L record was actually hiding some of the deficits in his overall game-by-game performance. <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/d5bdbcd8">Odalis “Friend of David Hasselhoff” Perez</a>, GSWL 7–19 . . . proving, I think for all time, that, if you have really marginal stuff, “pitching to contact”<a href="#_edn7" name="_ednref7">7</a> is Russian roulette with six bullets. </p>
<p><strong>CONCLUSION</strong> </p>
<p>I believe I’ve shown compelling evidence that supports my idea that Game Score is the single most useful measure that a broad range of fans can calculate in real time to gauge the value of a starter’s performance to his team in the most important measure of success: the team’s ability to win a game. </p>
<ul>
<li>Game Score is a finer measure than Quality Start and appears to keep its relationship to winning through more contexts. </li>
<li>Game Score measures beautifully a starter’s ability to deliver an important goal: the likelihood of his team winning the game. </li>
<li>Game Score is calculated through universally accessible components, and the calculations required are accessible to all. Despite James’s humble stance about his invention, I believe it’s got some serious applications, and I’d like to see us popularize it beyond the SABR community.</li>
</ul>
<p><strong><em>JEFF ANGUS</em></strong><em>, a baseball writer and management consultant, is the author of &#8220;Management by Baseball: The Official Rules for Winning Management in Any Field&#8221; (HarperCollins, 2005). </em></p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p><strong>Notes</strong></p>
<p><a href="#_ednref1" name="_edn1">1</a> I didn’t compute the 1987 mean. Bill James wrote it in his Game Score essay that appeared in the 1988 <em>Baseball Abstract</em>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref2" name="_edn2">2</a> And 1987 was the year the Houston Astros gave up their explosion-in-a-paint-factory unis in favor of muted, corporate-dull duds; this fact has nothing to with the offensive surge.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref3" name="_edn3">3</a> So if, for example, in 1987, starters averaged 6 1/3 innings per start but with low variation and with 12 percent lasting under 5 innings (where they would start racking up bonus points for innings completed), while in 2007 starters averaged 6 innings per start but 19 percent didn’t complete the fifth innings, but more starts went deeper so as to equalize the average, these numbers would diverge from actuals, which I can’t compute for 1987 because I don’t have the raw data.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref4" name="_edn4">4</a> I combined all scores of 75 and above and all scores of 18 and lower because each GS in those areas is relatively scarce (each tail is 5 percent of the total) and there are many missing slots in those ranges.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref5" name="_edn5">5</a> Horacio Ramirez, Mariners, 2007.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref6" name="_edn6">6</a> Note that there were 30 starters who were GSWL 20-game winners, and there are 30 MLB teams. Coincidence, synchronicity or “Intelligent Design”? Only Carl Everett knows. Or merely thinks he does.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref7" name="_edn7">7</a>  Grant Sterling said of pitching to contact, “Pitching to contact has exactly the same record of success as appeasing Hitler.” There’s no vital reason to cite this except it’s one of my favorite recent baseball quotes, because Dr. Sterling is one of the smartest baseball minds I know, and because I suspect it’s true for a lot more pitchers than pitching coaches would like to think.</p>
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			</item>
		<item>
		<title>The History and Future of the Amateur Draft</title>
		<link>https://sabr.org/journal/article/the-history-and-future-of-the-amateur-draft/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[admin]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 03 Feb 2011 18:16:33 +0000</pubDate>
				<guid isPermaLink="false">http://dev.sabr.org/journal_articles/the-history-and-future-of-the-amateur-draft/</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[The 2010 draft was broadcast nationally in prime time, the third year in a row that Major League Baseball had put its draft on TV. Its top talent, Las Vegas sensation Bryce Harper, was on the cover of Sports Illustrated when he was just sixteen. As that draft approached, the star of the 2009 draft, [&#8230;]]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The 2010 draft was broadcast nationally in prime time, the third year in a row that Major League Baseball had put its draft on TV. Its top talent, Las Vegas sensation Bryce Harper, was on the cover of Sports Illustrated when he was just sixteen. As that draft approached, the star of the 2009 draft, Stephen Strasburg, was cruising through the minor leagues less than a year after being picked first overall out of San Diego State. </p>
<p>The idea that the draft could generate so much attention was preposterous as recently as 1998. That was the first year that MLB even dared to release its draft list to the public the day the draft finished. </p>
<p>I covered my first draft for Baseball America in 1997, as a truly peripheral part of the magazine’s coverage. I remember vividly how Allan Simpson—BA’s founding editor and the man who essentially invented coverage of the baseball draft—had white boards in his office, tracking the draft round by round. He’d get calls from scouts, college coaches, agents—even sometimes from clubs—with information about what players were picked where. He wrote them, almost always in pencil, it seemed, on his white boards, three years before Tim Russert and Florida and the 2000 Election made similar but smaller white boards immortal. </p>
<p>We were the only complete source for this information. The next year we announced we’d be selling our draft lists and could fax them for the grand fee of $— to anyone interested. Within a week of our announcement, MLB announced it would release its list. We still made enough money off the “Draft Deluxe” offer to buy new desktop computers. </p>
<p>Interest in the draft doesn’t always go hand in hand with knowledge about the draft. Technically the proceedings are spelled out in Rule 4 of MLB’s Professional Baseball Agreement—just ahead of the section on the Rule 5 draft—but most people call it the June draft or the amateur draft. Technically, its name is the First-Year Player Draft. </p>
<p>That change was made in the late 1990s, to close a draft loophole and to keep amateurs from becoming free agents. The draft itself, from its inception in 1965 to the present, always has been a reaction to the way major-league clubs procure amateur talent. That’s its past history, and it appears to be its future as well.</p>
<p>The draft was a new concept only to baseball. It came to football first (1936), and the two other major professional leagues in basketball (1947) and hockey (1963) already had followed suit by 1964, when baseball decided to act. In 1964, led by the $205,000 bonus the Angels gave to Wisconsin outfielder <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/7f4266ba">Rick Reichardt</a>, major-league clubs paid more than $7 million to amateur players—more than was spent on major-league salaries. </p>
<p>Before the draft, procuring talent was on a first-come, first-served basis. Scouts scoured the country, going to games, getting to know players’ families and competing with each other to cultivate the best relationship, make the best offer, and sell their organization as the most attractive one for an up-and-coming ballplayer. Not surprisingly, the system tended to reinforce competitive imbalance. The Cardinals, Yankees and other clubs that had extensive scouting networks for amateurs and that recognized the value of player development in their minor-league systems thrived; those clubs that didn’t, such as the postwar Cubs, Indians, and Athletics, were mired in the second division in what seemed to be perpetuity. </p>
<p><a href="http://dev.sabr.org/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/brj-2010-summer-042.jpg"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="alignright" style="float: right; width: 192px; height: 300px;" src="http://dev.sabr.org/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/brj-2010-summer-042.jpg" alt="Stephen Strasburg signed a major-league contract worth more than $15 million. It included a $7.5 million bonus, giving him both the largest contract in draft history and the largest bonus for a player who signed with the team that drafted him." width="490" height="765" /></a>The draft helped change that, giving the worst teams a shot at the best talent. The A’s drafted <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/8fb06093">Rick Monday</a> first overall in 1965 and five rounds later took another Arizona State Sun Devil, <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/f33122f8">Sal Bando</a>. Later, with their twentieth selection, they drafted and signed Ohio prep shortstop <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/94bab467">Gene Tenace</a>. Only a year later, drafted second overall, <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/365acf13">Reggie Jackson</a> (yet another Sun Devil) joined the organization, and in 1967 the A’s took <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/397acf10">Vida Blue</a>, in the second round, out of a Louisiana high school. The foundations of their early 1970s dynasty were laid in those first few draft classes. </p>
<p>Of course MLB wasn’t installing a draft out of egalitarian dreams; it wanted to cut those signing bonuses, and the way to do it was to give amateur players one club to negotiate with, instead of twenty. In that, the draft worked exceedingly well. Monday, the draft’s first number-one overall pick, got a $100,000 bonus, or less than half of what Reichardt had received as a free agent in 1964. Monday’s bonus record lasted until 1975 (<a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/b8220ba9">Danny Goodwin</a>, Angels, $125,000), and Reichardt’s pre-draft record wasn’t broken until 1979. That record—a $208,000 bonus for Yankees draftee <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/70a84358">Todd Demeter</a>—wasn’t even publicly known until 25 years later. A second-round pick, Demeter hit just .173 in a 34-game trial in Double A. </p>
<p>Baseball kept bonuses down, no matter who the players were or how talented they were. Scouts universally lauded <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/a75750fb">Darryl Strawberry</a> as the best talent out of Los Angeles in years, and the Mets gave him a $200,000 bonus in 1980, still short of Reichardt’s mark. None of the celebrated members of the 1984 Olympic baseball team broke the record—not <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/1d5cdccc">Mark McGwire</a>, not <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/3bcff907">Will Clark</a>. </p>
<p>The business of holding the line on bonuses began to lead to an influx of talent to college baseball, as players who turned down what they thought were insufficient offers out of high school found their way to NCAA play. It led to a golden era for college baseball. <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/b5a2be2f">Roger Clemens</a> led Texas to the 1983 national championship, two years after the Mets drafted him in the twelfth round out of San Jacinto (Texas) Junior College. Instead of signing him, the Mets faced Clemens twice in the 1986 World Series with Boston. The Giants could have had <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/e79d202f">Barry Bonds</a> out of high school, in 1982, but a difference of less than $10,000 in negotiations prompted Bonds to attend Arizona State. The Pirates got him with the sixth overall pick three years later. </p>
<p>On and on it went. In 1987, <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/3e8e7034">Ken Griffey Jr.</a> brought obvious talent and a big-league bloodline to become one of the most celebrated number-one overall picks ever. Still, the Mariners gave him a bonus of just $160,000. </p>
<p>Only <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/32056fe8">Bo Jackson</a>, as Heisman Trophy winner with an NFL future, could get more money out of a major league club, after 22 years, than Reichardt. The Royals spent a fourth-round pick on Jackson and then bought him away from football (temporarily) with a major league contract worth $1,066,000, with $100,000 as a signing bonus. </p>
<p>The bonus record wasn’t broken again until 1988, when the Padres signed right-hander <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/4e017011">Andy Benes</a> for $235,000. Two high-school pitchers, <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/48392d24">Steve Avery</a> (Braves, $211,000) and <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/81360146">Reid Cornelius</a> (Expos, $225,000) signed for bonuses that exceeded Reichardt’s old mark. </p>
