Ben-Porat: Quantifying pitcher command

From Eli Ben-Porat at The Hardball Times on July 5, 2016:

We begin today’s story with MARS.

Not the delicious candy bar that sticks to your teeth; nor the planet that can grow Matt Damon’s potatoes. Rather, it is Multi-variate Adaptive Regression Splines, or MARS for short. MARS is a trademarked term, so the R or Python implementation is usually referred to as “earth.” Essentially, the MARS approach to regression improves upon basic multiple linear regression in three ways:

  1. It breaks apart each regression line into multiple formulae (for example, incremental fastball velocity below 94 mph has a different value curve than velocity above 94 mph).
  2. It prunes terms that aren’t beneficial to the model and pares it down to the important factors.
  3. It can uncover relationships between variables (say, location and velocity).

I’ll step away here and encourage you to read the Wikipedia article linked above for a more thorough explanation.

Read the full article here: http://www.hardballtimes.com/quantifying-pitcher-command/



Originally published: July 5, 2016. Last Updated: July 5, 2016.