Arthur: A season of lost baseball will make everything less certain

From SABR member Rob Arthur at Baseball Prospectus on April 3, 2020:

As Opening Day came and went, the new reality of an abbreviated—or perhaps lost—baseball season became all but locked in. In the midst of a global crisis, MLB seems like a small consideration, but in some ways, what’s happening to the league mirrors coronavirus’ impact on the world at large. Whatever else it does, COVID-19 will drastically increase uncertainty in baseball, with potentially seismic effects on how teams pursue championships in future seasons.

We still don’t know what form the 2020 baseball season will take, or even whether we’ll get one at all. Jeff Passan reported, in a pair of seemingly-contradictory tweets, that the league wouldn’t resume until the government had eliminated bans on large gatherings, while also saying that the players would be willing to play in front of empty stadiums. Whether MLB finds some way to skirt government restrictions and put on a season safely or not, what’s clear by now is that it won’t be the full, 162-game variety we expected a few months ago.

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Originally published: April 3, 2020. Last Updated: April 3, 2020.