<p>In 1989 bonuses started to climb to the point that current-day fans have become accustomed to when the Orioles and number-one overall pick <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/29a0d519">Ben McDonald</a> of Louisiana State reached an impasse. The Orioles finally relented and signed McDonald for an $825,000 major-league deal with a $350,000 bonus, a record broken days later by <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/9b1a8b9a">John Olerud</a>. The Blue Jays signed their third-round pick Olerud for a major-league deal with a $575,000 bonus. </p>
<p>That began the draft’s Common Era, for teams now truly started to take signing-bonus demands into account. In 1990, Texas prep right-hander <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/c5743c06">Todd Van Poppel</a> was the consensus top talent available, and the Atlanta Braves held the first pick. The Braves at that time wanted Van Poppel but decided they couldn’t meet his perceived demands or dissuade him from his commitment to the University of Texas. Instead they chose Florida prep shortstop <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/b7c916e5">Larry Wayne Jones</a> of Jacksonvile, whom everyone already called Chipper. </p>
<p>Van Poppel, though, signed with Oakland for a $500,000 bonus and a major-league contract with value of $1.2 million overall. He wound up with a journeyman career, while Jones has an MVP Award and more than 400 home runs while helping give the Braves one of the longest runs of success in team sports history. </p>
<p>Van Poppel’s contract set the stage for 1991, when the Yankees held the number-one overall pick for the second time ever. They drafted North Carolina prep lefthander <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/baea533c">Brien Taylor</a> and then shattered the bonus record by giving him a $1.55-million straight bonus. That was more than any of the big-league contracts up to that point and almost three times Olerud’s bonus mark. </p>
<p><a href="http://dev.sabr.org/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/brj-2010-summer-043.jpg"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="alignright" style="float: right; width: 300px; height: 251px;" src="http://dev.sabr.org/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/brj-2010-summer-043.jpg" alt="Hometown talent Joe Mauer was selected as No. 1 pick in 2001 by the Minnesota Twins, who passed up USC ace right-hander Mark Prior." width="748" height="627" /></a>How much were bonuses increasing overall? In 1990, just three years after Griffey and his $160,000 bonus, every first-round pick signed for at least $175,000. Bonuses continued to climb until 1996, when all hell broke loose, at least in terms of the draft. Because of violations to Rule 4(E) of the Professional Baseball Agreement, which required that teams make a formal contract offer to every pick within fifteen days of the draft, MLB had to grant several top talents free agency. </p>
<p>While three of the players—pitchers <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/f0ed8947">Braden Looper</a> and <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/fcf1ef5c">Eric Milton</a> and catcher <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/8a472cfb">A. J. Hinch</a>—ended up signing with the teams that drafted them while MLB mulled its options, four others were set free. The loophole free agents included San Diego State first baseman <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/fed1cb30">Travis Lee</a>, completing a stint with the Olympic team, and high-school pitchers <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/9ff62bea">Matt White</a>, <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/4cd7329a">John Patterson</a>, and <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/a110a563">Bobby Seay</a>. Lee had been the number-two overall pick in the draft, while White (number 7) ranked as the top high-school pitching talent. Patterson (number 5) and Seay (number 12) were consensus first-round talents as well.</p>
<p>The 1996 draft also was the first for the expansion Arizona Diamondbacks and Tampa Bay Devil Rays, who were eager to establish an identity and didn’t even have to field major-league clubs until 1998. The confluence of free agency and new teams created the perfect storm, as Lee signed first for a $10-million contract with the Diamondbacks. White, signing with Tampa Bay, then topped him with a $10.2-million bonus, while Patterson (Diamondbacks, $6.075 million) and Seay ($3 million, Rays) followed with their own mega-deals. In comparison, the number-one overall pick that year, <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/8daec61b">Kris Benson</a>, signed for $2 million. </p>
<p>Only White never reached the majors, but neither Lee, Seay nor Patterson had any lasting big-league impact. White reached Triple A and hurt his shoulder while trying to make the final 2000 Olympic-team roster. </p>
<p>“I can’t imagine what it would be like now with the media attention and the interest there is now in the draft,” said White, a volunteer assistant coach at Georgia Tech in 2010 and hired in June 2010 as pitching coach at the University of Michigan. “I heard my share of criticism for how my career turned out, but I’m sure it would have been greater with the amount of attention the draft receives now.”<a href="#endnote1">1</a></p>
<p>The next year, the Boras Corp. represented Florida State outfielder <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/ce2b80d9">J.D. Drew</a>, who put together the first (and so far only) 30-homer, 30-steals season in NCAA Division I history. Drew wasn’t going to use Benson’s $2-million bonus as a benchmark; he was using the numbers the loophole free agents got. But when the Phillies took him second overall, they were using Benson’s number. Acrimonious negotiations followed that never came close to bridging the near-$7 million gap between the two sides. </p>
<p>Drew wound up blazing a trail to the draft through independent leagues; at first, Boras hoped this would make Drew a free agent. MLB closed that loophole by renaming the proceedings the First-Year Player Draft, making independent leaguers such as Drew subject to the draft. Drew was part of the 1998 draft and was picked fifth overall this time, by the Cardinals. Eventually, he signed a $7-million big-league contract with a $3-million bonus, which was soon surpassed by that of 1998’s number-one overall pick, <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/a83123b1">Pat Burrell</a> of the University of Miami. He signed with—you guessed it—the Phillies, for a $3.15-million bonus and an $8-million contract. </p>
<p>“Baseball has made an admission that they’re not paying for talent,” Boras later said. “They’re paying for jurisdiction. That’s where the draft is wrong.” </p>
<p>By 1999, it was noteworthy when a first-round pick didn’t receive a $1-million signing bonus. (The only such pick in 1999 was Blue Jays’ first-rounder <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/a50c801e">Alex Rios</a> out of Puerto Rico.) From 1989 through 1999, the average payout for first-round picks increased from $176,000 to about $1.81 million. </p>
<p>Money has continued to be one of the biggest themes of the draft in the 2000s, but the money isn’t what gets all the attention anymore. Now, it’s the talent, as fans and baseball media have started to tune into the draft as never before. Major League Baseball’s past secrecy was a major reason that media rarely gave the draft much attention—MLB didn’t want any. It contended that more draft coverage drove up signing bonuses, and didn’t publicize the draft list in part to keep colleges from going out and recruiting drafted players. </p>
<p>But toward the end of the decade, MLB began to realize that times were changing. In 1998, it actually released its draft list, and it didn’t change its mind. The explosion of new media prompted more changes and openness. In 2001, Southern California ace righthander <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/79fd33e0">Mark Prior</a> brought the draft more attention with a remarkable season and awkward pre-draft negotiations with the Twins, who had the number-one overall pick. The NCAA ended up questioning him about his eligibility the night before his College World Series start and after the Twins, citing Prior’s perceived bonus demands, passed over him. Instead, they went for hometown talent <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/43c69595">Joe Mauer</a>, an athletic catcher who had a Florida State football scholarship waiting for him. </p>
<p>Mauer signed for $5.15 million, which by this time wasn’t even a record—the White Sox had given outfielder (and Stanford quarterback) <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/911439c6">Joe Borchard</a> $5.3 million the year before. But Prior, picked second overall by the Cubs, received more than twice that amount, signing a $10.5-million major-league contract with a $4-million bonus. </p>
<p>In 2002, MLB puts its draft on public display for the first time, as MLB Radio on MLB.com broadcast the proceedings. It was raw—just the conference call from New York and the thirty clubs on the phone, drafting away. (This writer and Baseball America colleague Will Lingo co-hosted the proceedings.) </p>
<p>In 2007, the draft finally left its conference-call roots behind. ESPN joined with MLB to broadcast the draft from Disney’s Wide World of Sports in Orlando with a 2 P.M. broadcast. There were even three players on hand for the show, led by the third overall selection, Josh Vitters. The players followed their counterparts in other sports, posing for photos with the commissioner. </p>
<p>“It’s a great day for us, and this is such an important day,” Commissioner Bud Selig said. “This is a special event, and we want to communicate that as best as possible to all of our fans. This is really a dramatic manifestation of how the sport has improved. This will get bigger and bigger.”<a href="#endnote2">2</a></p>
<p>In terms of attention and money, it certainly has. Strasburg was the draft’s biggest star in 2009, as he surpassed Prior in many ways, going first overall to the beleaguered Nationals. He wound up signing a major league contract worth more than $15 million with a $7.5-million bonus, giving him both the largest contract in draft history and the largest bonus for a player who signed with the team that drafted him. </p>
<p>All along, MLB has attempted to keep bonuses from spiraling out of control, even as they surge ever higher. Several times, MLB unilaterally has passed sweeping (or at times minor) changes in draft rules, only to have them struck down when challenged because the changes were not collectively bargained. While the Players Association does not represent amateurs, draft picks are tied to free-agent compensation, and the union has argued successfully that, in essence, this makes the draft its business. </p>
<p><a href="http://dev.sabr.org/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/brj-2010-summer-044.jpg"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="alignright" style="float: right; width: 201px; height: 300px;" src="http://dev.sabr.org/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/brj-2010-summer-044.jpg" alt="Signed as a catcher in the 52nd round in 1989, he would become one of the lowest-drafted players ever to reach the majors." width="486" height="727" /></a>Because both sides have had bigger issues to deal with, the draft has never become a focal point of negotiations for a collective bargaining agreement. Instead, MLB has moved toward its recommended bonus slots, first begun in 2000, when Sandy Alderson was MLB’s executive vice president for baseball operations. Alderson gathered scouting directors for what MLB termed “negotiating training,” and the commissioner’s office began recommending signing bonuses for players chosen in the first three rounds. They also forced scouting directors to report above-slot bonus agreements to the commissioner’s office, essentially submitting them for approval. </p>
<p>Eventually, MLB expanded the slots to the first five rounds, with the bottom slot of the fifth round extending out as a perceived slot maximum for the rest of the draft. Clubs are subject to fines only if they pay “over slot” without notifying MLB. Other efforts to rein in bonuses included the 2007 introduction of a signing deadline. Previously, players could negotiate until they attended college classes, with no uniform date. Players who had exhausted their college eligibility, or who renounced their eligibility (a new Boras Corp. strategy), could hold out all fall, winter, and spring, right up until a week before the next draft. (<a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/147b5917">Jered Weaver</a> and <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/eba10dc3">Stephen Drew</a>, two of the top talents in the 2004 draft, both went that route, signing with the Angels and Diamondbacks, respectively, just before the beginning of the one-week “closed period” in 2005.) </p>
<p>So for 2007, MLB set August 15 as a uniform signing date. The idea was that less time to negotiate gave the teams more leverage over players and their agents. The decision also killed the draft-and-follow process, a system whereby teams could draft high-school or junior-college players, “follow” them through the next season, and then sign them (or not) before the next draft. </p>
