Analyzing Theriot’s 20-Game Hit Streak

From SABR member Matt Philip at on June 7:

Cardinal shortstop Ryan Theriot, heretofore a .285 hitter in his career, extended his hitting streak to 20 games Tuesday night in Houston, a fine accomplishment. How likely was it to occur this year?

Based on the calculations of SABR member Bob Harris, who built on the heady work of Michael Frieman, we decided to figure out the chances of Theriot, as well as his Cardinal teammates, pulling off the feat. We used each player’s career hits per plate appearance and current season plate appearances per game to aid in the calculations. We even threw in Joltin’ Joe DiMaggio for reference.

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Originally published: June 9, 2011. Last Updated: June 9, 2011.