Dewan: Who will throw the next no-hitter in MLB?

From SABR member John Dewan at ACTA Sports on June 29, 2016:

Nearing the halfway point of 2016, Jake Arrieta owns the lone no-hitter of the season, a feat he accomplished on April 21 against the Reds. In the mid-2000s, this scarcity of no-hitters would not have seemed strange, but following a total of 12 no-hitters thrown from 2014-15, it stands out. Offense is up in baseball compared to recent seasons, especially in terms of home runs, and that could be a culprit of the decline. Of course, it’s just as likely that the lack of no-no’s is a quirk; last season, the first no-hitter of the season was on June 6, and then six more no-hitters followed it over the final three and a half months.

Every year in The Bill James Handbook, we identify the pitchers most likely to throw a no-hitter over the rest of their careers. Given the dearth of no-no’s, we thought it would be an interesting time to make an in-season update to see if the leaders in no-hitter probability were on the decline as well. What we found surprised us.

Read the full article here:

Originally published: June 29, 2016. Last Updated: June 29, 2016.