<p>Despite the changes, the 2007 draft brought more giant contracts, such as the $7-million major-league contract the Tigers gave to New Jersey prep right-hander <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/25c782bb">Rick Porcello</a>. It tied <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/6af3a372">Josh Beckett</a>’s 1999 deal for the highest amount ever given to a prep pitcher. The Yankees then gave out the biggest contract in draft history pre-Strasburg, to right-hander <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/1972ce66">Andrew Brackman</a>, a 6-foot-10 North Carolina State product. Brackman, who also played two seasons of ACC basketball and had NBA potential thanks to his size, signed for a $3.35-million bonus as part of a major-league contract with roster bonuses that would guarantee Brackman $13 million as long as he didn’t jump to basketball. </p>
<p>The slotting system was still in place as the 2010 draft approached. However, during its ten-year run, MLB and the union have had two CBA negotiations pass peacefully, with no work stoppage. With the 2012 CBA negotiations fast approaching and the sport’s fiscal health looking relatively strong, the draft looms as one of the more important issues of the next CBA. </p>
<p>Scouting directors are loath to speculate on the record about the draft’s future, and they don’t often agree on the changes they’d like to see. The repeated scandals in Latin American player procurement—from age changes to bonus skimming by agents and club officials—have brought calls for an international draft, or for international players to be incorporated into the current First-Year Player Draft. (It’s happened before, as bonus escalation in Puerto Rico prompted MLB in 1989 to make players from the island commonwealth subject to the draft.) </p>
<p>Other proposals for changes to the draft include the formalization of draft slots, making them “hard,“ as is the case with the NBA’s draft contracts; a significant reduction in rounds from the current maximum of fifty; the ability of clubs to trade draft picks; and overall caps on spending for organizations on scouting and player development together, a salary cap for everything not including major-league salary.</p>
<p>“[The draft] is an area that will be of great interest in the next round of negotiations,” Rob Manfred, baseball’s executive vice president for labor relations, told the <em>New York Times</em> in 2009. “I’m not going to speculate as to what our proposals are going to be the next time around, but I will say the purpose of the draft is to make sure the weakest team gets the best player.”<a href="#endnote3">3</a></p>
<p>Of course, that’s only one point of the draft. The other always has been to keep the amount the clubs have to pay players as low as possible. </p>
<p>More telling perhaps than the effort to divine future CBA negotiations are the other trends that are shaping up around the draft. MLB has started operating, on a limited basis, some of its own showcase events, tournaments, or all-star games that gather amateur players in one place for teams to scout. </p>
<p>Agents would resist, but eventually some of these events—USA Baseball’s Tournament of Stars, perhaps—will evolve into a scouting combine, similar to the NFL’s combine. MLB could use such a combine for medical evaluations (such as standard eye exams), for drug testing (currently 200 players MLB deems “top prospects” are drug-tested around the country), and of course for evaluating players’ physical talent. </p>
<p>The overall thrust appears to be an attempt by MLB and its clubs to get more control over the draft in all phases. Every attempt in the past—to control players, to control bonuses—has had unintended consequences, because, when push comes to shove, teams need talent, and players are the ones who provide it. Because it costs so much more to pay established big-leaguers rather than less experienced ones who aren’t arbitration-eligible, it still makes financial sense for a club to pay a sizable, market bonus to a player it wants and to get him under control for the early part of his career. Even if it means going above slot.</p>
<p><em><strong>JOHN MANUEL</strong> is co-editor of Baseball America, where he has worked since September 1996. He has covered everything at the magazine and website from college baseball and prospect rankings to the Olympics and the draft.</em></p>
<hr />
<p style="margin-top: 0.5em; margin-bottom: 0.9em;"><strong>BEST DRAFTS EVER</strong></p>
<p style="margin-top: 0.5em; margin-bottom: 0.9em;">By the <em>Baseball America</em> staff</p>
<p style="margin-top: 0.5em; margin-bottom: 0.9em;"><strong>1. DODGERS 1968</strong></p>
<p style="margin-top: 0.5em; margin-bottom: 0.9em;">The best, and it’s not really close. The Dodgers assembled an amazing collection of stars as well as solid big-leaguers, with a total of fifteen players who at least made appearances in the majors. <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/d6cb87c6">Davey Lopes</a> (second round) from the January secondary phase, <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/444a4659">Bill Buckner</a> (second) from the June regular phase, and <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/72030a56">Steve Garvey</a> (first) and <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/47c8ff20">Ron Cey</a> (third) from the June secondary phase were the stars, but longtime big-leaguers like <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/cf443d08">Tom Paciorek</a>, <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/188e4169">Joe Ferguson</a>, <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/991b13bd">Doyle Alexander</a>, <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/d36e5d9a">Geoff Zahn</a>, and <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/46a871db">Bobby Valentine</a> were also part of the haul. </p>
<p style="margin-top: 0.5em; margin-bottom: 0.9em;"><strong>2. TIGERS 1976</strong></p>
<p style="margin-top: 0.5em; margin-bottom: 0.9em;">Like the 1968 Dodgers class, the Tigers set themselves apart with quality and quantity. <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/5c73bfdf">Alan Trammell</a> (second round), <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/4109e23d">Dan Petry</a> (fourth), and <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/7585bcdf">Jack Morris</a> (fifth) formed the heart of Detroit’s 1984 World Series champions, and January first-rounder <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/99ddf152">Steve Kemp</a> also had a nice career. Even the best drafts have players who got away, though: Seventh-rounder <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/a6663664">Ozzie Smith</a> would have been a nice addition, but he didn’t sign until the next year, when the Padres took him. </p>
<p style="margin-top: 0.5em; margin-bottom: 0.9em;"><strong>3. RED SOX 1976</strong></p>
<p style="margin-top: 0.5em; margin-bottom: 0.9em;">This draft stands apart from the two ahead of it because it features a Hall of Famer, five-time batting champion <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/e083ea50">Wade Boggs</a>. He was an all-time bargain as a seventh-rounder, but the Red Sox also found two quality left-handers in first-rounder <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/bd4eab50">Bruce Hurst</a> and <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/b7e0addd">John Tudor</a>, who was their third-round pick in the secondary phase of the January draft. </p>
<p style="margin-top: 0.5em; margin-bottom: 0.9em;"><strong>4. INDIANS 1989</strong> </p>
<p style="margin-top: 0.5em; margin-bottom: 0.9em;">This is one of the most interesting drafts in history because, even though it turned out as one of the best ever, it led to the firing of the scouting director (Chet Montgomery) who oversaw it. First-round pick <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/55321def">Calvin Murray</a> was considered unsignable, but the Indians took him anyway—and didn’t sign him. That was bad, but Cleveland more than made up for it with ten big-leaguers after that, including <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/a2bb6366">Jim Thome</a> in the thirteenth round and <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/96e385e9">Brian Giles</a> in the seventeenth. The Indians’ scouting staff was also notable because it included at least two future scouting directors (Roy Clark, Donnie Mitchell) and a future GM in John Hart. </p>
<p style="margin-top: 0.5em; margin-bottom: 0.9em;"><strong>5. CUBS 1984</strong></p>
<p style="margin-top: 0.5em; margin-bottom: 0.9em;">The Cubs found eight future big-leaguers, but the overwhelming bulk of the value in this group comes from two pitchers who, amazingly enough, are still pitching in the big leagues now. Right-hander <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/d13d4022">Greg Maddux</a> (second round) and left-hander <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/2485e17a">Jamie Moyer</a> (sixth) don’t fit the prototype for draftable high-school pitchers, but they’ve combined for 585 major-league wins. </p>
<p style="margin-top: 0.5em; margin-bottom: 0.9em;"><strong>6. RED SOX 1968</strong></p>
<p style="margin-top: 0.5em; margin-bottom: 0.9em;">A great draft year tends to help multiple teams, and this is one of three 1968 classes to make our top twenty. Boston found four All-Stars in the June regular phase (a feat matched only by the 1990 White Sox): <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/9c6551a7">Lynn McGlothen</a> (third round), <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/705fecb9">Cecil Cooper</a> (sixth), <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/6eb958b1">Ben Oglivie</a> (eleventh) and <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/ac80db85">Bill Lee</a> (twenty-second). And <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/e4ad4b0b">John Curtis</a>, a first-rounder in the June secondary phase, pitched fifteen years in the big leagues. </p>
<p style="margin-top: 0.5em; margin-bottom: 0.9em;"><strong>7. RED SOX 1983</strong></p>
<p style="margin-top: 0.5em; margin-bottom: 0.9em;">The third of four Red Sox classes in the top twenty, this one is built mostly on the success of <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/b5a2be2f">Roger Clemens</a>, who was the nineteenth overall pick in the June regular phase. But <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/d8bf583a">Ellis Burks</a>, a first-rounder in the January regular phase who played eighteen major-league seasons, pushes it into the top ten. </p>
<p style="margin-top: 0.5em; margin-bottom: 0.9em;"><strong>8. PADRES 1981</strong></p>
<p style="margin-top: 0.5em; margin-bottom: 0.9em;">First-round pick <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/4337027b">Kevin McReynolds</a> and June secondary pick <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/6afcbd09">John Kruk</a> had nice major-league careers, but the big score was a player who was better known for his basketball skills at San Diego State. <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/2236deb4">Tony Gwynn</a> turned his focus to baseball when the Padres made him a third-round pick in June, and he was in the big leagues after little more than a year in the minors. </p>
<p style="margin-top: 0.5em; margin-bottom: 0.9em;"><strong>9. YANKEES 1990</strong></p>
<p style="margin-top: 0.5em; margin-bottom: 0.9em;">The career of first-rounder <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/7e48602e">Carl Everett</a> didn’t take off until the Marlins grabbed him in the 1992 expansion draft, but the signing of two draft-and-follows the next May—<a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/e8c2df3a">Andy Pettitte</a> and <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/778e7db7">Jorge Posada</a>—provide foundation pieces for the Yankees’ success of the late 1990s. </p>
<p style="margin-top: 0.5em; margin-bottom: 0.9em;"><strong>10. TWINS 1989</strong></p>
<p style="margin-top: 0.5em; margin-bottom: 0.9em;">One of three 1989 draft hauls in the top twenty, the Twins drafted two AL Rookies of the Year in <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/1ab36543">Chuck Knoblauch</a> (first round) and <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/04aca11a">Marty Cordova</a> (tenth) as well as two 20-game winners in <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/12dde0e3">Denny Neagle</a> (third) and <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/5ad830ce">Scott Erickson</a> (fourth). And 52nd-rounder <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/249fd519">Denny Hocking</a>—drafted as a catcher— became one of the lowest-drafted players to reach the majors.</p>
<p style="margin-top: 0.5em; margin-bottom: 0.9em;"><em>Adapted from “Head of the Classes” by Tracy Ringolsby, BaseballAmerica.com, 25 June 2008.</em></p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p><strong>Notes</strong></p>
<p><a href="#endnote1" name="endnote1">1</a> Matt White, interview with John Manuel, May 2010.</p>
<p><a href="#endnote2" name="endnote2">2</a> Quoted in “Draft 2007: First Round Review Prep Class, Lefthanders Rule the Day,” by John Manuel, <em>Baseball America</em>, 7 June 2007.</p>
