Simon: Bill James player projection updates

From SABR member Mark Simon at ACTA Sports on March 1, 2019:

With spring training underway, the most popular question in baseball is “How good is he going to be?” It can be applied to hitters, pitchers, stars, hidden gems, prospects, and just about anyone else.

The 2019 Bill James Handbook, released last fall, provided the first projections for the 2019 season. In March, those projections are adjusted to account for free agent signings, trades, ballpark changes and playing time adjustments.

Not surprisingly, Mike Trout has the best projected numbers among position players – a .297/.433/.596 slash line with 38 home runs and 21 stolen bases in 146 games. Trout’s 1.029 OPS is the highest projection in this system. The second-highest belongs to Nolan Arenado (.951), who is one of two players projected to hit 40 home runs in 2019.

Read the full article here:

Originally published: March 1, 2019. Last Updated: March 1, 2019.