Doxsie: Professor breaks down odds of baseball draftees making it

From SABR member Don Doxsie at the Quad-City Times on June 12, 2017, with mention of SABR member Richard T. Karcher:

The major league baseball draft gets under way today.

Every MLB team will begin lining up talent for the future, all hoping they can somehow identify the next Mike Trout or Kris Bryant.

An effort has been made in recent years to make it more of a media event like the NFL and NBA drafts, but it’s really a completely different type of event. The athletes being picked in those drafts are going to be playing for your team next season, hopefully making an immediate impact.

In baseball, you need to wait a couple years to see even the best draftees at the major league level and a majority of those picked this week will never play a single day in the big time.

Just ask Richard T. Karcher. He has proof.

Karcher is a professor of sports management at Eastern Michigan University and a member of the Society for American Baseball Research, and he has spent endless hours putting the baseball draft under a microscope, crunching the numbers and analyzing the data. He published a fascinating article containing all his findings about the draft for the years 1996 through 2011 in the spring issue of SABR’s Baseball Research Journal.

Read the full article here:

Originally published: June 12, 2017. Last Updated: June 12, 2017.