<p><a href="#endnote3" name="endnote3">3</a> David Waldstein, “N.B.A. Could Be Model for New Baseball Draft,” <em>New York Times</em>, 18 August 2009, B10.</p>
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		<title>Earl Weaver: Strategy, Innovation, and Ninety-Four Meltdowns</title>
		<link>https://sabr.org/journal/article/earl-weaver-strategy-innovation-and-ninety-four-meltdowns/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[admin]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 03 Feb 2011 18:16:33 +0000</pubDate>
				<guid isPermaLink="false">http://dev.sabr.org/journal_articles/earl-weaver-strategy-innovation-and-ninety-four-meltdowns/</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Two seasons ago, I witnessed the Florida Marlins attempt to execute a classic Earl Weaver maneuver. It was the fifth inning of a game in Milwaukee. The Marlins, down 1–0, had runners on first and third with two outs. As the pitcher was winding up for the next batter, I nudged my buddy in the [&#8230;]]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="https://sabrweb.b-cdn.net/wp-content/uploads/2011/11/Weaver-Earl-2534-77_HS_NBL.jpg"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="alignnone  wp-image-57104" src="https://sabrweb.b-cdn.net/wp-content/uploads/2011/11/Weaver-Earl-2534-77_HS_NBL.jpg" alt="Earl Weaver (National Baseball Hall of Fame Library)" width="300" height="370" srcset="https://sabrweb.b-cdn.net/wp-content/uploads/2011/11/Weaver-Earl-2534-77_HS_NBL.jpg 389w, https://sabrweb.b-cdn.net/wp-content/uploads/2011/11/Weaver-Earl-2534-77_HS_NBL-243x300.jpg 243w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px" /></a></p>
<p>Two seasons ago, I witnessed the Florida Marlins attempt to execute a classic <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/0cfc37e3">Earl Weaver</a> maneuver. It was the fifth inning of a game in Milwaukee. The Marlins, down 1–0, had runners on first and third with two outs. As the pitcher was winding up for the next batter, I nudged my buddy in the seat next to me and drew his attention to the situation. I’d heard the former Baltimore manager detail the play on a radio show some years before. He’d have the guy on first get himself caught in a rundown; meanwhile, the guy on third steals home. Weaver said they practiced the play only once a year, in spring training, but everybody was expected to know it and be ready for the situation any time throughout the season. </p>
<p>The brief discussion may have been lost on my buddy, at least the part about Earl Weaver. He asked if that was the same guy who had been kicked out of all those games way back when; he thought he had seen a few YouTube clips that he described as “hilarious.”</p>
<p>My buddy’s knowledge of Weaver, who retired from managing twenty-four years ago, probably ends with the video clips. In that respect, he’s probably no different from the people who have tuned in to YouTube nearly half a million times to witness the hilarity. One clip isn’t a video so much as a series of still photos strung together to go along with an old recording of Weaver’s radio show, The Manager’s Corner. That particular episode might as well have been scripted by David Mamet for the way Weaver spews profanity. He tears apart the idea of having speed on the basepaths, digs at Terry Crowley and how lucky he is to be in baseball, and finally gives Alice from Norfolk some rather pointed advice about her love life when all she was looking for was some pointers about growing tomatoes. </p>
<p>The other clip is of an infamous fit Weaver threw on September 17, 1980, at Baltimore’s Memorial Stadium. What unfolds is all too familiar regarding Weaver’s onfield reputation: He storms out of the dugout and erupts in umpire Bill Haller’s face: “You and your crew are here for one reason only—to fuck us!” That happens within the first 30 seconds of the three-minute clip, and it’s enough for Haller to run Weaver for the fourth time. Haller was purportedly featured in a documentary being filmed at the time and so was wearing a microphone that captured nearly every word of the obscenity-soaked tirade. What had Haller done to incur Weaver’s wrath? He’d called a balk on Mike Flanagan. There was one out in the top of the first inning.  </p>
<p>Some would say the YouTube clips are a fitting legacy for Weaver. The audio clip, though, to accompany the montage of still photos is not to be believed. Baltimore sportswriter Rick Maese wrote about it in the Baltimore Sun on May 23, 2008. He found that it was a prank set up by Weaver and Orioles broadcaster Tom Marr. It was inadvertently leaked at one point and continues to fool casual Internet surfers, fueled no doubt by Weaver’s reputation as, to quote Maese, an “ornery cuss.” The question about gardening, that was a reference to the tomatoes Weaver and groundskeeper Pat Santarone grew beyond the outfield fences at Memorial Stadium. </p>
<p>The Haller clip is a different story. It is but one example of the 94 ejections Weaver accumulated throughout his 18-year managerial career. The total still stands as the American League record. (<a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/d4ce6c5c">Bobby Cox</a> holds the MLB record at 151 and counting, at the end of the 2009 season.) The number can’t be ignored in any discussion of the combative manager, especially in light of some of the circumstances under which the ejections occurred. Weaver began to earn notoriety in the mid-1960s when he was thrown out of each game in a three-game series while managing at double-A Elmira. (That was enough for Orioles owner Jerry Hoffberger to ask, when he was considering hiring Weaver as manager, how Weaver could manage his team when he couldn’t manage to stay in the dugout long enough.) In 1969, Weaver argued balls and strikes with umpire Shag Crawford and became the first manager in more than sixty years to be ejected from a World Series game. Ron Luciano ran Weaver early in game one of a doubleheader in 1975, and then ran him again during the lineup meeting prior to the start of game two. Weaver then got ejected the next day, thus giving the manager an unofficial record for the most ejections over the shortest amount of time. (Weaver scored two more ejections that year to set his personal season record of ten.)<a href="#_edn1" name="_ednref1">1</a> Perhaps fearing that he wasn’t getting enough international exposure, Weaver was once thrown out of an exhibition game in Japan. </p>
<p>But it wasn’t just the ejections that built Weaver’s reputation—many times it was the antics that followed. He kicked enough dirt to start another Dust Bowl, but that was the least of his histrionics. He once shredded a rule book on the pitcher’s mound and even went as far as twice striking umpire Terry Cooney in the face in 1982. The latter action earned Weaver a one-week suspension and $2,000 fine. It was the fourth suspension of his career. Weaver referred to it as a “vacation” granted by AL president Lee MacPhail. The scope of Weaver’s carryings on was so great that it’s probably hard for at least one other manager not to have duplicated any one thing he did on being ejected. Some might argue that former Pirates skipper Lloyd McClendon outdid Weaver when he pulled a base out of the ground and took it with him after he was tossed from a game in 2001. Not so; Weaver did the same thing in 1963.  </p>
<p>Given the weight the ejections and antics lend to his legacy, it’s easy to forget that Weaver has humble roots—he came to baseball as a working-class boy from the streets of St. Louis. As a child in the 1930s, he worked hauling uniforms back and forth between his father’s dry-cleaning business and the clubhouses of the St. Louis Browns and the Cardinals. He fell in love with the Gashouse Gang at a young age and dreamed of nothing but becoming a professional ballplayer. Weaver eventually became a standout player at Beaumont High School in St. Louis and played second base in the minor leagues for almost a decade before realizing, as he said, “I wasn’t going to make the majors as a player.”<a href="#_edn2" name="_ednref2">2</a> He went on to manage at every level in the Orioles organization before finally being brought in to manage Baltimore, replacing <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/45950816">Hank Bauer</a> midway through the 1968 season. </p>
<p>Baltimoreans know all this, though, and will forget neither how hard Weaver worked to get to the Orioles dugout nor all he accomplished once he got there. They were the ones who saw Weaver as their guy, as the literal small guy sweating his way through life with an unwavering work ethic and who rarely worked with more than a one-year contract. They dubbed the diminutive dynamo “The Earl of Baltimore.” It was those same fans who cheered wildly and almost brought Weaver to tears when he delivered his Hall of Fame acceptance speech in August 1996. Standing behind the podium, speaking in front of his boyhood idols Enos Slaughter and Stan Musial, Weaver implored the fans, “Please don’t make me cry, now. I don’t want to cry.”<a href="#_edn3" name="_ednref3">3</a> The Oriole faithful knew that Weaver was right where he belonged, and it wasn’t just his 1,480 wins that got him there. They knew that, over the course of his career, Weaver developed a system that not only defined Orioles baseball but had a significant impact on how the game was managed. </p>
<p>Weaver was one of the first managers to make extensive use of statistics; he pored over them endlessly as he tried to find anything that would give him an advantage over an opponent. Sometimes those advantages came at the cost of a player’s ego, but Weaver made no apologies. An excellent example: Substituting a hitter like <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/671e566a">Chico Salmon</a> for MVP <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/54f3c5fa">Boog Powell</a> when the Orioles faced <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/070f71e4">Mickey Lolich</a>. To Weaver, who described the odd substitution in his book <em>Weaver on Strategy</em>, it was a no-brainer. Salmon’s .300 batting average, .349 on-base percentage, and .400 slugging percentage against Lolich towered over Powell’s paltry .178/.211 /.278. The same applied to slugger <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/1e424faf">Lee May</a>. When Weaver “went to the books” (as the Oriole players used to say), he saw that May hit a sickly .095 against <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/2212deaf">Luis Tiant</a>. To hear Weaver tell it, “No way he’s going to be in the lineup against Tiant when I got [another] guy who hits his junk for about .420.”<a href="#_edn4" name="_ednref4">4</a> In a similar regard, Weaver would move <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/bbcae277">Mark Belanger</a> higher up in the batting order when facing <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/c0f238d6">Jim Kern</a>. Belanger hit .625/.684 /.625 against Kern; he was otherwise (that is, after subtracting his 10-for-16 against Kern) a .226 lifetime batter. Weaver tolerated Belanger’s low average in the first place because Belanger was an outstanding defender who won eight Gold Gloves at shortstop.<a href="#_edn5" name="_ednref5">5</a></p>
<p>Weaver was also a renowned judge of baseball talent. <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/c3ac5482">Frank Robinson</a>, one of six Hall of Famers Weaver managed, said in a <em>Time</em> magazine article that Weaver’s talent went far beyond realizing who the best athlete was or what combinations made the best starting lineup.<a href="#_edn6" name="_ednref6">6</a> He delved deep into the question of who was the best man to get a hit after sitting on the bench for a week, what pinch-runner could steal a base in the late innings, and who could play more than one position if there was an injury. “Nobody in baseball can put all those elements together better than Earl Weaver,” Robinson concluded. “Because nobody can judge baseball talent as well as he can.” Robinson may as well have said the name <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/c1e2fb55">Terry Crowley</a>, the same player Weaver ripped on his fake radio broadcast. Part of what Weaver said wasn’t fake at all—he kept the journeyman around because he knew Crowley could sit on the bench and then break something open late in a game with his clutch hitting. But it wasn’t just Crowley that cemented Weaver’s reputation. He was but one of a boatload of no-names and castoffs from other teams whom Weaver used once he dug through his files to see who could do what in whatever situation. Weaver credits his ability to evaluate talent with the epiphany he experienced when he realized he would never play in the majors. In the same <em>Time</em> article, he said, “Right then I started becoming a good baseball person, because when I came to recognize, and more important, accept my own deficiencies, then I could recognize other players’ inabilities and learn to accept them, not for what they can’t do, but for what they can do.” </p>
<p>Adding to this, Weaver also had a knack for exploiting loopholes he found in the rules. Whether it was a survival skill that carried over from the Depression or something that developed in his mind as he scrambled to find any way to compensate for his size on the field, Weaver’s conniving became one of his best-known characteristics. In 1975, he adjusted for Mark Belanger’s weak bat during late-season division races by listing <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/65da46ec">Royle Stillman</a> to hit leadoff and play shortstop on the road. Stillman, who was called up from the minors once rosters expanded, hit .500 (3-for-6) in those situations, so he usually gave the team an immediate advantage. When the Orioles took the field in the bottom of the first, Belanger would trot out to short and hit leadoff the rest of the game. The league never stopped Weaver from using that particular ploy (he did it again in 1979), but it did pull the plug on another one of his strategies. In 1980, he fell into the habit of listing Steve Stone as his designated hitter.<a href="#_edn7" name="_ednref7">7</a> The motivation was simple: If the opposing pitcher was knocked out of the game early, Weaver wouldn’t lose a position player if he wanted to change the DH to match up better with the reliever. It was perfectly legal, but the league passed a rule against it, citing that the stunt distorted hitting statistics.</p>
<p>Of the three books to his credit, it’s <em>Weaver on Strategy</em> that has left the greatest impression on baseball minds since its publication in 1984. It’s packed with insights and observations from Weaver’s career, but there are also ten laws that delineate his managerial philosophy. Two of them prove his preference for big plays and big innings: The easiest way around the bases is with one swing of the bat; and, If you play for one run, that’s all you’ll get. He has two laws for pitching, one of which justifies his use of the four-man rotation; the other designates long relief as the best place for a rookie pitcher. He addresses defense by noting that the key step for an infielder is the first one—to the left or right, before the ball is hit. Weaver even has a law for dealing with his constant nemeses: The job of arguing with the umpire belongs to the manager, because it won’t hurt the team if he gets thrown out of the game. </p>
<p>Though his laws are sound, Weaver was best known for his succinct managerial philosophy: Pitching, defense, and the three-run homer. The catch phrase was as short as the man himself and packed every bit as much punch thanks to his ability to stack the Orioles year after year with players to supplement the three-pronged attack. Weaver’s pitchers won 20 games on 22 occasions (six went on to win the Cy Young Award), his fielders won 34 Gold Gloves, and his clubs were in the top five in home runs in the American League 11 times. All told, it was enough for him to pile up a .583 winning percentage, six division titles, four pennants, and the 1970 World Series championship. </p>
<p>If you watch the Haller clip on YouTube long enough, you’ll hear the assailed umpire make a comment that cuts deep beneath Weaver’s bristly façade. It comes after Weaver, once again in Haller’s face, promises that it is he who will be remembered when all is said and done; it is he who will be in the Hall of Fame. Haller smugly inquires, “What are they gonna put you in the Hall for? Fuckin’ up World Series?” </p>
<p>Haller is most likely referring to Game 2 of the 1979 Series when Baltimore and Pittsburgh were tied 2–2 in the bottom of the eighth. The O’s had runners on first and second base; <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/80e08bc2">John Lowenstein</a> was at bat. If Weaver had called for a bunt, the Orioles would have been in excellent position to plate one or more runs to keep the pressure on the Pirates. Instead, Lowenstein hit into a double play and erased both baserunners. The next batter grounded out. Pittsburgh scored a run in the top of the ninth and then held on to win 3–2 and tie the series at a game apiece. The victory gave the Pirates a much needed toehold in the Series before they eventually overcame a 3-games-to-1 deficit to claim the championship. If ever there was a time for Weaver to stray from his “pitching, defense, and three-run homer” philosophy, it was probably then. I doubt the lesson was lost on the astute Weaver. Perhaps it was the genesis for his sixth law: Don’t play for one run unless you know that run will win a ballgame. </p>
<p>Unfortunately for Weaver, that wasn’t the only World Series gaffe to which Haller could be referring. Weaver took criticism for having Boog Powell play throughout the ’71 Series despite suffering an injury that caused obvious pain every time he was at bat. Powell was a crucial part of the O’s slugging attack, but he hit an anemic .111 for the Series, going 0-for-4 and striking out twice in Game 7, when Baltimore fell to Pittsburgh 2–1.</p>
<p>Though Haller ejected Weaver five times, the two were merely enemies. There was another umpire who was easily Weaver’s archenemy: Ron Luciano. Their feud went as far back as the minor leagues. (It was Luciano who had tossed Weaver three games in a row in Elmira.) Weaver couldn’t stand Luciano’s flamboyant style, and at one time even threatened to fine any Oriole player who talked to Luciano during a game. Luciano once described Weaver’s approach to the game as religious; his outrageous behaviors, then, were a reaction to an umpire’s sacrilegious actions. Weaver never could convert Luciano. Instead, Luciano exorcised Weaver from games on seven different occasions once they both reached the major-league level. Luciano’s description was neither his final word on Weaver nor his most acerbic. In a sports-themed book published shortly after his retirement in 1980, Luciano was asked to rank the five toughest managers he had to deal with.<a href="#_edn8" name="_ednref8">8</a> He listed Weaver in the first four spots (the fifth spot was Frank Robinson, though Luciano noted that Robinson was Weaver’s protégé). Later in the same book, Luciano commented that Weaver never forgets and held grudges that made him even more difficult to deal with. He cited a controversial call he made at the plate late in his career, recalling, “Earl charged out of the dugout, screaming that that was the same call I’d blown at Elmira in ’66.”<a href="#_edn9" name="_ednref9">9</a></p>
<p>Many players, including Robinson and Weaver’s long-time staff ace <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/3c239cfa">Jim Palmer</a>, insisted that Weaver never held grudges, so perhaps it was only with umpires.<a href="#_edn10" name="_ednref10">10</a> Those same players, especially Palmer, commented that heated confrontations, blow-ups, and even the hurling of equipment were not uncommon in the Orioles dugout as Weaver and his players dealt with each other but that, once it was over, it was over. Weaver never continued to stir the pot. Weaver even claimed in <em>Weaver on Strategy</em> that he didn’t believe in grudges. “They’re stupid,” he wrote, “and nothing good comes from them.”<a href="#_edn11" name="_ednref11">11</a> </p>
<p>One pitch after I had brought the Earl Weaver situation to my buddy’s attention, Florida manager <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/8c18eefc">Fredi Gonzalez</a> called for the play. <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/637059e5">Dan Uggla</a> baited lefty <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/867149fc">Manny Parra</a>, but <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/00db94fb">Hanley Ramirez</a> was too late breaking for home and was gunned down 1-3-2. Given Weaver’s reputation, I had a feeling about what he might have said to Gonzalez for playing for one run, much less doing it so early in the game. </p>
<p>Of course, there’s a chance Weaver would have said nothing. On the same radio show when he described his patented first-and-third double steal, he said he doesn’t watch much baseball nowadays (and only a few innings at a time when he does) because he can’t stand to see the way the game is coached and played. He finds greater satisfaction with his weekly (and highly competitive) golf game and in growing tomatoes where he has retired in south Florida. So perhaps Weaver doesn’t mind so much what’s on YouTube. His position in the Hall of Fame is just as permanent as the notorious clips in orbit around cyberspace, and, if nothing else, they reinforce how the man himself suggested he be remembered when his time comes—as The Sorest Loser Who Ever Lived.</p>
<p><strong><em>JEFF BURD</em></strong><em>, an Orioles fan since May 27, 1979, works as a high-school reading specialist. His blog is at <a href="http://seeker70.wordpress.com">http://seeker70.wordpress.com</a>.</em><em> </em></p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p><strong>Photo credit</strong></p>
<p>Earl Weaver, National Baseball Hall of Fame Library.</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p><strong>Notes</strong></p>
<p><a href="#_ednref1" name="_edn1">1</a> For the list of his ejections in 1975, see Earl Weaver with Terry Pluto, <em>Weaver on Strategy</em> (New York: Collier Books, 1984), 135. But according to Retrosheet the number of Weaver’s ejections in 1975 is nine.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref2" name="_edn2">2</a> Weaver, <em>Weaver on Strategy</em>, 176.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref3" name="_edn3">3</a> Michael Olesker, “The Earl of Baltimore Becomes King for a Day,” <em>Baltimore Sun</em>, August 5, 1996.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref4" name="_edn4">4</a> “Sport: Baltimore’s Soft-Shelled Crab,” <em>Time</em>, July 23, 1979.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref5" name="_edn5">5</a> Weaver, <em>Weaver on Strategy</em>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref6" name="_edn6">6</a> “Sport: Baltimore’s Soft-Shelled Crab,” <em>Time</em>, July 23, 1979.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref7" name="_edn7">7</a> See Rich Marazzi, “Baseball Rules Corner,” Baseball Digest 58, no. 11 (November 1999): 86. Weaver in <em>Weaver on Strateg</em>y, though, gives the year as 1981: “In 1981, I wrote Steve Stone into my lineup every day as the designated hitter” (56).</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref8" name="_edn8">8</a> Phil Pepe and Zander Hollander, <em>Book of Sports Lists, No. 3</em> (Pinnacle Books, 1981).</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref9" name="_edn9">9</a> Pepe and Hollander, 45.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref10" name="_edn10">10</a> “Sport: Baltimore’s Soft-Shelled Crab,” <em>Time</em>, July 23, 1979.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref11" name="_edn11">11</a> Weaver, <em>Weaver on Strategy</em>, 106.</p>
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		<title>Disposable Heroes: Returning World War II Veteran Al Niemiec Takes on Organized Baseball</title>
		<link>https://sabr.org/journal/article/disposable-heroes-returning-world-war-ii-veteran-al-niemiec-takes-on-organized-baseball/</link>
		
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		<pubDate>Thu, 03 Feb 2011 18:16:33 +0000</pubDate>
				<guid isPermaLink="false">http://dev.sabr.org/journal_articles/disposable-heroes-returning-world-war-ii-veteran-al-niemiec-takes-on-organized-baseball/</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[This article was selected as a winner of the 2010 McFarland-SABR Baseball Research Award. &#160; Al Niemiec looked forward to returning to baseball after his discharge from the U.S. Navy in January 1946. In the three seasons, 1940–42, before his call to duty, he played for a Seattle Rainiers team that won three consecutive Pacific [&#8230;]]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><em>This article was selected as a winner of the <a href="http://sabr.org/latest/2010-mcfarland-sabr-baseball-research-award-winners-announced">2010 McFarland-SABR Baseball Research Award</a>.</em></p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p><a href="http://sabr.org/sites/default/files/images/NiemecAl.jpg"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="alignright" src="http://sabr.org/sites/default/files/images/NiemecAl.jpg" alt="Al Niemiec (David Eskenazi Collection)" width="221" height="308" /></a><a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/78cc0444">Al Niemiec</a> looked forward to returning to baseball after his discharge from the U.S. Navy in January 1946. In the three seasons, 1940–42, before his call to duty, he played for a Seattle Rainiers team that won three consecutive Pacific Coast League championships, and he led second basemen in fielding percentage all three of those years. But things didn’t feel quite right to Niemiec. During a train ride north from California these several years later, he confided in fellow veteran <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/40a1236a">Tony Lupien</a> his fears that the Rainiers planned on releasing him soon because of his age. Lupien had a similar experience on his return from duty when the Phillies sold his contract to the Hollywood Stars. Lupien initially fought the move under the provisions of the Selective Training and Services Act of 1940 that guaranteed returning vets one year of employment in their old jobs, but he dropped the case when Hollywood agreed to pay him $8,000 for the season—the same amount he would have received had he remained in Philadelphia.<a href="#_edn1" name="_ednref1">1</a></p>
<p>Organized Baseball developed its own rules regarding returning vets, specifically that they were entitled to their old jobs for a trial period of 15 days of regular-season play or 30 days of spring training, after which the club could terminate the contract at its discretion. The motivating factor was obviously one of money, though the potential for bad publicity should have been apparent from the start. Baseball rode a wave of patriotism as the “American game” during the Second World War and took steps to promote the game as such. By 1945 major-league attendance had rebounded from the slump it endured early in the war, jumping to approximately 10.8 million, a new record, along with record gross receipts of $22.5 million. The majors shattered this record the next year, 1946, drawing more than 18 million fans through the turnstiles and grossing $51.7 million.<a href="#_edn2" name="_ednref2">2</a> It was a time of record popularity and profits, and not a time to take an unpopular stance with respect to veterans, who made up a significant portion of the game’s fan base. </p>
<p>Alfred Joseph Niemiec was born in Meriden, Connecticut, on May 18, 1911. He attended and played baseball for the College of the Holy Cross from 1931 through 1933 before making his way to the minors, finishing out the 1933 season with the Reading Red Sox of the New York–Pennsylvania League. His solid infield play and .306 average won him recognition, and in 1934 he played in 137 games with Kansas City in the American Association. His efforts in Kansas City earned him a late-season call-up with the Boston Red Sox, and he made his major-league debut on September 19, picking up two hits and one RBI against the St. Louis Browns. While his fielding was perfect in nine games with Boston, his bat was weak (.219), and Niemiec found himself assigned to Syracuse for the 1935 season, where he contributed to the Chiefs’ International League championship. Once again his play attracted the attention of the majors, and the Philadelphia Athletics sent <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/c7f4c148">Doc Cramer</a> and <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/989a6b65">Eric McNair</a> to Boston in exchange for Niemiec, <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/75700e97">Hank Johnson</a>, and, perhaps just as important for <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/3462e06e">Connie Mack</a>, $75,000 in cash. Niemiec spent the entire 1936 season on the Athletics’ roster, appearing in 69 games and splitting time between second base and shortstop, but once again major-league pitching confounded him, and his .197 average prompted his sale to the minors in the offseason. </p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="alignnone" src="http://dev.sabr.org/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/brj-2010-summer-002.jpg" alt="" width="550" height="448" /></p>
<p><em>Al Niemiec has a word with the umpire in 1940. From left: Seattle Rainiers outfielder Frank Kelleher, coach Eddie Taylor, manager Jack Lelivet and Niemiec. (David Eskenazi Collection)</em></p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>Following a year with Little Rock, where he won a championship with the Travelers, Niemiec made his way out west for a five-year stint in the PCL. He spent two seasons with San Diego before moving north to Seattle to play for the Rainiers in 1940. Anchoring the keystone sack for the Rainiers, Niemiec, an outstanding defender, also maintained a respectable .278 average during the Rainiers’ run of three consecutive PCL titles. After the close of the 1942 season he was called up to serve in the U.S. Navy, where he rose to the rank of lieutenant before his honorable discharge on January 6, 1946. </p>
<p>On his discharge, Niemiec reclaimed his former job with the Rainiers, and on February 11 the club signed him to a contract at $720 per month, a fairly substantial increase from the $575 per month he earned in 1942. He appeared in 11 games at the start of the 1946 season but was beaten out for the job at second by <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/2cfd2340">Bob Gorbould</a>, who played for the Rainiers in 1944 and 1945 and was seven years his junior.<a href="#_edn3" name="_ednref3">3</a> The Rainiers cut Niemiec on April 21, and he went immediately to the local Selective Service office to register a complaint against the club, based on the job guarantees to returning veterans under the Selective Training and Services Act. He brought with him a letter of introduction provided to him by the team on his dismissal, which was signed by manager <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/51d053c4">Bill Skiff</a> and vice president Roscoe “Torchy” Torrance: </p>
<blockquote>
<p>April 20, 1946</p>
<p>TO WHOM IT MAY CONCERN:</p>
<p>This will introduce player Al Niemiec. Al played on the Seattle Ball Club during three championship years, 1939 [sic], 40, and 41. We won the pennant all three years. He was chosen the outstanding second baseman of the league in 1941 and is one of the most dependable ball players we have ever had the privilege of having in the organization. </p>
<p>Al has just returned from more than three years in the United States Navy and returned to our roster this year. The surplus of talent and the fact that we have had to make room for some younger ball players has made it necessary for us to dispose of Mr. Niemiec’s services. Al still has a lot of fine baseball left we are sure and is the type who would be a credit to the game in years to come as a manager of some club. The loyalty and integrity of this ball player has always been away above average and we would not hesitate a moment in recommending his services to anyone in the baseball business.<a href="#_edn4" name="_ednref4">4</a> </p>
</blockquote>
<p>The Selective Service System wasted no time in arguing Niemiec’s case, sending a letter to club president Emil Sick on April 24. In the two-page letter Lt. B. V. Vercuscki outlined the facts, including the team’s obligations under the Selective Training and Service Act. Vercuski wrote that Niemiec’s dismissal was “without cause” and that he was still capable of playing baseball at an acceptable level: “There is nothing in the record to reflect that he does not have the ability or background to continue in his former position.”<a href="#_edn5" name="_ednref5">5</a> The severity of the situation was readily apparent to the Rainiers, and Torrance dispatched copies to the heads of the PCL (Clarence Rowland), the National Association (W. G. Bramham), and Major League Baseball (commissioner Happy Chandler). Torrance even offered a possible compromise to the situation: “Just as an after-thought don’t you think it would be a good idea to let the Mexican League have about 200 ball players so that they could set up a real baseball program and take care of some of our surplus talent? It might be better to have a good league down there and make more room for extra ball players than to continue having trouble.”<a href="#_edn6" name="_ednref6">6</a> </p>
<p>The Rainiers retained attorney Stephen Chadwick of the firm Chadwick, Chadwick and Mills to meet with the government officials, who on May 6 followed up with another letter from the U.S. district attorney demanding Niemiec’s reinstatement. Chadwick and the Rainiers held fast to their position: </p>
<blockquote>
<p>We replied by letter dated May 9, but delivered May 13, declined to reemploy upon the ground that we had reemployed, he had been accorded the time prescribed as a reasonable minimum by National Association rules, and had demonstrated his inability to comply with the accepted standards of work performance and professional skill and proficiency required of our players and by clubs with which we were in competition, and accordingly had been given his unconditional release and had accepted transportation to his home.<a href="#_edn7" name="_ednref7">7</a></p>
</blockquote>
<p>The Rainiers did not stand alone, having the full support of Organized Baseball. The impact of any court ruling on the Niemiec case had far-reaching consequences, and it was deemed so important that Major League Baseball and the National Association agreed to split the cost of the legal expenses involved in defending the case. </p>
<p>It is ironic that Stephen Chadwick represented the Rainiers and baseball against Niemiec. Chadwick too was a veteran, who served in the Russian Civil War, one of the little-known conflicts related to the First World War. While the Bolshevik rise to power in the 1917 Revolution is well known, what is often neglected by popular history is the attempt by the anti-Bolshevik “White” forces to overthrow the new communist government. A number of foreign powers participated on both sides of this conflict, and Chadwick served with U.S. forces in support of the Whites from August 1918 to May 1919. Chadwick was also heavily involved in leadership roles in various veterans’-rights organizations; he served as the National Commander of the American Legion in 1938–39. While Chadwick’s firm represented Emil Sick’s business ventures, both baseball and brewing, his willingness to argue against the legal rights of returning veterans is surprising given his background. </p>
<p>As the legal wrangling continued, Niemiec signed with Providence of the New England League on May 17 for $150 a month. Back in Seattle the two sides prepared to take the case in front of federal judge Lloyd L. Black on June 15. Further complicating matters for the Rainiers was that they fired manager Bill Skiff on June 11, though they still needed him to testify on their behalf at the hearing. Skiff toed the company line, however, and testified that Niemiec was too old and slow to play in the PCL. Niemiec’s representatives pounced on the former manager, attempting both to impeach his judgment in baseball matters, by raising his recent termination, and to show that Skiff himself had still been an active player when he was older than Niemiec. Niemiec returned to Seattle from Providence to participate and testify on his own behalf.<a href="#_edn8" name="_ednref8">8</a> </p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p><a href="http://dev.sabr.org/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/brj-2010-summer-004.jpg"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="alignnone" src="http://dev.sabr.org/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/brj-2010-summer-004.jpg" alt="Rainiers manager (left), with team trainer Lewis “Doc” Richards in 1941, testified on behalf of the Rainiers, affirming their claim that Al Niemiec was too old to play second base effectively. (David Eskenazi Collection)" width="501" height="391" /></a></p>
<p><em>Rainiers manager Jack Lelivet (left), with team trainer Lewis “Doc” Richards in 1941, testified on behalf of the Rainiers, affirming their claim that Al Niemiec was too old to play second base effectively. (David Eskenazi Collection)</em></p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>Judge Black announced his decision in favor of Niemiec on Friday, June 21, and brought the parties back to the courtroom on June 24 to elaborate on his ruling. Black specifically addressed three arguments made by the Rainiers—that baseball is “a quasi public institution not operated primarily for profit,”<a href="#_edn9" name="_ednref9">9</a> that Niemiec’s skills had eroded and he was no longer capable of playing at an acceptable level, and that by signing a contract that gave the club the right to cut him Niemiec waived his rights under the Selective Training and Service Act. </p>
<p>In addressing the first issue, Judge Black reviewed the articles of incorporation of the Pacific Coast League and stated that these clearly indicated the league was a for-profit enterprise. He added that the Selective Training and Service Act made no concessions for not-for-profit organizations or for any other type of employer. As for Niemiec’s skill and ability to perform the job of baseball player: </p>
<blockquote>
<p>The law says [Niemiec] is entitled to his position for a year. The veteran must be qualified to perform the duties of his position. </p>
<p>The evidence shows he was. The employer may adopt fair and reasonable standards of qualification for work performance. Under the evidence there was no qualification or standard at all. In substance the most Mr. Skiff said was that he had the idea that Mr. Niemiec would not be able to complete the season. He had no right to anticipate Mr. Niemiec’s inability until it occurred. The employer may discharge at any time for cause, but that cause must be something other than prediction or [the] hunch of a manager.<a href="#_edn10" name="_ednref10">10</a></p>
<p>The contract issue was dealt with clearly as a matter of contract law. The employer in this case wrote the contract, and the employee was not allowed any input or modification—he had to take it or leave it as written. In fact, the evidence presented indicated that the management of the Rainiers, as officers of a member club of the National Association, could no more modify the contract than could Niemiec. As the employer had complete control over the wording of the contract, it had a duty to write the contract in clear and unambiguous language, which, according to Judge Black, it did not. “Any player reading this contract, I am satisfied, would believe his rights were protected. Personally, after I have read it, I think his rights are protected.”<a href="#_edn11" name="_ednref11">11</a></p>
</blockquote>
<p>Judge Black reserved his more pointed criticism for the behavior of the game as a whole toward its returning veterans:</p>
<blockquote>
<p>Baseball is an American institution. Professional baseball is a great American institution. Compared with many professional sports and entertainments it holds a very high regard of the people of the nation. I cannot escape the view, however, that the argument of the respondent analyzed completely means just this, that if the baseball player be older when he comes back from service than when he entered it, his baseball club employer is given the right in its discretion to repeal the Act of Congress.<a href="#_edn12" name="_ednref12">12</a></p>
</blockquote>
<p>Black then took this a step further, to recognize the contributions veterans had made to protecting American society: I recognize the seriousness to baseball of having the judge dictate as to its players. But since it has been argued—and correctly—that baseball is the American game, certainly, then baseball ought to bear its share of any burden in being fair to service men. There are few institutions in American life which ought to feel a greater obligation. If Mr. Niemiec and all the others had failed in their job, there would be no American manager of any baseball if such should be played at the stadium this year. If the Nazis permitted baseball, it would not be an exhibition that any of us liked.<a href="#_edn13" name="_ednref13">13</a></p>
<p>Though Black ruled in Niemiec’s favor, he was clear that his ruling did not require the Rainiers to actually play him. In fact, so long as the Rainiers paid him a full season’s salary, minus any earnings he made in any other occupation (including non-baseball occupations), the club had no other responsibilities. The ruling satisfied Niemiec, who sent word to Providence that he was not returning, and on July 1 he began a new job as a beer salesman—ironically, working for the brewery owned by Rainiers president Emil Sick. Niemiec returned to baseball briefly as general manager for the Great Falls Electrics (a Rainiers farm team) of the Pioneer League in 1948 before leaving the game for good. He later became a golf pro and instructor.</p>
<p>The ruling did not sit well with baseball’s executives. Happy Chandler sent a telegram to the club about appealing the decision. “The Niemiec case should be appealed through the higher courts. Organized baseball will help bear the expense of the appeal.”<a href="#_edn14" name="_ednref14">14</a> Chandler attended a special meeting of the board of directors called by the PCL on July 22–23. There the parties agreed to pursue an appeal, with the expenses underwritten by the major leagues and the National Association—an agreement that applied not only to the Niemiec case but to any others that arose.</p>
<p>Per the meeting minutes:</p>
<blockquote>
<p>Following discussion of the Al Niemiec case, Director Starr moved that the Pacific Coast League concur in the arrangement whereby the Major Leagues and the National Association will take care of half of the survey and further legal involvement in the Niemiec case as well as any other National Defense Player situation that may arise.  Duly seconded, and carried unanimously.<a href="#_edn15" name="_ednref15">15</a></p>
</blockquote>
<p>The potential ramifications were significant— <em>The Sporting News</em> estimated that the ruling might impact as many as 143 former major leaguers, plus another 900 players at the triple-A level, and even more at the lower levels. However, players had to file a complaint in order to pursue their benefits. Some decided it wasn’t worth the trouble, while others encountered roadblocks; <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/9f462932">Bob Harris</a>, for example, was pressured by his local district attorney to amicably settle his case against the Philadelphia Athletics.<a href="#_edn16" name="_ednref16">16</a></p>
<p>Discussion regarding a possible appeal of Judge Black’s ruling continued through the summer, but at the close of the PCL season the Rainiers were ready to step aside. A judgment in the amount of $2,884.50 (unpaid contract value of $3,552.00, minus $75.00 Niemiec earned playing for Providence, and minus $592.50 he earned as a salesman) was entered against the Rainiers on September 18, and they were prepared to pay. By October, correspondence between the Rainiers and baseball officials was focused on determining the costs owed by each party, with no further talk of appeals. By that time the major leagues and National Association understood how profitable the 1946 season had been and were ready to put this issue behind them. The Rainiers finally satisfied the judgment on November 1 with a payment of $2,905.36 (including post-judgment interest), though the satisfaction of judgment was not filed with the court until December 21, a time specifically chosen to fall after the winter baseball meetings so as to reduce the likelihood of questions from the press.<a href="#_edn17" name="_ednref17">17</a></p>
<p>In the end, the Niemiec case cost the major leagues and the National Association $1,718.28 each in legal expenses, and the Rainiers incurred the cost of the judgment. At least two other Rainier players received similar payments as a result of Judge Black’s ruling— John Yelovic ($1,000.00) and Larry Guay ($1,100.00).<a href="#_edn18" name="_ednref18">18</a> Not all vets were as fortunate. Some, like <a href="http://sabr.org/bioproj/person/3c2f6fad">Steve Sundra</a> of the St. Louis Browns, lost their court cases.<a href="#_edn19" name="_ednref19">19</a></p>
<p>However, the Niemiec ruling remained pivotal and contributed to a number of veterans receiving the pay they were owed by baseball under the Selective Training and Services Act of 1940. The case is touched on in writings about baseball during the Second World War as well as in writings about the game’s labor issues, but what the documentary evidence shows is the previously unreported direct involvement of both Major League Baseball and the National Association in this dispute involving a minor leaguer. The willingness of these two organizations to pay the legal costs, as well as the obvious potential for negative publicity, illuminate what an important issue this was in the eyes of baseball owners and executives, in terms of profits but perhaps even more so in maintaining complete control over the players. The players who served in the Second World War did so fighting for a democratic society, but they returned to a game in which the owners held the power and the players had no say in their own careers, a status quo that remained in place for another twenty years until the rise of the Major League Baseball Players Association. Still, the Niemiec decision was one small step forward in favor of players’ rights, earned by one veteran who took on baseball and fought for what was right. </p>
<p><strong><em>JEFF OBERMEYER</em></strong><em> earned a master’s degree in military history from Norwich University in 2009, where he wrote on the relationship between Major League Baseball and the military during the Second World War. In the offseason he researches the history of hockey in his hometown of Seattle.</em></p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p><a href="http://dev.sabr.org/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/brj-2010-summer-006.jpg"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="alignnone" src="http://dev.sabr.org/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/brj-2010-summer-006.jpg" alt="The Niemiec case contributed to a positive outcome for a number of veterans who sought the pay they were owed by baseball under the Selective Training and Services Act of 1940. (David Eskenazi Collection)" width="550" height="448" /></a></p>
<p><em>The Niemiec case contributed to a positive outcome for a number of veterans who sought the pay they were owed by baseball under the Selective Training and Services Act of 1940. (David Eskenazi Collection)</em></p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p><strong>Notes</strong></p>
<p><a href="#_ednref1" name="_edn1">1</a> Lee Lowenfish and Tony Lupien, <em>The Imperfect Diamond: The Story of Baseball’s Reserve System and the Men Who Fought to Change It</em> (New York: Stein and Day, 1980), 129–34. Niemiec filed away Lupien’s story in his memory in case he needed it.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref2" name="_edn2">2</a> House Subcommittee on Study of Monopoly Power of the Committee on the Judiciary, Organized Baseball, 82d Cong., 2d sess., 1952, report no. 2002, 90 Stephen Chadwick, 94.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref3" name="_edn3">3</a> The SABR Encyclopedia and the Social Security Death Index give Gorbould’s date of birth as November 19, 1918. However, in <em>The Coast League Cyclopedia: An Encyclopedia of the Old Pacific Coast League, 1903–1957, vol. 1, Batters A through K</em> (Baseball Press Books, 2003), Carlos Bauer gives his date of birth as November 19, 1920.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref4" name="_edn4">4</a> Letter to Al Niemiec, April 20, 1946, Seattle Rainier Baseball Club Records Collection, Washington State Historical Society.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref5" name="_edn5">5</a> Lt. B. V. Vercuski to Emil Sick letter, April 24, 1946, Seattle Rainier Baseball Club Records Collection, Washington State Historical Society.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref6" name="_edn6">6</a> R. C. Torrance to A. B. “Happy” Chandler, letter, April 27, 1946, Seattle Rainier Baseball Club Records Collection, Washington State Historical Society.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref7" name="_edn7">7</a> Stephen Chadwick, to Victor Ford Collins, letter, May 17, 1946, Seattle Rainier Baseball Club Records Collection, Washington State Historical Society.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref8" name="_edn8">8</a> Royal Brougham, “Niemiec Hearing Closes, Judge Takes Case under Advisement,” <em>The Sporting News</em>, June 26, 1946, 10.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref9" name="_edn9">9</a> <em>Niemiec v. Seattle Rainier Baseball Club, Inc.</em>, 67 F. Supp. 705 (U.S. Dist. Ct. 1946), 2.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref10" name="_edn10">10</a> <em>Niemiec v. Seattle Rainier Baseball Club, Inc.</em>, 67 F. Supp. 705 (U.S. Dist. Ct. 1946), 6.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref11" name="_edn11">11</a> <em>Niemiec v. Seattle Rainier Baseball Club, Inc.</em>, 67 F. Supp. 705 (U.S. Dist. Ct. 1946), 4.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref12" name="_edn12">12</a> <em>Niemiec v. Seattle Rainier Baseball Club, Inc.</em>, 67 F. Supp. 705 (U.S. Dist. Ct. 1946), 2.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref13" name="_edn13">13</a> <em>Niemiec v. Seattle Rainier Baseball Club, Inc.</em>, 67 F. Supp. 705 (U.S. Dist. Ct. 1946), 6.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref14" name="_edn14">14</a> Albert B. Chandler to Roscoe Torrance, Western Union telegram, June 25, 1946, Seattle Rainier Baseball Club Records Collection, Washington State Historical Society.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref15" name="_edn15">15</a> Minutes of a Special Meeting of the Board of Directors of the Pacific Coast Baseball League, July 22 and 22 [sic], 1946, Seattle Rainier Baseball Club Records Collection, Washington State Historical Society.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref16" name="_edn16">16</a> Lowenfish and Lupien, 137.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref17" name="_edn17">17</a> S. F. Chadwick to Joseph C. Hostetler letter, November 7, 1946, Seattle Rainier Baseball Club Records Collection, Washington State Historical Society.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref18" name="_edn18">18</a> Notes from special meeting, board of directors, Seattle Rainier Baseball Club, Inc., November 25, 1946, Seattle Rainier Baseball Club Records Collection, Washington State Historical Society.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref19" name="_edn19">19</a> Richard Goldstein, <em>Spartan Seasons: How Baseball Survived the Second World War</em> (New York: Macmillan, 1980), 273.</p>
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		<title>Action Jackson: Watching Baseball Remotely, Before TV</title>
		<link>https://sabr.org/journal/article/action-jackson-watching-baseball-remotely-before-tv/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[admin]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 03 Feb 2011 18:16:33 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[With the weather turning crisp in October of 1916, sports fans across North America were looking forward to the World Series. There had been great pennant races in both leagues, and the upcoming battle between Brooklyn and the Boston Red Sox looked like a good one. Though Toronto was still more than sixty years away [&#8230;]]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://dev.sabr.org/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/brj-2010-summer-007.jpg"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="alignright " src="http://dev.sabr.org/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/brj-2010-summer-007.jpg" width="226" height="339" /></a>With the weather turning crisp in October of 1916, sports fans across North America were looking forward to the World Series. There had been great pennant races in both leagues, and the upcoming battle between Brooklyn and the Boston Red Sox looked like a good one. Though Toronto was still more than sixty years away from joining the American League, interest there in the Series was high. The city was already a hotbed of minor-league baseball.</p>
<p>Like most cities, Toronto once had a great many more newspapers than it does today. Among the most prominent in 1916 were the <em>Star</em> and the <em>Globe</em>— today’s lone survivors of this time period—as well as the <em>Telegram</em>, the <em>World</em>, and the <em>News</em>. All of them devoted a lot of copy to the upcoming Series. “Toronto’s baseball sympathies are with the Boston Red Sox in the world’s series,” said the <em>Toronto Star</em> on October 6, “if for no other reason than the fact that the American League champions are under the management of Bill Carrigan, who was formerly a catcher on the staff of the Toronto club.”<a href="#_edn1" name="_ednref1">1</a></p>
<p>Toronto newspapers wrote not only of the personalities, the teams, and the excitement that was building in Boston and Brooklyn. They let Torontonians know how, and where, they could follow the 1916 World Series “live.”</p>
<p>In his book <em>Past Time: Baseball as History</em>, Jules Tygiel writes:</p>
<blockquote>
<p>As early as the 1890s communities began to translate telegraphic reports of baseball games into visual recreations. . . . After 1905, when the World Series became a permanent fixture on the national scene, scoreboard-watching became an equally entrenched annual ritual. Newspapers erected large displays in front of their offices, attracting crowds numbering in the thousands. . . . In 1906, the <em>Chicago Tribune</em> began the practice of renting armories and theaters to hold the crowds. The indoor setting allowed scoreboards in the major cities to become increasingly more elaborate.<a href="#_edn2" name="_ednref2">2</a></p>
</blockquote>
<p>At least two elaborate American scoreboard devices made their Canadian debuts in Toronto for the World Series of 1916. According to the <em>Globe</em>, “The Nokes Electrascore Board, which will be at Massey Hall, is the only one yet invented which satisfactorily shows the actual movements of each player. . . . The board stands upright in full view of the spectators, and the moving lights can be plainly seen from any part of the hall. Mr. Nokes, the inventor of the board, has arrived in the city to set up the board, and will be here throughout the entire series of games.”<a href="#_edn3" name="_ednref3">3</a> Tickets to watch the “games” at Massey Hall could be purchased for 25 or 50 cents.</p>
<p><a href="http://dev.sabr.org/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/brj-2010-summer-008.jpg"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="alignright " src="http://dev.sabr.org/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/brj-2010-summer-008.jpg" width="207" height="313" /></a>While I think we all have at least some idea of these devices, from old photographs and from scenes in movies like <em>Eight Men Out</em>, fortunately the <em>Toronto Star</em> provided a few more details on the Nokes board. “To those who are not familiar with this marvelous invention, we may state that by means of colored lights for each team the movement of every player is shown and the players are in actual movement all the time. Returns are received by special wire direct from the field the moment the plays are made.”<a href="#_edn4" name="_ednref4">4</a></p>
<p>To judge from the stories that followed, a large number of Toronto baseball fans were entertained by the Nokes Electrascore Board during the World Series. Yet if I were to time-travel to Toronto in October 1916, I would not have been in attendance at Massey Hall. Instead, I would have been at the Arena Gardens. Seated inside the city’s largest hockey rink, I would have watched—or, rather, followed—the World Series on the Jackson Manikin Baseball Indicator.</p>
<p>I had never heard of this mechanical wonder before I stumbled across the following <em>Toronto Star</em> article from October 4, 1916:</p>
<blockquote>
<p>The Jackson Manikin Baseball Indicator, which will be shown at the Arena Gardens for the first time on Saturday afternoon next, is the latest invention of its kind in the world, and so far ahead of all others showing the world’s series games that it is sure to make a big hit among local fans. It is a faithful representation of the game, with diamond, grandstand, fences with advertising on them, and, lastly, umpires and players that do everything but talk. The players throw and catch the ball, run the base lines, slide, run after fly balls, hold consultations on the field and quarrel with the umpire to hide their own shortcomings. The diamond, with scenery, is fairly large, and occupies the full depth and width of the Arena. In the front are shown devices so that the spectators may keep track of the outs, balls, strikes, runs for the inning . . . and in certain plays know whether the runner is out or safe.<a href="#_edn5" name="_ednref5">5</a></p>
</blockquote>
<p>According to an article two days later, it required ten men to keep all the figures in action—ten men, and it filled the entire floor of a professional hockey arena.<a href="#_edn6" name="_ednref6">6</a> The Jackson Manikin Baseball Indicator must have been a giant-sized version of an old-fashioned baseball arcade game.</p>
<p>It turns out that the Jackson Manikin Baseball Indicator was invented by Thomas H. Jackson of Scranton, Pennsylvania. He received a patent for it on February 18, 1913, and began using his device to entertain fans that summer in Atlantic City; Washington, D.C.; Rochester, New York; and his own hometown <em>Washington Post</em>, in its Sunday edition on August 17, 1913<a href="#_edn7" name="_ednref7">7</a>, reprinted a story that originally ran in<em> Scientific American,</em> giving a detailed report on how the invention worked and what it looked like:</p>
<blockquote>
<p>The manikins that enact the plays are themselves about a foot and a half high, but the working mechanism, which is not seen by the spectators, is just as long. . . . Through a system of levers the operator is able to raise either the right or left arm or both, or cause the figure to bend over. In running bases the wheel attached to the manikin fits the base-runner groove, and in revolving causes the legs to move backward and forward. If the operator wishes to make the figure slide into a base, it is necessary only to incline the entire device in the direction desired. . . .</p>
<p>At the commencement of the game . . . the nine fielding players in their white suits come up through holes in the diamond and take their respective positions, and the batter in his brown suit comes up through a hole near the home plate and with bat in his hand takes up his place. A light appears in the pitcher’s hand if he is right-handed, in his right hand, and if left-handed, in his left. [<em>Note</em>: All batters and fielders could be correctly represented as lefties or righties.] After “winding up” he delivers the ball toward the batter. The light in his hand is extinguished, and if the pitcher is inclined to be wild it is shown in the catcher’s hand, the umpire raises his left arm and the announcer calls “ball one.” If the batter makes a safe hit—say for two bases to left field—the progress of the ball is shown on the ground from home plate, between shortstop and third base out into left, where the fielder stoops and the light is shown in his hand. He throws to third base. . . . If, however, the batter merely hit a fly to left field, a light glows over the shortstop’s head, then over the head of the left fielder and then in his hand. [Presumably, groundouts were represented by the ball appearing in, say, the shortstop’s hand. He would then “throw” across the diamond, the light going out in his hand and then the light going on in the first baseman’s hand before the manikin in the baserunner groove reached the bag.] When the side is out, the manikins in white go down through holes and off the field and their places are taken by manikins in brown, while the batsmen are dressed in white. If, perchance, a pitcher is being hit very hard and is taken out of the box, that fact is faithfully presented by a consultation between the captain of the team and his pitcher and the exit of the latter through a hole near his position in the center of the diamond. . . .</p>
<p>Great enthusiasm is aroused among the fans who witness a game on the board: for they see a miniature player representing their pitching idol strike out batter after batter, or the team’s slugger hit the ball to all corners of the field with the fielders in pursuit, or maybe the speedy baserunner stealing bases and sliding beyond the reach of the baseman with all the realism of the game.<a href="#_edn8" name="_ednref8">8</a></p>
</blockquote>
<p>Though the story says nothing about noise, I imagine a lot of rattling and clanking as the manikins pitch, hit, run and field. Perhaps not. Regardless, this was an invention worthy of a Disney theme park. It’s the Hall of Presidents, only with Hall of Famers! And it comes at a time not only before radio or television but also before the widespread use of action photography or motion pictures. It certainly doesn’t take much imagination to believe that the enthusiasm of baseball fans would indeed be aroused well beyond anything that a machine, with blinking lights or magnetic men, could achieve on its own.</p>
<p>So what became of the Jackson Manikin Baseball Indicator? While Toronto newspapers claim it “made a decided hit with local baseball fans,” I have found no evidence that it was used in the city again after 1916.<a href="#_edn9" name="_ednref9">9</a>9 Ads from the <em>New York Times </em>indicate that it was still used to follow the World Series until at least 1925.<a href="#_edn10" name="_ednref10">10</a>10 By then, of course, radio had become a fixture of the Fall Classic. While other scoreboard re-creations were still used into the early 1930s, a giant electrical device that required ten men to operate was likely deemed too costly to be able to compete with invisible airwaves that brought the World Series into a person’s living room free of charge.</p>
<p><em><strong>ERIC ZWEIG</strong> is a writer and an editor with Dan Diamond and Associates, consulting publishers to the National Hockey League. A baseball fan since Toronto received its AL franchise when he was thirteen, he worked for the Blue Jays ground crew from 1981 to 1985.</em></p>
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<div><strong>Notes</strong></p>
<p><a href="#_ednref1" name="_edn1">1</a> “Toronto Fans Pulling for Boston in World’s Series,” <em>Toronto Daily Star</em>, 6 October 1916, 16.</p>
<div id="edn2">
<p><a href="#_ednref2" name="_edn2">2</a> Jules Tygiel, <em>Past Time: Baseball as History</em> (New York: Oxford University Press), page 67.</p>
</div>
<div id="edn3">
<p><a href="#_ednref3" name="_edn3">3</a> “World’s Series at Arena,” [Toronto] <em>Globe</em>, 5 October 1916, 9.</p>
</div>
<div id="edn4">
<p><a href="#_ednref4" name="_edn4">4</a> “Nokes’ Electrascore Board at Massey Hall,” <em>Toronto Daily Star</em>, 30 September 1916, 12.</p>
</div>
<div id="edn5">
<p><a href="#_ednref5" name="_edn5">5</a> <em>Toronto Daily Star</em>, 4 October 1916, page 11.</p>
</div>
<div id="edn6">
<p><a href="#_ednref6" name="_edn6">6</a> “World’s Series at Arena,” <em>Toronto Daily Star</em>, 6 October 1916, 16.</p>
</div>
<div id="edn7">
<p><a href="#_ednref7" name="_edn7">7</a> “A New Baseball Indicator,” <em>Washington Post</em>, 17 August 1913, page MS3. Further information specific to the patent date was obtained by emails to Washington patent lawyer Thomas Jackson (no relation to the inventor), the Buffalo &amp; Erie County Public Library, and through the web site of the United States Patent and Trademark Office (<a href="http://www.uspto.gov/patents/process/search">www.uspto.gov/patents/process/search</a>). The patent number of the Jackson Manikin Baseball Indicator is 1,053,817.</p>
</div>
<div id="edn8">
<p><a href="#_ednref8" name="_edn8">8</a> “A New Baseball Indicator,” <em>Washington Post</em>, 17 August 1913.</p>
</div>
<div id="edn9">
<p><a href="#_ednref9" name="_edn9">9</a> “World’s Series at Arena,” <em>Toronto Daily Star</em>, 11 October 1916, 12.</p>
</div>
<div id="edn10">
<p><a href="#_ednref10" name="_edn10">10</a> <em>New York Times</em>, 7 October 1925, 25.</p>
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